World must prioritize resilience over disruption, economic experts warn

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Saudi Arabia’s Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan urged policymakers and investors to “mute the noise” and focus on resilience, as global leaders gathered in Davos on Friday. (Supplied)
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Saudi Arabia’s Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan urged policymakers and investors to “mute the noise” and focus on resilience, as global leaders gathered in Davos on Friday. (Supplied)
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Updated 23 January 2026
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World must prioritize resilience over disruption, economic experts warn

  • Al-Jadaan said that much of the anxiety dominating markets reflected a world that had already been shifting for years
  • Pointing to Asia and the Gulf, Al-Jadaan said that some countries had already built models based on diversification and resilience

DAVOS: Saudi Arabia’s Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan urged policymakers and investors to “mute the noise” and focus on resilience, as global leaders gathered in Davos on Friday against a backdrop of trade tensions, geopolitical uncertainty and rapid technological change.

Speaking on the final day of the World Economic Forum in Davos, Al-Jadaan said that much of the anxiety dominating markets reflected a world that had already been shifting for years.

“We need to define who ‘we’ are in this so-called new world order,” he said, arguing that many emerging economies had been adapting to a more fragmented global system for decades.

Pointing to Asia and the Gulf, Al-Jadaan said that some countries had already built models based on diversification and resilience. In energy markets, he pointed out that the focus should remain on balancing supply and demand in a way that incentivized investment without harming the global economy.

“Our role in OPEC is to stabilize the market,” he said.

His remarks were echoed by Saudi Arabia’s Minister of Economy and Planning Faisal Alibrahim, who said that uncertainty had weighed heavily on growth, investment and geopolitical risk, but that reality had proven more resilient.

“The economy has adjusted and continues to move forward,” Alibrahim said.

Alibrahim warned that pragmatism had become scarce, trust increasingly transactional, and collaboration more fragile. “Stability cannot be quickly built or bought,” he said.

Alibrahim called for a shift away from preserving the status quo towards the practical ingredients that made cooperation work, stressing discipline and long-term thinking even when views diverged.

Quoting Saudi Arabia’s founding King Abdulaziz Al-Saud, he added: “Facing challenges requires strength and confidence, there is no virtue in weakness. We cannot sit idle.”

President of the European Central Bank Christine Lagarde stressed the importance of distinguishing meaningful data from headline noise, saying: “Our duty as central bankers is to separate the signal from the noise. The real numbers are growth numbers not nominal ones.”

Managing Director of the IMF Kristalina Georgieva echoed Lagarde’s sentiments, saying that the world had entered a more “shock prone” environment shaped by technology and geopolitics.

Director General of the World Trade Organization Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala said that the global trade systems currently in place were remarkably resilient, pointing out that 72 percent of global trade continued despite disruptions.

She urged governments and businesses, however, to avoid overreacting.

Okonjo Iweala said that a return to the old order was unlikely, but trade would remain essential. Georgieva agreed, saying global trade would continue, albeit in a different form.

Georgieva warned that AI would accelerate economic transformation at an unprecedented speed. The IMF expects 60 percent of jobs to be affected by AI, either enhanced or displaced, with entry-level roles and middle-class workers facing the greatest pressure.

Lagarde warned that without cooperation, capital and data flows would suffer, undermining productivity and growth.

Al-Jadaan said that power dynamics had always shaped global relations, but dialogue remained essential. “The fact that thousands of leaders came here says something,” he said. “Some things cannot be done alone.”

In another session titled Geopolitical Risks Outlook for 2026, former US Democratic representative Jane Harman said that because of AI, the world was safer in some ways but worse off in others.

“I think AI can make the world riskier if it gets in the wrong hands and is used without guardrails to kill all of us. But AI also has enormous promise. AI may be a development tool that moves the third world ahead faster than our world, which has pretty messy politics,” she said.

American economist Eswar Prasad said that currently the world was in a “doom loop.”

Prasad said that the global economy was stuck in a negative-feedback loop and economics, domestic politics and geopolitics were only bringing out the worst in each other.

“Technology could lead to shared prosperity but what we are seeing is much more concentration of economic and financial power within and between countries, potentially making it a destabilizing force,” he said.

Prasad predicted that AI and tech development would impact growing economies the most. But he said that there was uncertainty about whether these developments would create job opportunities and growth in developing countries.

Professor of international political economy at the University of New South Wales in Australia, Elizabeth Thurbon, said that China was driving a Green Energy transition in a way that should be modeled by the rest of the world.

