Oil Updates — prices poised for weekly fall on Trump’s energy policies

Brent crude futures were down 9 cents at $78.20 a barrel by 7:45 a.m. Saudi time. Shutterstock
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Updated 24 January 2025
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Oil Updates — prices poised for weekly fall on Trump’s energy policies

LONDON: Oil prices edged up on Friday but remained on track for a weekly decline after US President Donald Trump announced sweeping plans to boost US production and demanded that OPEC move to lower crude prices.

Brent crude futures gained 25 cents, or 0.3 percent, to $78.54 a barrel by 2:47 p.m. Saudi time GMT while US West Texas Intermediate crude was up 22 cents, or 0.3 percent, at $74.84.

Over the week Brent has lost nearly 3 percent while WTI is down close to 4 percent.

“After a week of Trump being in office, the various executive orders are not being disruptive to oil supplies. Most of what he has done has been with an inward domestic focus,” said Harry Tchilinguiran at Onyx Capital Group.

“We were looking for pronouncements around tariffs, around Iran, Venezuela and Russia.”

Ahead of Trump’s inauguration the market had built up a net long position in oil futures to hedge against price gains arising from supply disruption, but this has now started to unwind, Tchilinguiran said.

Trump, during his speech on Thursday at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, said he would demand that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries bring down the cost of crude barrels.

He also said he would ask Saudi Arabia to increase a US investment package to $1 trillion, up from $600 billion reported by the Kingdom’s state news agency earlier in the day.

“I don’t really expect OPEC will change policy unless there is a change in fundamentals,” said UBS commodities analyst Giovanni Staunovo. “Markets will be relatively muted until we get more clarity on sanctions policy and tariffs.” 

Trump had declared a national energy emergency on Monday, rolling back environmental restrictions on energy infrastructure as part of a sweeping plan to maximize domestic oil and gas production.

On Wednesday, he vowed to hit the EU with tariffs and impose 25 percent tariffs against Canada and Mexico, and said his administration was considering a 10 percent punitive duty on China.

As attention shifts to a possible February timeline for new tariffs set by Trump, caution will likely persist in the market as any new trade restrictions will carry negative implications for global growth, potentially weighing on oil demand prospects, said Yeap Jun Rong, market strategist at IG.

Traders expect oil prices to range between $76.50 and $78 a barrel, Yeap added.

While bullish catalysts like a significant drawdown in US crude stocks are providing temporary positive swings, an overall oversupplied global market and ailing projections of Chinese demand continue to weigh on crude futures, Phillip Nova’s Sachdeva said.

US crude inventories last week hit their lowest level since March 2022, according to the US Energy Information Administration.

The EIA report, issued a day late because of a US holiday on Monday, said crude stockpiles fell by 1 million barrels to 411.7 million barrels in the week to Jan. 17, marking a ninth consecutive weekly decline.


Saudi Arabia, Japan trade rises 38% between 2016 and 2024, minister says

Updated 58 min 57 sec ago
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Saudi Arabia, Japan trade rises 38% between 2016 and 2024, minister says

RIYADH: Trade between Saudi Arabia and Japan has increased by 38 percent between 2016 and 2024 to reach SR138 billion ($36 billion), the Kingdom’s investment minister revealed.

Speaking at the Saudi-Japanese Ministerial Investment Forum 2026, Khalid Al-Falih explained that this makes the Asian country the Kingdom’s third-largest trading partner, according to Asharq Bloomberg.

This falls in line with the fact that Saudi Arabia has been a very important country for Japan from the viewpoint of its energy security, having been a stable supplier of crude oil for many years.

It also aligns well with how Japan is fully committed to supporting Vision 2030 by sharing its knowledge and advanced technologies.

“This trade is dominated by the Kingdom's exports of energy products, specifically oil, gas, and their derivatives. We certainly look forward to the Saudi private sector increasing trade with Japan, particularly in high-tech Japanese products,” Al-Falih said.

He added: “As for investment, Japanese investment in the Kingdom is good and strong, but we look forward to raising the level of Japanese investments in the Kingdom. Today, the Kingdom offers promising opportunities for Japanese companies in several fields, including the traditional sector that links the two economies: energy.”

The minister went on to note that additional sectors that both countries can also collaborate in include green and blue hydrogen, investments in advanced industries, health, food security, innovation, entrepreneurship, among others.

During his speech, Al-Falih shed light on how the Kingdom’s pavilion at Expo 2025 in Osaka achieved remarkable success, with the exhibition receiving more than 3 million visitors, reflecting the Japanese public’s interest in Saudi Arabia.

“The pavilion also organized approximately 700 new business events, several each day, including 88 major investment events led by the Ministry of Investment. Today, as we prepare for the upcoming Expo 2030, we look forward to building upon Japan’s achievements,” he said.

The minister added: “During our visit to Japan, we agreed to establish a partnership to transfer the remarkable Japanese experience from Expo Osaka 2025 to Expo Riyadh 2030. I am certain that the Japanese pavilion at Expo Riyadh will rival the Saudi pavilion at Expo Osaka in terms of organization, innovation, and visitor turnout.”

Al-Falih also shed light on how Saudi-Japanese relations celebrated their 70th anniversary last year, and today marks the 71st year of these relations as well as how they have flourished over the decades, moving from one strategic level to an even higher one.