Pakistan experienced 12% decline in overall violence during second quarter of 2024— report

Police officials cordon off at the site of an attack on a vehicle in Karachi on April 19, 2024. (AFP/File)
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Updated 01 July 2024
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Pakistan experienced 12% decline in overall violence during second quarter of 2024— report

  • Violence in Balochistan decreased by 46% during second quarter, with fatalities dropping from 178 to 96
  • Pakistan reported decline in 380 violence-linked casualties during this quarter compared to 432 in previous one

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan experienced a 12% decline in overall violence during the second quarter of 2024 from April to June, a local think tank’s report said on Monday, noting that the country’s northwestern Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP) and southwestern Balochistan provinces remained the “epicenters of violence” during this period. 

Pakistani think tank Center for Research and Security Studies (CRSS) released the report on Monday. The CRSS, established in September 2007, says it is dedicated to advancing knowledge and understanding through research endeavors and publications, from in-depth analyzes of regional and national dynamics to policy recommendations for sustainable development. 

In a report titled, “Overview Of Pakistan’s Security Landscape In Q2 2024” the CRSS stated that Pakistan witnessed 380 violence-linked fatalities and 220 injuries among civilians, security personnel, and outlaws in the second quarter of this year. These fatalities took place due to 240 incidents of terror attacks and counter-terror operations, the report said. Of these fatalities, 236 included civilians and security forces personnel.

“Violence and casualty rates across the country plummeted in Q2, 2024,” the report said. “The country experienced a 12% reduction in overall violence, with 380 fatalities recorded compared to 432 in Q1 2024.”

It said KP and Balochistan were the “epicenters of violence” accounting for nearly 92% of all fatalities and 87% of attacks (including incidents of “terrorism” and security forces operations) during the second quarter. 

KP suffered 67% and Balochistan 25% of all fatalities during this period, the report disclosed, noting that the data reflected the remaining regions of the country were “relatively peaceful” and suffered only 8 percent of all fatalities.

It said Balochistan showed “remarkable” improvement, with the rate of violence dropping to almost 50 percent during the second quarter. “The most notable improvement was seen in Balochistan, where violence decreased by 46 percent, with fatalities falling from 178 in Q1 to 96 in Q2 2024,” the report pointed out. 

It added that violence saw a notable decline of 32% in Pakistan’s southern Sindh province while “similar downward trends” were reported in Pakistan’s capital Islamabad and its semi-autonomous region of Gilgit-Baltistan. 

The report noted that outlaws accounted for the majority of fatalities, 38%, followed by civilians, who accounted for 32% of all the casualties during the second quarter of 2024. Security and government officials comprised 30% of all the casualties, it said. 

“Compared to Q1, civilian and security forces’ fatalities decreased by 21% and 10%, respectively, while militant fatalities increased by 29%,” the CRSS report said. “Notably, only 2 insurgents were killed in Q2, a sharp decline from 41 in Q1.”

However, the report also acknowledged some of the worrying trends of the second quarter, most notably that civilians, government officials, and security personnel suffered 62 percent of all fatalities, compared to the 38 percent figure for outlaws. 

“Civilians suffered the highest number of militant and insurgent attacks,” the report said. 

Pakistan has seen an uptick in attacks on its western provinces bordering Afghanistan. The South Asian country has blamed the recent surge in militant attacks on neighboring Afghanistan, which it says allows Pakistani Taliban militants to hold camps and train insurgents to launch attacks inside Pakistan.

 Kabul denies this. Since last November, the Pakistan government has also launched a deportation drive under which over 600,000 Afghan nationals have been expelled from Pakistan.

Pakistan’s Defense Minister Khawaja Asif threatened to launch cross-border attacks in Afghanistan to carry out alleged militant targets in the country. His statement was criticized by the Taliban government in Kabul, who warned him that such a move would have “consequences.”


Pakistan imposes three-day curfew in Gilgit, Skardu cities after violent Khamenei protests

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Pakistan imposes three-day curfew in Gilgit, Skardu cities after violent Khamenei protests

  • At least 14 people were killed in the region where protesters burned UN offices, police station, school and a local charity
  • Gilgit-Baltistan government spokesman says the situation is under control, police chief urges the residents to stay indoors

ISLAMABAD: Authorities have deployed troops and imposed a three-day curfew in the northern Pakistani cities of Gilgit and Skardu, according to a notification issued Monday, after over a dozen people were killed in clashes over the killing of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in US-Israeli strikes.

Pakistan’s northern Gilgit-Baltistan (GB) region, where the two cities are located, saw violent clashes on Sunday as protesters set fire to and vandalized several buildings, including United Nations (UN) regional offices, army-run school, software technology park and an Aga Khan Rural Support Programme office.

Clashes with law enforcement agencies caused the deaths of at least 14 people in the region, among them a soldier, GB Caretaker Information Minister Ghulam Abbas confirmed told Arab News. He said around 50 others were injured.

“In wake of prevailing precarious law-and-order situation... it is expected that the situation may deteriorate further in Gilgit-Baltistan, particularly in District Gilgit and Skardu,” Deputy Home Secretary Ghulam Hasan said in a notification on Monday.

“It is therefore requested that Pakistan Army troops may be deployed in District Gilgit and Skardu and curfew may be imposed for an initial period of three days (2nd, 3rd and 4th March) to prevent any untoward incident and danger to human life and property.”

Separately, UN spokesman Stephane Dujarric said on Monday that protesters became violent near the UN Military Observer Group in Pakistan (UNMOGIP) Field Station, which was vandalized.

“The safety and security of UN personnel and premises throughout the region remain our top priority, and we continue to closely monitor the situation,” Dujarric said.

Shabir Mir, a Gilgit-Baltistan government spokesman, said the situation was under control and that the curfew would remain in place until Wednesday as police chief Akbar Nasir Khan urged residents to stay indoors.

Anger has been rising in Pakistan, particularly among members of the Shiite minority, following US and Israeli strikes on Iran that killed Khamenei and other senior officials. While Shiites are a minority nationwide, they form a majority in some northern districts and boast significant numbers in major urban centers.

Demonstrators in Pakistan’s southern port city of Karachi also stormed the US Consulate on Sunday, smashing windows and attempting to burn the building. Police responded with batons, tear gas, and gunfire, leaving 10 people dead and more than 50 injured.

The US embassy and its consulates in Karachi and Lahore canceled visa appointments and American Citizen Services on Monday, citing security concerns. Pakistani authorities have beefed up security at US diplomatic missions across the country, including around the US consulate building in Peshawar, to avoid any further violence.

Also Monday, the Pakistan Stock Exchange plunged, with the benchmark KSE-100 Index falling nearly 10 percent amid rising geopolitical tensions following attacks on Iran. Investors sold off shares across sectors, with analysts citing heightened uncertainty as the main driver behind the sharp decline.

Sunday’s unrest came amid ongoing cross-border fighting between Pakistan and Afghanistan, which began Thursday after Afghanistan launched attacks in retaliation for Pakistani airstrikes the previous Sunday. Pakistan has since carried out repeated operations along the border.

— With additional input from AP.