“The Chinese government is using the Green Energy Transition to boost energy security and is manufacturing its own energy to reduce reliance on fossil fuel imports,” she explained.

Thurbon said that China was using this transition to boost economic security, social security and geostrategic security. She viewed this as a huge security-enhancing opportunity and every country had the ability to use the energy transition as a national security multiplier. 

“We are seeing an enormous dynamism across emerging market economies driven by China. This boom loop is being driven by enormous investments in green energy. Two-thirds of global investment flowing into renewable energy is driven largely by China,” she said.

Thurbon said that China was taking an interesting approach to building relationships with countries by putting economic engagement on the forefront of what they had to offer.

“China is doing all it can to ensure economic partnership with emerging economies are productive. It’s important to approach alliances as not just political alliances but investment in economy, future and the flourishment of a state,” she said.

The panel criticized global economic treaties and laws, and expressed the need for immediate reforms in economic governing bodies.

“If you are a developing economy, the rules of the WTO, for example, are not helpful for you to develop. A lot of the rules make it difficult to pursue an economic development agenda. These regulations are not allowing the economies to grow,” Thurbon said.

“Serious reform must be made in international trade agreements, economic bodies and rules and guidelines,” she added.

Prasad echoed this sentiment and said there was a need for national and international reform in global economic institutions.

“These institutions are not working very well so we can reconfigure them or rebuild them from scratch. But unfortunately the task of rebuilding falls into the hands of those who are shredding them,” he said.

WEF attendees were invited to join the Global Collaboration and Growth meeting to be held in Saudi Arabia in April 2026 to continue addressing the complex global challenges and engage in dialogue.


Poland expects trade with Saudi Arabia to grow to $10 billion, finance and economy minister tells Arab News

Updated 10 February 2026
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Poland expects trade with Saudi Arabia to grow to $10 billion, finance and economy minister tells Arab News

  • Andrzej Domanski says his country’s companies are looking for reliable partners like Saudi Arabia
  • Highlights opportunities in clean energy, ICT, food security and construction cooperation on Riyadh visit

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s pace of transformation, its economic ambition under Vision 2030, and its role as Poland’s biggest Middle Eastern trading partner are driving a new phase in bilateral relations, Andrzej Domanski, Poland’s finance and economy minister, has said.

Speaking to Arab News during a visit to Riyadh on Monday, Domanski discussed how the two nations might expand their trade ties, the sectors where Polish businesses enjoy an edge, and the potential for broadening the bilateral relationship.

“We have better and better economic relations with the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. We will reach $10 billion in our trade,” Domanski said, describing Saudi Arabia as a “reliable partner” at a time when Polish companies are actively seeking diversification and new markets.

His visit comes as Saudi-Polish economic ties deepen beyond a historically oil-focused relationship into a broader partnership spanning energy transition, technology, construction, food security and potentially defense cooperation.

This evolution mirrors Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 diversification drive and Poland’s emergence as one of Europe’s fastest-growing large economies.

Domanski said Riyadh itself offered a powerful visual symbol of Saudi Arabia’s economic momentum.

“I must say that it’s my first visit to Riyadh and I’m really impressed,” he said. “I’m impressed by the pace of development. The thousands of cranes in the city. It is also a proof of how quickly Saudi Arabia is developing.”

Bilateral trade between Saudi Arabia and Poland has expanded rapidly in recent years, driven largely by energy flows. Saudi Arabia is now Poland’s main crude-oil supplier, accounting for roughly 60 percent of Poland’s oil imports.

Trade volumes have risen from about $7 billion in 2022 to around $8.5 billion in 2023, with Domanski predicting the $10 billion mark will soon be reached.

“We are, of course, importing crude oil. But we’d like to together search for new business opportunities for both Saudi and, of course, Polish companies,” he said.

Domanski argued that growth prospects make the country an attractive destination for Saudi investment.

Andrzej Domanski, Polish minister of finance and economy. (AN photo by Loai Elkelawy)

“On our side, we are also doing pretty well. We are the fastest growing large European economy,” he said. “This year we will work in the G20 format. This is because last year we joined the Group of the 20 biggest economies in the world. And we are frankly proud of that.”

Inflation, he added, has fallen sharply. “Inflation went down significantly, 2.5 percent. Very reasonable. A reasonable level. Investment started to pick up,” he said, pitching Poland as a stable European base for Saudi capital.

A recurring theme of Domanski’s visit was the alignment between Poland’s development priorities and Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 agenda.

“Our companies, our economy, are fully aligned with the ambitious Vision 2030 that is realized here,” he said.

