The killing of Quds Force Commander Qassim Soleimani and Iraqi paramilitary leader Abu-Mahdi Al-Muhandis changes everything. With one fell blow Trump has taken out the two dominant figures exporting Iranian militancy across the region.

The new Iraq war is already underway. For several weeks Israel has bombed sites under the control of Iran-backed Shiite militants. Paramilitaries in turn have attacked US diplomatic and military targets, and regional oil infrastructure.