Global economy to grow steadily in 2025 despite market shifts, say experts at Saudi forum 

Citigroup’s Global Chief Economist Nathan Sheets. Screenshot
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Updated 18 February 2025
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Global economy to grow steadily in 2025 despite market shifts, say experts at Saudi forum 

RIYADH: The world economy is set to maintain steady growth in 2025, buoyed by resilient fundamentals despite market volatility and structural shifts, according to Citigroup’s Global Chief Economist Nathan Sheets. 

Speaking at the Capital Markets Forum in Riyadh, Sheets outlined key themes shaping the year ahead, focusing on global economic resilience, normalization of inflation and interest rates, and exceptionalism in market performance. 

“During the year ahead, the relatively solid fundamentals of the global economy are likely to transcend any kinds of uncertainties that we face,” Sheets said during the event, which runs from Feb. 18 to 20. 

Emerging markets also took center stage, with Raman Subramanian, managing director and global head of index research and development at MSCI, emphasizing the growing role of the Gulf Cooperation Council in global indices. 

“Digging deeper into the MSCI Emerging Market Index, you see the weight of the GCC has gone from about 1.5 percent to about 7 percent today,” he said. 

Subramanian also noted technology’s rising prominence in global benchmarks, with AI-adjacent sectors now accounting for over 30 percent of industry weight. 

Meanwhile, Ahmed Shams El-Din, managing director and head of global research at EFG Hermes, described the Middle East as a promising region for growth and value creation but noted its uneven development. 

“Countries are very different in terms of economic fundamentals, in terms of the opportunities for growth and the challenges each country is facing on a standalone basis,” he explained. 

Economic diversification and non-oil growth remain central themes, with Saudi Arabia and the UAE leading the way. Shams El-Din cautioned, however, that population growth and capacity constraints could moderate the pace of expansion. 

“Capacity constraint and funding challenges are going to play out parallel to the real developments that we are seeing on the ground,” Shams El-Din said. 

Subramanian also highlighted major trends shaping global markets, including technology transformation, health care, environmental resource management, and evolving societal and lifestyle shifts. 

“The move toward renewables has really impacted the way investors are allocating to the energy sector,” he added. 

The forum, held at the KAFD Conference Center, is set to explore deeper macroeconomic trends and capital market shifts. Key sessions include discussions on the Middle East’s growing role as a financial hub and the future landscape of global markets.


Saudi investment pipeline active as reforms advance, says Pakistan minister

Updated 19 min 33 sec ago
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Saudi investment pipeline active as reforms advance, says Pakistan minister

ALULA: Pakistan’s Finance Minister Mohammed Aurangzeb described Saudi Arabia as a “longstanding partner” and emphasized the importance of sustainable, mutually beneficial cooperation, particularly in key economic sectors.

Speaking to Arab News on the sidelines of the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies, Aurangzeb said the relationship between Pakistan and Saudi Arabia remains resilient despite global geopolitical tensions.

“The Kingdom has been a longstanding partner of Pakistan for the longest time, and we are very grateful for how we have been supported through thick and thin, through rough patches and, even now that we have achieved macroeconomic stability, I think we are now well positioned for growth.”

Aurangzeb said the partnership has facilitated investment across several sectors, including minerals and mining, information technology, agriculture, and tourism. He cited an active pipeline of Saudi investments, including Wafi’s entry into Pakistan’s downstream oil and gas sector.

“The Kingdom has been very public about their appetite for the country, and the sectors are minerals and mining, IT, agriculture, tourism; and there are already investments which have come in. For example, Wafi came in (in terms of downstream oil and gas stations). There’s a very active pipeline.”

He said private sector activity is driving growth in these areas, while government-to-government cooperation is focused mainly on infrastructure development.

Acknowledging longstanding investor concerns related to bureaucracy and delays, Aurangzeb said Pakistan has made progress over the past two years through structural reforms and fiscal discipline, alongside efforts to improve the business environment.

“The last two years we have worked very hard in terms of structural reforms, in terms of what I call getting the basic hygiene right, in terms of the fiscal situation, the current economic situation (…) in terms of all those areas of getting the basic hygiene in a good place.”

Aurangzeb highlighted mining and refining as key areas of engagement, including discussions around the Reko Diq project, while stressing that talks with Saudi investors extend beyond individual ventures.

“From my perspective, it’s not just about one mine, the discussions will continue with the Saudi investors on a number of these areas.”

He also pointed to growing cooperation in the IT sector, particularly in artificial intelligence, noting that several Pakistani tech firms are already in discussions with Saudi counterparts or have established offices in the Kingdom.

Referring to recent talks with Saudi Minister of Economy and Planning Faisal Alibrahim, Aurangzeb said Pakistan’s large freelance workforce presents opportunities for deeper collaboration, provided skills development keeps pace with demand.

“I was just with (Saudi) minister of economy and planning, and he was specifically referring to the Pakistani tech talent, and he is absolutely right. We have the third-largest freelancer population in the world, and what we need to do is to ensure that we upscale, rescale, upgrade them.”

Aurangzeb also cited opportunities to benefit from Saudi Arabia’s experience in the energy sector and noted continued cooperation in defense production.

Looking ahead, he said Pakistan aims to recalibrate its relationship with Saudi Arabia toward trade and investment rather than reliance on aid.

“Our prime minister has been very clear that we want to move this entire discussion as we go forward from aid and support to trade and investment.”