From machinery to digitization — the tech is different but pace of change is not, says Lagarde 

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Christine Lagarde, president of the European Central Bank (Screen grab)
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Christine Lagarde, president of the European Central Bank (Screen grab)
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Updated 21 January 2026
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From machinery to digitization — the tech is different but pace of change is not, says Lagarde 

DUBAI: The parallels between today’s economy and that of the 1920s was discussed by Christine Lagarde, president of the European Central Bank, in Davos on Wednesday.

The session compared the impact of artificial intelligence on today’s economy with technological breakthroughs in the 1920s which altered global trade and stock markets in the aftermath of the First World War.

Lagarde and other panelists discussed the parallels between the economy now and then in the wake of technological changes.

“The technological breakthroughs that took place in the 1920s, whether you look at the size and scope of the electrical grid, the combustion engine and its developments, the assembly line [manufacturing], those were technological breakthroughs that took place in those years. At the same time, you also had a stock market that was doing very well,” she said.

“What we're looking at now is galloping digitalization of our economies, with a particular focus on artificial intelligence. We’re seeing stock markets not doing extremely well. And we are seeing a fragmentation of geopolitics, which is accompanied by an increase of the tariff of the import and export restrictions in almost all categories of products.”




The session, moderated by Andrew R. Sorkin, editor and columnist at the New York Times, also hosted a select group of leading figures in finance, including Ken Griffin, founder and CEO of Citadel LLC; Laurence D. Fink, chair and CEO of BlackRock; and Adam Tooze, director of the European Institute at Columbia University.

Lagarde said the significant difference between the 1920s and the present day, which makes the current situation “more unpredictable,” was that the breakthroughs of the 1920s “could diffuse within boundaries, within national territories.”

“You did not necessarily, back in those days, [need] the scale, the network that you need now,” she said. “Now, if you ask the big spenders on AI: What do they need? They will say access to data, as large as possible. They will say scale, in order to really amortize the investment cost of the development of models.

“That would be significantly jeopardized if we have limited access to data because of different privacy laws around the world. And more protectionist barriers that would prevent the scaling of these investments.”

Lagarde said she was not denying that investment in artificial intelligence “can be extremely net positive.”

“It will deliver productivity gains, the amount of which is questionable and you have a spectrum that is quite large as to how much it will deliver,” she said. “We have to consider that it’s capital intensive, energy intensive, and data intensive. And we have to be mindful of the three. In terms of energy intensity, what kind of energy is being used to manage data will matter. What the consequences will be on the people will matter as well.”

The session was moderated by Andrew R. Sorkin, editor and columnist at the New York Times.

It also hosted a select group of leading figures in finance, including Ken Griffin, founder and CEO of Citadel LLC; Laurence D. Fink, chair and CEO of BlackRock; and Adam Tooze, director of the European Institute at Columbia University.




Session titled “The Intelligent Co-Worker” at the forum on Wednesday also discussed AI (Screengrab)

Another session titled: “The Intelligent Co-Worker” at the forum on Wednesday also discussed AI, evolving from a tool to a co-worker, transforming how individuals work and how organizations operate.

The session addressed how humans are thriving alongside their digital co-workers.

Kian Katanforoosh, Founder and CEO at Workera, said he was not a fan of calling AI a co-worker.

“I’m not a fan of calling AI agents, agents. Either I’m a fan of calling it a coworker.”

Citing publications that come out of frontier labs, Katanforoosh said that as they all concern tasks, results show AI is good at tasks but the human factor still makes a difference.

“Humans have jobs that can make up 100s of tasks at times. And it turns out that AI being good at a set of tasks is very different than AI taking on an entire job. And in fact, most of the predictions on Job X, YZ is going away over the last few years has been wrong. We still have translators; we still have customer support managers. We still have a lot of couriers that we thought we go away way faster than they actually did.”

Kate Kallot, founder and CEO of Amini, agreed with Katanforoosh, saying “AI is always a tool, not a coworker.” 

She gave an example on radiology, saying it was believed that radiologists at some point were going to disappear because computer vision and AI started to surpass recognizing certain diseases and reading radiographies better than the human eye.

“But actually today, they are more radiologists actually getting into the profession. And what happened is that the [AI] tool has made that profession [attractive] again,” she noted.

“And I’m thinking that I do believe that we’re going to see this happening everywhere. We are seeing this happening in governments we work with. As we start deploying AI systems and AI tools across governors, governments workers, civil servers, are finding a renewed interest of doing their works differently with a different interface.”


World must prioritize resilience over disruption, economic experts warn

Saudi Arabia’s Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan urged policymakers and investors to “mute the noise” and focus on resilience.
Updated 23 January 2026
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World must prioritize resilience over disruption, economic experts warn

  • Al-Jadaan said that much of the anxiety dominating markets reflected a world that had already been shifting for years
  • Pointing to Asia and the Gulf, Al-Jadaan said that some countries had already built models based on diversification and resilience

DAVOS: Saudi Arabia’s Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan urged policymakers and investors to “mute the noise” and focus on resilience, as global leaders gathered in Davos on Friday against a backdrop of trade tensions, geopolitical uncertainty and rapid technological change.

