LONDON: The future of Airbus’ A380 depends to a large extent on Emirates, the Dubai carrier that is by far the aircraft maker’s largest customer, analysts told Arab News.
Airbus was upstaged at the recent Dubai Airshow when instead of an expected announcement that Emirates would order 36 of Airbus’ superjumbos, it disclosed an order with arch-rival Boeing for 40 787s at a list price of $15 billion. It is not clear when or if Emirates will order more A380s, the mainstay of its fleet.
The battle between the A380 and 787 has been going on for years with the former being bigger and able to carry more passengers, but the latter sleeker and more energy efficient. The two companies are also promoting two business models, with the A380 designed to fly to a hub such as Dubai for onward travel, while Boeing has bet on passengers preferring to fly “point-to-point.”
That said, the hub model could still be valid, but with smaller aircraft using it, Tim Coombs, managing director at Aviation Economics, told Arab News.
Reuters reported on Thursday that Airbus was considering cutting production to six or seven planes a year. But it had not made a final decision on the matter, a top executive told the news agency, amid growing question marks over the future of the double-decker jet.
The A380 has battled against sluggish sales for some time and has previously announced plans to lower output to 12 aircraft in 2018 and eight in 2019, compared with an annual peak of 30.
Coombs said: “Without the support of Emirates, the A380 program would be a bit of a disaster as Airbus has failed to sell the carrier, in any great number, to other airline networks.” He said Emirates and the A380 project were “inexorably linked.”
“It’s not healthy from Airbus’ point of view that they are so reliant on one carrier,” he added.
“But I think they have an order book for other aircraft to justify a cut in production of the A380.”
“Every other aircraft in their production line has probably got a seven-year backlog in orders from other carriers, but that’s not the case with the A380.”
Chris Tarry, an airlines analyst at CTAIRA said, “Airbus is clearly looking at what the future rate of delivery is going to be, and it would be logical and sensible to adjust your production to what you are going to sell.”
He added: “Clearly the A380 hasn’t sold as well as when the plan was put together all those years ago, the market has changed and the reality is that you can now move passengers on a new-generation, smaller aircraft as economically as on a larger one. The A380 was conceived maybe 30 years ago, but the markets move on.”
Airbus has faced pressure on other fronts this year, with engine delays on its popular A320neo single-aisle carrier, and having to cope with the impact of corruption investigations. Denis Ranque, chairman of Airbus, told the Financial Times on Thursday that senior management will have to change after a raft of investigations that have rocked Airbus to the core.
“There is no strict timeline,” Ranque said in an interview with the FT. “That enables us to make a staggered and reasonable approach to this. Some changes will be needed but it is far too early to say when, who and how.”
Airbus was said to be currently strengthening its compliance procedures in the wake of allegations about its use of middlemen to win aircraft deals. It is facing probes in the UK, France, Germany and Austria.
Future of A380 hangs on Emirates amid rumors of production cuts
Future of A380 hangs on Emirates amid rumors of production cuts
World must prioritize resilience over disruption, economic experts warn
- Al-Jadaan said that much of the anxiety dominating markets reflected a world that had already been shifting for years
- Pointing to Asia and the Gulf, Al-Jadaan said that some countries had already built models based on diversification and resilience
DAVOS: Saudi Arabia’s Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan urged policymakers and investors to “mute the noise” and focus on resilience, as global leaders gathered in Davos on Friday against a backdrop of trade tensions, geopolitical uncertainty and rapid technological change.
Speaking on the final day of the World Economic Forum in Davos, Al-Jadaan said that much of the anxiety dominating markets reflected a world that had already been shifting for years.
“We need to define who ‘we’ are in this so-called new world order,” he said, arguing that many emerging economies had been adapting to a more fragmented global system for decades.
Pointing to Asia and the Gulf, Al-Jadaan said that some countries had already built models based on diversification and resilience. In energy markets, he pointed out that the focus should remain on balancing supply and demand in a way that incentivized investment without harming the global economy.
“Our role in OPEC is to stabilize the market,” he said.
His remarks were echoed by Saudi Arabia’s Minister of Economy and Planning Faisal Alibrahim, who said that uncertainty had weighed heavily on growth, investment and geopolitical risk, but that reality had proven more resilient.
“The economy has adjusted and continues to move forward,” Alibrahim said.
