Turkiye’s GDP grew 5.9% in Q3, higher than forecast

Gross domestic product grew 0.3 percent from the previous quarter on a seasonally and calendar-adjusted basis. Shutterstock.
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Updated 30 November 2023
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Turkiye’s GDP grew 5.9% in Q3, higher than forecast

ISTANBUL: Turkiye’s economy expanded by a more-than-expected 5.9 percent in the third quarter, driven by household spending, data showed on Thursday, but activity should slow through the year-end after aggressive monetary tightening to cool demand, according to Reuters.

Gross domestic product grew 0.3 percent from the previous quarter on a seasonally and calendar-adjusted basis, data from the Turkish Statistical Institute showed.

In a Reuters poll, the economy was forecast to have expanded 5.6 percent annually in the third quarter, after which it should cool given the central bank has hiked rates to 40 percent from 8.5 percent since June as part of a sharp U-turn toward policy orthodoxy.

The annual reading was the highest since the second quarter of last year. Growth in the second quarter of this year was revised up to 3.9 percent from 3.8 percent, the data also showed.

The construction and industrial sectors expanded by 8.1 percent and 5.7 percent respectively, while the agriculture sector grew by only 0.3 percent, the data showed, in part reflecting fallout and rebuilding after this year's devastating earthquakes in the southeast.

The lira strengthened to 28.85 against the dollar after the data was revealed, boosting expectations of a further 250 basis points rate hike by the central bank in December.

Nevertheless, analysts predicted Turkiye's economy would begin to slow after aggressive monetary tightening designed to cool demand and inflation.

"With the central bank set to keep interest rates at a restrictive level over the coming quarters, growth looks set to slow further in 2024 and this will help to narrow the current account deficit and cool inflation pressures," said Liam Peach, senior emerging markets economist at Capital Economics.


Gulf-EU value chain integration signals shift toward long-term economic partnership: GCC secretary general

Updated 03 February 2026
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Gulf-EU value chain integration signals shift toward long-term economic partnership: GCC secretary general

RIYADH: Value chains between the Gulf and Europe are poised to become deeper and more resilient as economic ties shift beyond traditional trade toward long-term industrial and investment integration, according to the secretary general of the Gulf Cooperation Council.

Speaking on the sidelines of the World Governments Summit 2026 in Dubai, Jasem Al-Budaiwi said Gulf-European economic relations are shifting from simple commodity trade toward the joint development of sustainable value chains, reflecting a more strategic and lasting partnership.

His remarks were made during a dialogue session titled “The next investment and trade race,” held with Luigi Di Maio, the EU’s special representative for external affairs.

Al-Budaiwi said relations between the GCC and the EU are among the bloc’s most established partnerships, built on decades of institutional collaboration that began with the signing of the 1988 cooperation agreement.

He noted that the deal laid a solid foundation for political and economic dialogue and opened broad avenues for collaboration in trade, investment, and energy, as well as development and education.

The secretary general added that the partnership has undergone a qualitative shift in recent years, particularly following the adoption of the joint action program for the 2022–2027 period and the convening of the Gulf–European summit in Brussels.

Subsequent ministerial meetings, he said, have focused on implementing agreed outcomes, enhancing trade and investment cooperation, improving market access, and supporting supply chains and sustainable development.

According to Al-Budaiwi, merchandise trade between the two sides has reached around $197 billion, positioning the EU as one of the GCC’s most important trading partners.

He also pointed to the continued growth of European foreign direct investment into Gulf countries, which he said reflects the depth of economic interdependence and rising confidence in the Gulf business environment.

Looking ahead, Al-Budaiwi emphasized that the economic transformation across GCC states, driven by ambitious national visions, is creating broad opportunities for expanded cooperation with Europe. 

He highlighted clean energy, green hydrogen, and digital transformation, as well as artificial intelligence, smart infrastructure, and cybersecurity, as priority areas for future partnership.

He added that the success of Gulf-European cooperation should not be measured solely by trade volumes or investment flows, but by its ability to evolve into an integrated model based on trust, risk-sharing, and the joint creation of economic value, contributing to stability and growth in the global economy.

GCC–EU plans to build shared value chains look well-timed as trade policy volatility rises.

In recent weeks, Washington’s renewed push over Greenland has been tied to tariff threats against European countries, prompting the EU to keep a €93 billion ($109.7 billion) retaliation package on standby. 

At the same time, tighter US sanctions on Iran are increasing compliance risks for energy and shipping-related finance. Meanwhile, the World Trade Organization and UNCTAD warn that higher tariffs and ongoing uncertainty could weaken trade and investment across both regions in 2026.