Pakistan shares close at record high after budget dispels concern over capital gains tax hike

A car drives past the building of Pakistan Stock Exchange in Karachi, Pakistan on Novemeber 30, 2023. (AN photo/File)
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Updated 13 June 2024
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Pakistan shares close at record high after budget dispels concern over capital gains tax hike

  • Benchmark share index closed up 4.9 percent at 76,338 points after presentation of budget, which looks to raise tax revenue of $47 billion
  • Budget aims to strengthen case for new IMF bailout deal, as Pakistan seeks estimated loan ranging from $6 billion to $8 billion

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan’s benchmark share index made its biggest single-day gain in nearly a year to close at a record high, a day after the government unveiled a budget that cheered investors by avoiding an anticipated increase in capital gains tax, despite an ambitious tax revenue target.

The benchmark share index closed up 4.9 percent at 76,338 points after the presentation of the budget, which looks to raise tax revenue of 13 trillion rupees ($47 billion) for the year starting July 1, up nearly 40 percent from the current year.

“The market was expecting an increase in capital gains tax and so investors had reduced exposure significantly,” said Adnan Sheikh, assistant vice president of Pak Kuwait Investment Co.

A record day was expected following the budget and Monday’s cut of 150 bps in the central bank’s policy rate, as “equities are the best option for the medium term,” said Sheikh.

Pakistan’s international sovereign bonds also rallied with longer-dated maturities seeing the largest gains. The 2036 bond added 1.4 cents — its biggest gain in more than two months — to be bid at just over 77 cents in the dollar, Tradeweb data showed. .

Following a post budget press conference on Thursday, Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb told Reuters that Islamabad plans to raise up to $1 billion through international bonds in the 2025/26 fiscal year, adding that up to $300 million will be raised through Chinese markets.

Apart from the capital gains tax, analysts say the budget and other revenue measures were in line with expectations.

The budget aims to strengthen the case for a new bailout deal from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), as Pakistan seeks an estimated loan ranging from $6 billion to $8 billion, to avert default in an economy growing at the region’s slowest pace.

“We believe this budget will serve as prior action for a new IMF program,” Topline Securities said in a note.

Topline said that if parliament passes the budget in compliance with IMF measures, it expected a forward price to earnings ratio of 6.93 in three years time, for a historic high, from 3.4 now.

Defending the decision to boost tax revenue, Aurangzeb said the present tax-to-GDP ratio of a little under 10 percent was not sustainable.

Key objectives for the upcoming fiscal year include efforts to increase the ratio gradually to 13 percent in the next three years, Aurangzeb told a press conference after presenting the budget in parliament.


Pakistan’s seafood exports to China rise 24% to $240 million in 2025

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Pakistan’s seafood exports to China rise 24% to $240 million in 2025

  • The Chinese embassy cites strong growth in agricultural trade with Pakistan
  • Islamabad aims to expand food exports amid effort to boost foreign reserves

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan’s seafood exports to China rose 24% year-on-year to $240 million in the first 11 months of 2025, the Chinese embassy in Islamabad said on Wednesday, highlighting growing agricultural trade between the two countries.

China is one of Pakistan’s largest seafood export markets, alongside destinations such as Thailand, Vietnam and countries in the Middle East. Pakistan exports fish, shrimp and other marine products sourced from coastal areas in Balochistan and Sindh, including Gwadar, Pasni and Karachi, with shipments typically consisting of frozen fish, frozen shrimp and a smaller volume of processed seafood.

The figure cited by the Chinese embassy fits into a longer upward trend, supported by rising Chinese demand, improvements in cold-chain logistics and market access approvals for Pakistani exporters.

“Pakistan’s seafood exports to China hit [nearly] $240 million from Jan-Nov 2025, soaring by 24% compared with the same period in 2024, which fully shows the strong vitality of the agricultural trade between China & Pakistan,” the embassy said. “[China looks] forward to more export of high-quality Pakistani products to China in the future.”

China is Pakistan’s closest regional ally and a key destination for its agricultural and food exports, which Islamabad has been seeking to expand to bolster foreign exchange earnings.

The two countries enjoy strong strategic and economic cooperation, with Chinese support seen as vital to Pakistan’s efforts to diversify its export base beyond textiles and reduce reliance on external financing.

Beijing and Islamabad are also working closely on energy and infrastructure projects as part of broader efforts to enhance regional connectivity and support industrial development in Pakistan.