Energy cooperation remains central, anchored by Saudi Aramco’s stake in the Lotos refinery in Gdansk — the largest Saudi direct investment in Poland — which underpins long-term crude-supply contracts and Poland’s energy-security strategy.

But Domanski stressed that the future lies increasingly in clean energy.

“It’s worth noting that right now Poland is building onshore capabilities, offshore capabilities, solar capabilities. And we are constructing the first Polish nuclear power plant,” he said.

“We want to diversify from coal into nuclear and renewables. And I believe that our Saudi partners could participate in this clean energy transformation of the Polish economy.”

The shift reflects broader cooperation under way between Warsaw and Riyadh on green energy and hydrogen, dovetailing Poland’s decarbonization plans with Saudi Arabia’s push to develop non-oil sectors.

Technology and digital services emerged as one of the most promising areas for expansion, with Poland positioning itself as a provider of high-end IT talent for Saudi Arabia’s digital and AI-driven projects.

“ICT solutions. We have really great companies that provide the best solutions. They are already well recognized in Western European countries. They have their footprint here in Riyadh,” Domanski said.

“Having said that, they still lack scale. So my visit here is also to discuss that kind of business opportunity.”

Polish officials frequently point to the country’s deep pool of programmers and cybersecurity specialists. Warsaw has signaled plans for dozens of Polish firms to establish regional headquarters in Saudi Arabia, particularly in AI, cybersecurity and digital infrastructure.

Domanski underscored Poland’s strengths in specific niches.

“I believe that we are really top class,” he said. “For example, in cybersecurity, we really have companies that are providing the best solutions for smart cities in Western Europe.

“But, I believe there is lots of room for strengthening this presence and the cooperation with Saudi partners.”

Food security is another area where Poland sees scope for joint ventures and long-term cooperation. “We are quite an important food producer,” Domanski said. “We have knowhow. We have land. We have a growing sector.

“And I believe that, for example, through joint ventures with our Saudi partners, we could establish a long lasting cooperation in this sector.”

The construction sector also featured prominently, reflecting the scale and pace of development under way across the Kingdom.

“We have lots of contractors that proved to be very efficient and contractors that keep timelines and realize how it is important to deliver on time,” Domanski said.

“And I believe that here, seeing how quickly Saudi Arabia is developing, those contractors could also help in your development.”

Domanski highlighted the importance of institutional frameworks and regular high-level engagement. During his visit, discussions focused on communication mechanisms and a formal framework for cooperation.

“First of all, we need communication and we need to have a frame for cooperation,” he said.

Andrzej Domanski, Polish minister of finance and economy, with Arab News report Lama Alhamawi. (AN photo by Loai Elkelawy)

“So this is why I’m really glad that together with the minister of trade, minister of investment, we were discussing both communication, and we’d like to see each other, invite each other more often, as this is very, very, important.

“And we’d like to set, also, the frame for cooperation. And such a document will be signed today. So we will decide who will be responsible for some particular areas and when we would like some results to be delivered.”

The move builds on existing structures, including the Saudi-Polish Coordination Council and a Saudi-Polish Business Council, as well as a new memorandum of understanding signed in January to strengthen the partnership’s strategic character.

Domanski said he hopes Saudi delegations will soon travel to Poland, including for major economic and reconstruction-focused events.

“I do hope that our friends from Saudi Arabia will join us during our economic congress, which will take place in Katowice in the Silesia region, the most industrialized region of Poland, at the end of June,” he said.

He also highlighted Poland’s role in hosting a major summit on Ukraine.

“We will host the Ukrainian Recovery Conference, which is a truly international event. And we would also love to see our Saudi friends to be there,” he said.

“I’ve invited ministers to participate in those events.”

While his focus remains economic, Domanski did not rule out expanding cooperation into defense, particularly as Poland ramps up military spending and industrial capacity.

“Unfortunately I couldn’t attend,” he said, referring to the World Defense Show currently taking place in Riyadh. “Having said that, it’s worth noting that Poland spends close to 5 percent of our GDP on defense. We intend to build a very strong defense industry in Poland.

“We are, of course, supporting, building a strong defense industry in Europe. But of course, I’m mostly focused on Poland. And therefore I believe that we can provide really, very good solutions for and very good equipment that could be presented here, and hopefully we can develop our cooperation also in this sector.”

For Domanski, Saudi Arabia represents not only Poland’s most important economic partner in the Arab world, but a gateway to diversification and scale.

“Polish companies are getting larger and larger,” he said. “And, of course, are looking for diversification, looking for new markets and for reliable partners like Saudi Arabia.”