Speaking on the final day of the World Economic Forum in Davos, Al-Jadaan said that much of the anxiety dominating markets reflected a world that had already been shifting for years.

“We need to define who ‘we’ are in this so-called new world order,” he said, arguing that many emerging economies had been adapting to a more fragmented global system for decades.

Pointing to Asia and the Gulf, Al-Jadaan said that some countries had already built models based on diversification and resilience. In energy markets, he pointed out that the focus should remain on balancing supply and demand in a way that incentivized investment without harming the global economy.

“Our role in OPEC is to stabilize the market,” he said.

His remarks were echoed by Saudi Arabia’s Minister of Economy and Planning Faisal Alibrahim, who said that uncertainty had weighed heavily on growth, investment and geopolitical risk, but that reality had proven more resilient.

“The economy has adjusted and continues to move forward,” Alibrahim said.

Alibrahim warned that pragmatism had become scarce, trust increasingly transactional, and collaboration more fragile. “Stability cannot be quickly built or bought,” he said.

Alibrahim called for a shift away from preserving the status quo towards the practical ingredients that made cooperation work, stressing discipline and long-term thinking even when views diverged.

Quoting Saudi Arabia’s founding King Abdulaziz Al-Saud, he added: “Facing challenges requires strength and confidence, there is no virtue in weakness. We cannot sit idle.”

President of the European Central Bank Christine Lagarde stressed the importance of distinguishing meaningful data from headline noise, saying: “Our duty as central bankers is to separate the signal from the noise. The real numbers are growth numbers not nominal ones.”

Managing Director of the IMF Kristalina Georgieva echoed Lagarde’s sentiments, saying that the world had entered a more “shock prone” environment shaped by technology and geopolitics.

Director General of the World Trade Organization Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala said that the global trade systems currently in place were remarkably resilient, pointing out that 72 percent of global trade continued despite disruptions.

She urged governments and businesses, however, to avoid overreacting.

Okonjo Iweala said that a return to the old order was unlikely, but trade would remain essential. Georgieva agreed, saying global trade would continue, albeit in a different form.

Georgieva warned that AI would accelerate economic transformation at an unprecedented speed. The IMF expects 60 percent of jobs to be affected by AI, either enhanced or displaced, with entry-level roles and middle-class workers facing the greatest pressure.

Lagarde warned that without cooperation, capital and data flows would suffer, undermining productivity and growth.

Al-Jadaan said that power dynamics had always shaped global relations, but dialogue remained essential. “The fact that thousands of leaders came here says something,” he said. “Some things cannot be done alone.”

In another session titled Geopolitical Risks Outlook for 2026, former US Democratic representative Jane Harman said that because of AI, the world was safer in some ways but worse off in others.

“I think AI can make the world riskier if it gets in the wrong hands and is used without guardrails to kill all of us. But AI also has enormous promise. AI may be a development tool that moves the third world ahead faster than our world, which has pretty messy politics,” she said.

American economist Eswar Prasad said that currently the world was in a “doom loop.”

Prasad said that the global economy was stuck in a negative-feedback loop and economics, domestic politics and geopolitics were only bringing out the worst in each other.

“Technology could lead to shared prosperity but what we are seeing is much more concentration of economic and financial power within and between countries, potentially making it a destabilizing force,” he said.

Prasad predicted that AI and tech development would impact growing economies the most. But he said that there was uncertainty about whether these developments would create job opportunities and growth in developing countries.

Professor of international political economy at the University of New South Wales in Australia, Elizabeth Thurbon, said that China was driving a Green Energy transition in a way that should be modeled by the rest of the world.

“The Chinese government is using the Green Energy Transition to boost energy security and is manufacturing its own energy to reduce reliance on fossil fuel imports,” she explained.

Thurbon said that China was using this transition to boost economic security, social security and geostrategic security. She viewed this as a huge security-enhancing opportunity and every country had the ability to use the energy transition as a national security multiplier. 

“We are seeing an enormous dynamism across emerging market economies driven by China. This boom loop is being driven by enormous investments in green energy. Two-thirds of global investment flowing into renewable energy is driven largely by China,” she said.

Thurbon said that China was taking an interesting approach to building relationships with countries by putting economic engagement on the forefront of what they had to offer.

“China is doing all it can to ensure economic partnership with emerging economies are productive. It’s important to approach alliances as not just political alliances but investment in economy, future and the flourishment of a state,” she said.

The panel criticized global economic treaties and laws, and expressed the need for immediate reforms in economic governing bodies.

“If you are a developing economy, the rules of the WTO, for example, are not helpful for you to develop. A lot of the rules make it difficult to pursue an economic development agenda. These regulations are not allowing the economies to grow,” Thurbon said.

“Serious reform must be made in international trade agreements, economic bodies and rules and guidelines,” she added.

Prasad echoed this sentiment and said there was a need for national and international reform in global economic institutions.

“These institutions are not working very well so we can reconfigure them or rebuild them from scratch. But unfortunately the task of rebuilding falls into the hands of those who are shredding them,” he said.

WEF attendees were invited to join the Global Collaboration and Growth meeting to be held in Saudi Arabia in April 2026 to continue addressing the complex global challenges and engage in dialogue.