The methodology behind a new Arab News/YouGov pan-Arab survey

The survey was conducted using YouGov’s online survey methodology. (AFP)
Short Url
Updated 26 October 2020
Follow

The methodology behind a new Arab News/YouGov pan-Arab survey

  • Poll aims to understand what people in the Arab world anticipate from the next US administration
  • People from 18 countries in North Africa, the Levant and GCC region took part in an online survey

RIYADH: Voters across the US will decide on Nov. 3 whether President Donald Trump will remain their leader for another four years. The White House occupant is challenged by Joe Biden, who served two terms as Barack Obama’s vice-president and has been a prominent Democrat politician since the 1970s.
As part of its continued partnership with Arab News to reveal the public’s views on current events, YouGov conducted an opinion poll in late September 2020 to gauge how Arabs across the Middle East view the 2020 US election, the candidates and their policies.
The main aim of the Arab News/YouGov pan-Arab survey is to understand what the region anticipates from a future US presidential administration.
The survey was conducted using YouGov’s online survey methodology. The respondents were picked from among YouGov’s global panel of over 8 million individuals across the world who agreed to take part in the online surveys.

An email was sent to panelists selected at random from the panel, inviting them to take part in the survey and providing a link to questions. All figures, unless otherwise stated, are based on the responses to the Arab News/YouGov pan-Arab survey.
The total sample size was 3,097 Arabic speakers, aged 18 years or above, residing across 18 Arab-speaking countries in North Africa, the Levant and the Gulf. Fieldwork was undertaken between Sept. 21 and Sept. 27
this year. The overall margin of error is ±1.761 percent. The sample was weighted as per the population distribution of all the countries covered. Weights were also added in line with regional distribution of age groups, and for equal representation of men and women.

A staggering majority were not familiar with how the US president was elected: 82 percent agreed that the candidate with the most votes across the board will win the presidential elections, omitting the Electoral College which is the ultimate decider of the presidential vote.
The survey results have been rebased, in line with accepted industry standards, to remove “Don’t Know” or “Can’t Say” answers to compare only relevant answers.
A majority of the respondents (76 percent) said they believe in the significance of the next US president and his impact on the Arab world in 2021. Regardless of who will fill the post on Inauguration Day, residents of the Arab region believe in the importance and impact the US president will have in 2021.

When asked which candidate would be better for the Arab world, most respondents (49 percent) said neither candidate would be, but Biden (40 percent) was still considered a better option than Trump (12 percent).
Analysts say this in part reflects the emotional nature with which Arabs are seeing the candidates and their potential administrations despite the facts on the ground. For, although Biden is not as well known as Trump, he is perceived more favorably perhaps because he is Trump’s opponent.


Aidarous Al-Zubaidi: Fugitive at large

Updated 6 sec ago
Follow

Aidarous Al-Zubaidi: Fugitive at large

  • Yemen appoints committee to probe allegations against former STC leader after the group’s collapse and his reported flight from the country
  • Preliminary findings accuse Al-Zubaidi of exploiting public office for personal gain, fueling political division and instability in south

