China’s diplomatic triumph in Myanmar could be a stepping stone
https://arab.news/yg73p
In recent weeks, China has emerged as a key player in the brokering of a ceasefire between the rebels and the military in Myanmar, signaling its intent to play a more significant role in the region’s peace process. This move has far-reaching implications, underscoring China’s unique position as the only external player with credibility across all sides of the conflict.
As the dust settles on last week’s agreement, it is becoming increasingly evident that China’s diplomatic prowess could pave the way for a comprehensive peace plan in Myanmar, with the ultimate goal of ensuring stability in a region where Beijing has made substantial investments.
The ceasefire brokered by China reflects a strategic shift in its foreign policy approach. Traditionally, Beijing has been cautious about involving itself directly in the internal affairs of other nations. However, the escalating conflict in Myanmar, coupled with China’s growing economic interests in the country, compelled it to step into a mediator role. By successfully facilitating a ceasefire, China has demonstrated its commitment to stability and peace in the region.
At last August’s Greater Mekong Subregion Economic Corridor Governors’ Forum in Kunming, China, Dr. Kan Zaw, the Myanmar junta’s investment and foreign economic relations minister, revealed that Beijing has undertaken 597 investment projects in Myanmar, with a total value of $21.863 billion. This constitutes 23.5 percent of the overall foreign investment in Myanmar, with a predominant focus on the electricity sector.
Despite Myanmar facing internal armed conflicts, China remains actively involved in expanding its investments in the country. It has extended beyond existing projects like oil and gas pipelines, a deep-sea port in Rakhine State’s Kyaukphyu, tin, copper and rare earth mineral mining, electricity production and border trade. Notably, China is constructing a railway connecting Kyaukphyu with the key border town of Muse via Mandalay, forming part of the China-Myanmar Economic Corridor, which, in turn, is integral to the Belt and Road Initiative. Additionally, the junta’s foreign ministry last year reported China’s funding of 92 projects valued at $27.4 million through the Mekong-Lancang Cooperation Special Fund.
By successfully facilitating a ceasefire, China has demonstrated its commitment to stability and peace in the region
Dr. Azeem Ibrahim
Aside from its considerable investment in the region, China’s unique position as a credible broker stems from its historical ties with both the Myanmar military and the ethnic rebel groups. Unlike Western nations, which often face skepticism due to perceived biases, China’s diplomatic engagement has been characterized by a balanced approach. Over the years, Beijing has maintained diplomatic relations with the Myanmar military, while also engaging with various ethnic groups along the country’s border.
The success of China’s mediation efforts can be attributed to its pragmatic approach, avoiding the imposition of ideological values on Myanmar’s internal affairs. China’s policy of non-interference resonates with the conflicting parties, assuring them that Beijing’s involvement is driven by a genuine desire for stability rather than ulterior motives. This approach has enabled China to build trust with both the military and rebel factions — a crucial factor in navigating the complex web of Myanmar’s internal dynamics.
While challenges undoubtedly lie ahead, the success of China’s diplomatic endeavors in Myanmar could set a precedent for its involvement in resolving conflicts and fostering peace in other parts of the world.
As China ascends to the status of a global superpower, it is increasingly positioning itself to play a more proactive role in mediating global conflicts. Beijing’s success in brokering a ceasefire in Myanmar is emblematic of its growing diplomatic influence and signals its intent to extend its mediation efforts to other regions, notably the Middle East. China recognizes that its rising stature on the global stage necessitates a more active engagement in conflict resolution.
The Myanmar ceasefire, seen as a diplomatic triumph, provides China with a valuable asset — credibility. By successfully mediating between the Myanmar military and rebels, it has demonstrated its ability to navigate complex conflicts impartially. This newfound credibility positions China as a potential mediator in other long-standing disputes, such as the Israel-Palestine conflict.
As China ascends to superpower status, it is increasingly playing a more proactive role in mediating global conflicts
Dr. Azeem Ibrahim
The decline of the US’ credibility in recent years has created a diplomatic vacuum that China aims to fill. With its shifting priorities and internal challenges, the US has faced skepticism about its role as a mediator in various global conflicts. China, seizing the opportunity, aims to step into this void, presenting itself as a reliable and unbiased mediator.
The Israel-Palestine conflict, marked by decades of strife and failed peace efforts, presents a formidable challenge. However, China’s success in Myanmar enhances its standing as a credible and pragmatic mediator. The absence of historical baggage in the Middle East, coupled with its economic influence, positions China as a potential broker for peace talks.
As China contemplates a more active role in mediating conflicts globally, the success in Myanmar becomes a crucial stepping stone. The international community will watch closely as China navigates the world’s complex geopolitical landscapes, but its mediation in conflicts like the one in Myanmar could indeed pave the way for Beijing to play a pivotal role in fostering peace in other troubled regions.
• Dr. Azeem Ibrahim is the director of special initiatives at the Newlines Institute for Strategy and Policy in Washington, DC. X: @AzeemIbrahim
