Soaring prices, rising anger in Imran Khan’s Pakistan

A customer looks at the latest foreign currency rates at a shop in Karachi on July 22, 2019. (AFP)
Updated 24 July 2019
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Soaring prices, rising anger in Imran Khan’s Pakistan

  • Pakistanis are facing the grimmest part of a seemingly endless economic cycle
  • Rupee has lost nearly 30 percent of its value and inflation is running at nearly nine percent

KARACHI: Nearly one year after the election that brought Imran Khan to power in Pakistan, the cricket-hero-turned-prime-minister faces growing anger as he chases an elusive target: how to right the South Asian nation’s teetering economy.
Pakistan has been staring down the barrel of a balance of payments crisis since before last year’s July 25 vote, and analysts have long warned that the new government must act quickly. 
In one of his earliest speeches, Khan – who led the cricket-mad country to World Cup victory in 1992, and campaigned on vows to build an Islamic welfare state – tried to reassure voters, telling them repeatedly: “Do not panic.”
But since then the Pakistani rupee has lost nearly 30 percent of its value and inflation is running at nearly nine percent, and likely to continue rising.
“The price of tomatoes is touching the skies,” 30-year-old Shama Parveen, who walked several kilometers through Karachi’s sweltering heat to find cheaper produce, she said. “Life has become hard.”
“I need to earn at least 1,000 rupees ($6.30) daily to meet my expenses,” said 60-year-old Mohammad Ashraf, who sells henna dye.
“Nowadays I can hardly save 500 or 600 rupees...I sometimes think if I fall ill, how could I afford the medicines and treatment? I would die, I think,” Ashraf said.
Analysts warn that with Pakistan’s galloping population increase far outstripping growth – set to slow to 2.4 percent this year – the country will find no short-term relief, even after the International Monetary Fund approved its latest $6 billion loan.
Pakistan has a rocky relationship with the IMF, which has bailed it out many times before, and Khan secured billions in loans and investment from “friendly countries” including China and Saudi Arabia before going to the Fund.
But it was not enough.




In this file photo, a man walks past a shuttered market during countrywide traders strike against rising prices, in Lahore on July 13, 2019. (AFP)

Pakistanis are facing the grimmest part of a seemingly endless economic cycle: austerity imposed on millions of poor people, and futile demands for deep-rooted structural reform.
Traders held a one-day strike earlier this month, and on Friday about 8,000 people marched through the city of Rawalpindi to protest against rising prices.
“This government has completely failed ... they are making the country poorer with each passing day,” Ayaz Ahmed, a 32-year-old university graduate, told AFP at the protest.
Mass demonstrations organized by opposition parties are planned for Thursday to mark Khan’s one-year anniversary in office.
But while discontent is rising on social media, street protests remain a luxury for many.
“I cannot afford to lose even one day of earnings,” said Karachi spice vendor Naseem Akhtar.




In this file photo, supporters of the Pakistani political and Islamic party Jammat-e-Islami (JI) march during a protest in Rawalpindi against Imran Khan's government, price hikes and the country's economic crisis, on July 19, 2019. (AFP)


Asghar Ali, an associate economics professor at the University of Karachi, estimates that up to eight million people could slip beneath the poverty line in the coming days.
He singled out Khan’s anti-corruption drive – which has seen opposition leaders jailed and businesses “harassed” – as causing “havoc.”
For Shahid Hasan Siddiqui, chairman of the Research Institute of Islamic Banking, the situation is “worse than 1998, when the country survived international sanctions after nuclear tests.”
Taxes are the issue, he argued.
Just one percent of Pakistan’s adult population is estimated to pay taxes. Khan’s government is pushing hard to broaden the tax base but it remains to be seen whether the latest schemes rolled out by officials will make a difference.
But a tax amnesty by Khan “allows the rich to get their black money whitened by paying a mere 1.5 percent tax,” Siddiqui said.
“On the contrary, every poor man who buys essentials pay 17 percent in (sales) tax.”
Rarely do the poor “get to see the inside of a hospital or the schools built with those taxes,” agreed Pakistani author Mohammed Hanif in a scathing New York Times opinion piece excoriating Khan’s Pakistan recently.
Umer Farooq, an investment analyst at AKD Securities, said the policies are “largely fair.”
“However, the real challenge for the government is how they will implement them,” he said.
In the meantime, despair is growing.
Mohammad Imran, a 35-year-old vegetable seller in Karachi, said he can no longer pay his debts.
“What should I do? I would commit suicide someday.”


Islamabad rebuts claims of Pakistan being used as base for possible US strike on Iran

Updated 6 sec ago
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Islamabad rebuts claims of Pakistan being used as base for possible US strike on Iran

  • Pakistan information ministry attributes the ‘reckless’ claims to ‘Afghanistan and Indian X accounts’
  • ’Blame-pushing narrative tries to drag Pakistan into a US-Iran conflict without any evidence,’ it adds

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan on Monday refuted reports claiming that its territory could be used as a base for a possible US military strike on Iran, calling the claims a “reckless” attempt to drag Pakistani into a US-Iran conflict.

The Pakistan information ministry’s fact check account on X attributed the claims to “propaganda machineries Afghanistan and Indian X accounts,” identifying handles that claimed the US has moved aerial refueling (KC-135R) and surveillance aircraft to Pakistan.

The ministry said X accounts, @KHoorasanM_U1, @RealBababanaras and @AFGDefense, claimed these US aircraft are conducting unusual flights toward or into Iranian airspace and that Pakistan is being used as a base to support US stealth fighters (F-35/F-22) in a possible military strike on Iran.

Citing Reuters and Washington Post, the information ministry noted that while US refueling aircraft movements have been reported, but they were mostly linked to Europe, and there is no credible proof of any US aircraft based in Pakistan or any operational flights to Iran for a possible strike.

“This is a reckless, blame-pushing narrative that tries to drag Pakistan into a US-Iran conflict without any verifiable evidence,” the information ministry said on its fact check account on X, urging people not to share sensational military stories from “propaganda pages.”

“For national security and defense matters, rely only on ISPR (Inter-Services Public Relations), MoIB (Ministry of Information and Broadcasting), MoFA (Ministry of Foreign Affairs), and reputable defense outlets.”

The development comes amid weeks of public unrest in Iran over worsening economic conditions and a government crackdown on protesters.

The US-based Human Rights Activists News Agency said at least 572 people have been killed, including 503 protesters and 69 members of security forces. It said more than 10,600 people have been detained over the two weeks of protests.

The group relies on supporters in Iran cross-checking information, AP reported.

With the Internet down in Iran and phone lines cut off, gauging the demonstrations from abroad has grown more difficult. Iran’s government has not offered overall casualty figures.

US President Donald Trump last week threatened to intervene militarily if Tehran continued to kill protesters. He said late Sunday his administration was in talks to set up a meeting with Tehran but cautioned that he may have to act before then as reports of deaths mount and the government continues to arrest protesters.

“Iran called, they want to negotiate,” Trump told reporters on Air Force One.

Iran did not acknowledge Trump’s comments immediately. It has previously warned the US military and Israel would be “legitimate targets” if America uses force to protect demonstrators.

Separately, China said it opposes foreign “interference” in other countries.

“We always oppose interference in other countries’ internal affairs,” foreign ministry spokeswoman Mao Ning told a regular news conference on Monday, when asked about Trump’s comments. “We call on all parties to do more things conducive to peace and stability in the Middle East.”