LONDON: A special committee formed on presidential authority by Yemen’s public prosecutor’s office has made a series of findings against Maj. Gen. Aidarous Al-Zubaidi, the sacked vice-president of the country’s Presidential Leadership Council (PLC).
Al-Zubaidi, who is accused of high treason and other crimes against the state, is currently on the run.
Arab News has seen a copy of preliminary findings by the committee which reveal that Al-Zubaidi is accused of abuses of power including corruption, land grabbing and oil trading for personal gain.
On Jan. 7, the PLC issued a decree revoking Al-Zubaidi’s membership of the PLC and accusing him of high treason and other serious crimes, including forming an armed gang, killing military officers and soldiers, and undermining the country’s sovereignty.
At the same time it authorized the public prosecutor’s office to form a special committee to investigate allegations against Al-Zubaidi, empowering it to summon and arrest individuals, gather evidence and take necessary actions according to the law, with a mandate to complete the investigation quickly and to provide periodic reports to the PLC.
The committee’s preliminary findings identify a series of serious allegations against Al-Zubaidi, who is said to be responsible for multiple abuses “which have contributed to creating a state of political and popular division in the southern governorates.”
Al-Zubaidi is the leader of the Southern Transitional Council (STC). On Jan. 7, Al-Zubaidi was due to attend talks in Riyadh with a 50-member delegation from the STC, but at the last minute, he fled instead.
The committee’s findings include allegations that Al-Zubaidi is alleged to have seized large plots of land, including in the Aden Free Zone, on Al-Ummal Island, in Bir Fadl and the Ras Omran area.
The committee has also uncovered allegations that pressure was exerted on the Yemen Petroleum Company and its director, Tareq Al-Walidi, to prevent the import of fuel except through a company affiliated with Al-Zubaidi’s brother-in-law, Jihad Al-Shoudhabi, and the Minister of Transport, Abdul Salam Humaid.
For nearly two years, it is claimed, Al-Shoudhabi has been the sole supplier, earning large profits that have gone to Al-Zubaidi’s treasury.
The report also identifies commercial companies owned by Al-Shoudhabi and, “behind him,” it is claimed, Al-Zubaidi. Two are named in the report: Alahlia Exchange &  Transfers Company and Arabian Furniture Center, one of Yemen’s largest furniture companies. Both are headquartered in Aden.
All these and other “deeply regrettable acts of seizure, plunder, and financial and administrative corruption,” the committee says, “have had serious repercussions in southern circles and were a direct cause of southern division and the emergence of many grievances.”
On Thursday, a spokesman for the Saudi-led coalition in Yemen said there was reliable intelligence indicating that on the night of Jan. 7, Al-Zubaidi had departed from Aden on a ship bound for Somaliland — probably the port of Berbera, 260 kilometers south across the Gulf of Aden.
From there he is believed to have been flown on a cargo aircraft to Abu Dhabi, capital of the UAE, via Mogadishu, the coastal capital of Somalia, a flight of about 2,600 km.
Some of the crimes of which Al-Zubaidi is accused relate to the largescale military offensive launched by STC forces across southern Yemen in December.
“We know that the Southern Transitional Council worked to storm the eastern cities militarily,” a source close to the Yemeni government told Arab News.
“The pattern and scale of grave human-rights violations and acts of security and military escalation witnessed by the eastern cities in the south of the homeland — Hadhramout, Al-Mahra and Shabwah — as a result of the military incursion by the forces of the Transitional Council during the monitoring period extending from Dec. 3, are considered heinous crimes against the Yemeni people.”
According to the Yemeni Ministry of Legal Affairs and Human Rights, a total of 2,358 individual offences have been identified, including cases of extrajudicial killing and physical injuries, arbitrary arrests and captivity, enforced disappearance and displacement, and the destruction and looting of public and private property.
Backed by Saudi airstrikes, in the first week of January, the Yemeni government quickly regained the captured territories, Al-Zubaidi was sacked from the PLC and charged with treason, and the UAE announced it would withdraw its remaining troops from the country.
Following Al-Zubaidi’s disappearance on the eve of the planned talks in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia has accused the UAE of helping to smuggle the wanted man out of the country.
The same source told Arab News there is evidence that Al-Zubaidi “was receiving YER 10 billion ($42 million) monthly … deducted from the aid that Yemen was receiving.
“While Al-Zubaidi was receiving those funds, Yemeni citizens had not been receiving their lawful salaries for years, including the diplomatic corps.”
Last Thursday, Mohammed Al-Jaber, the Saudi ambassador to Yemen, announced that the Kingdom would assume responsibility for the salaries of Yemeni state employees, including military personnel, giving $90 million to cover salaries for two months.
On Friday evening, Al-Zubaidi, his whereabouts still unconfirmed, made his first public statement since his disappearance 10 days ago.
“We will no longer accept any solutions that diminish our rights or impose an unacceptable reality upon us,” he wrote in a social media post that left no doubt about his determination to undermine the internationally recognized government of Yemen.
He added: “I pledge to you ... that we will continue together until we achieve the desired national goal.
“With your determination, we will prevail. With your unity, the South will be protected, and with your will, the future state will be established.”