International tourism not seen rebounding until 2023 — UN report

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Updated 30 June 2021
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International tourism not seen rebounding until 2023 — UN report

  • COVID-19 (coronavirus) vaccination and certificates are key to restoring confidence in foreign tourism
  • In 2020, international arrivals plunged by 73 percent from pre-pandemic levels in 2019

GENEVA: International tourism arrivals are set to stagnate this year, except in some Western markets, causing up to $2.4 trillion in losses, a UN study said on Wednesday, adding the sector is not expected to rebound fully until 2023.

COVID-19 (coronavirus) vaccination and certificates are key to restoring confidence in foreign tourism, which provides a lifeline for many countries, especially small island states that rely heavily on the sector to provide jobs, it said.

In 2020, international arrivals plunged by 73 percent from pre-pandemic levels in 2019, causing estimated losses of $2.4 trillion in tourism and related sectors, according to the report by UNCTAD and the UN’s World Tourism Organization (UNWTO).

“The outlook for this year doesn’t look much better,” Ralf Peters of UNCTAD’s trade analysis branch, told a news conference.

“The first three months were again bad, there was not much traveling happening,” he said.

“There is an expectation of a certain recovery in the second half of the year, at least for North America and Europe to a certain extent,” he told Reuters, crediting vaccinations.

The report sets out three scenarios for 2021, showing international tourism arrivals forecast to drop by between 63 percent and 75 percent from pre-pandemic levels, resulting in losses of between $1.7 trillion and $2.4 trillion.

“In international tourism we are at levels of 30 years ago, so basically we are in the ‘80s ... Many livelihoods are really at threat,” said Zoritsa Urosevic, Geneva representative of the Madrid-based UNWTO.

“What we are looking at in the long run is...meeting the 2019 numbers after 2023,” she said.

Sandra Carvao, chief of market intelligence at UNWTO, said that it would be a “very diverse recovery,” varying by region and by country.

The European Union’s digital COVID-19 certificate, due to come into force on Thursday, represents the only regional harmonization to date, she said.

Carvao, referring to travel corridors, said: “We see for example Asia-Pacific is still one of the most closed regions in the world at this moment — most of the borders in the countries are either totally closed or with significant restrictions.”


AI use reaches 91% in Middle East hospitality: PwC survey  

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AI use reaches 91% in Middle East hospitality: PwC survey  

RIYADH: The use of artificial intelligence in the Middle East’s hospitality sector is accelerating, with 91 percent of industry leaders already using or piloting AI-related tools, a new survey showed. 

In its latest report, professional services firm PwC said only 3 percent of tourism and hospitality organizations across the region have achieved full-scale, enterprise-wide implementation of AI technologies. 

PwC noted that countries across the Middle East are rapidly deploying AI and smart digital technologies to enhance visitor experiences and strengthen the tourism and hospitality sector’s contribution to national economic transformation agendas. 

The findings reflect a broader regional trend, as countries such as Saudi Arabia seek to position themselves as tourism and technology hubs as part of efforts to reduce reliance on crude oil revenues. 

Earlier this month, a separate PwC report found that artificial intelligence use among the workforce in the Middle East continues to rise, with 75 percent of employees in the region using AI in their jobs over the past 12 months. 

Commenting on the latest findings, Moussa Beidas, AI Go-to-Market Lead & Future Impact Center co-sponsor at PwC Middle East, said: “To realize AI’s promise, the industry must move beyond pilots and proofs of concept. True impact comes when intelligence is woven into every decision – empowering teams, optimising systems and elevating experiences.”  

He added: “The leaders who turn AI from a tool into an organizational mindset will shape the next era of tourism and hospitality.”  

The survey found that 74 percent of organizations in the Middle East’s hospitality sector now have dedicated AI budgets, signaling a shift from experimentation toward more structured and strategic adoption. 

About 85 percent of respondents reported measurable improvements in cost savings and operational efficiency through the use of AI technologies. 

However, challenges remain. Some 73 percent of participants cited a shortage of employees with AI expertise or experience in managing digital transformation, while 85 percent said they face difficulties integrating AI tools with outdated technology systems. 

According to PwC, AI adoption in tourism and hospitality is being driven primarily by a focus on enhancing the customer experience, with 97 percent of respondents citing it as their main motivation. 

Beyond guest engagement, more than 70 percent of hoteliers identified operational resilience and employee productivity as key drivers, highlighting AI’s growing role in improving internal efficiency and workforce effectiveness. More than 60 percent of participants also said they view AI as a way to differentiate from competitors. 

“AI is redefining how destinations, hotels and travelers connect. The winners won’t be those who collect the maximum data, but those who use it intelligently – to make every interaction seamless, ethical and valuable,” said Marco Rentsch, hospitality leader, PwC Middle East.  

He added: “For industry leaders, this means moving from disconnected systems to connected intelligence, where AI doesn’t replace human judgment and interaction, but amplifies it to create trust, efficiency and new forms of value across the entire travel ecosystem.”