Alibrahim warned that pragmatism had become scarce, trust increasingly transactional, and collaboration more fragile. “Stability cannot be quickly built or bought,” he said.
Alibrahim called for a shift away from preserving the status quo towards the practical ingredients that made cooperation work, stressing discipline and long-term thinking even when views diverged.
Quoting Saudi Arabia’s founding King Abdulaziz Al-Saud, he added: “Facing challenges requires strength and confidence, there is no virtue in weakness. We cannot sit idle.”
President of the European Central Bank Christine Lagarde stressed the importance of distinguishing meaningful data from headline noise, saying: “Our duty as central bankers is to separate the signal from the noise. The real numbers are growth numbers not nominal ones.”
Managing Director of the IMF Kristalina Georgieva echoed Lagarde’s sentiments, saying that the world had entered a more “shock prone” environment shaped by technology and geopolitics.
Director General of the World Trade Organization Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala said that the global trade systems currently in place were remarkably resilient, pointing out that 72 percent of global trade continued despite disruptions.
She urged governments and businesses, however, to avoid overreacting.
Okonjo Iweala said that a return to the old order was unlikely, but trade would remain essential. Georgieva agreed, saying global trade would continue, albeit in a different form.
Georgieva warned that AI would accelerate economic transformation at an unprecedented speed. The IMF expects 60 percent of jobs to be affected by AI, either enhanced or displaced, with entry-level roles and middle-class workers facing the greatest pressure.
Lagarde warned that without cooperation, capital and data flows would suffer, undermining productivity and growth.
Al-Jadaan said that power dynamics had always shaped global relations, but dialogue remained essential. “The fact that thousands of leaders came here says something,” he said. “Some things cannot be done alone.”
In another session titled Geopolitical Risks Outlook for 2026, former US Democratic representative Jane Harman said that because of AI, the world was safer in some ways but worse off in others.
“I think AI can make the world riskier if it gets in the wrong hands and is used without guardrails to kill all of us. But AI also has enormous promise. AI may be a development tool that moves the third world ahead faster than our world, which has pretty messy politics,” she said.
American economist Eswar Prasad said that currently the world was in a “doom loop.”
Prasad said that the global economy was stuck in a negative-feedback loop and economics, domestic politics and geopolitics were only bringing out the worst in each other.
“Technology could lead to shared prosperity but what we are seeing is much more concentration of economic and financial power within and between countries, potentially making it a destabilizing force,” he said.
Prasad predicted that AI and tech development would impact growing economies the most. But he said that there was uncertainty about whether these developments would create job opportunities and growth in developing countries.
Professor of international political economy at the University of New South Wales in Australia, Elizabeth Thurbon, said that China was driving a Green Energy transition in a way that should be modeled by the rest of the world.
“The Chinese government is using the Green Energy Transition to boost energy security and is manufacturing its own energy to reduce reliance on fossil fuel imports,” she explained.
Thurbon said that China was using this transition to boost economic security, social security and geostrategic security. She viewed this as a huge security-enhancing opportunity and every country had the ability to use the energy transition as a national security multiplier.
“We are seeing an enormous dynamism across emerging market economies driven by China. This boom loop is being driven by enormous investments in green energy. Two-thirds of global investment flowing into renewable energy is driven largely by China,” she said.
Thurbon said that China was taking an interesting approach to building relationships with countries by putting economic engagement on the forefront of what they had to offer.
“China is doing all it can to ensure economic partnership with emerging economies are productive. It’s important to approach alliances as not just political alliances but investment in economy, future and the flourishment of a state,” she said.
The panel criticized global economic treaties and laws, and expressed the need for immediate reforms in economic governing bodies.
“If you are a developing economy, the rules of the WTO, for example, are not helpful for you to develop. A lot of the rules make it difficult to pursue an economic development agenda. These regulations are not allowing the economies to grow,” Thurbon said.
“Serious reform must be made in international trade agreements, economic bodies and rules and guidelines,” she added.
Prasad echoed this sentiment and said there was a need for national and international reform in global economic institutions.
“These institutions are not working very well so we can reconfigure them or rebuild them from scratch. But unfortunately the task of rebuilding falls into the hands of those who are shredding them,” he said.
WEF attendees were invited to join the Global Collaboration and Growth meeting to be held in Saudi Arabia in April 2026 to continue addressing the complex global challenges and engage in dialogue.









