Saudi economists are hopeful that the 2014 fiscal budget, likely to be announced on Monday, would pursue capacity building and balanced development throughout the Kingdom.
The Saudi stock market made significant gains in recent days as expectations grew over an expansionary budget. The Tadawul All-Share Index (TASI) climbed 0.5 percent to 8,551.23 points — a 63-month high.
Analysts expect the budget to spur some buying in infrastructure-related firms.
“Saudi Arabia is expected to announce financing initiatives that will include more youth participation in productive process that is pursuing education, training and entering the job market,” Ihsan Buhulaiga, a former Shoura member, told Arab News.
Saudis are optimistic the new budget would earmark more funds for welfare projects across the country.
Economists had earlier predicted that the budget surplus for 2013 would exceed SR225 billion.
In 2012, the surplus was SR96 billion because of a fall in oil prices.
“The budget will create economic impetus for the country to grow and will continue to support the country's diversification efforts,” John Sfakianakis, chief investment strategist at Masic in Saudi Arabia, told Arab News.
Sfakianakis said: “The budget is expected to be expansionary in nature and content. It will be a budget that continues to build on the human capital side of things, including education and training as well as health care.”
He added: “Public investment will continue to retain its prominence given the government's commitment toward modernization and sustainability.” He said government debt would continue to be at the lowest possible levels and among the lowest in the world giving the sovereign enough cushioning at times of greater stress.
Fawaz H. Al-Fawaz, a Riyadh-based economic consultant, said that the budget should be clear about the “explicit and implicit subsidies” to lay the ground for economic reforms.
“The budget should not be just an annual schedule of expenses and revenues. It must reflect the economic choices in the present and the future,” he added.
Budget to stimulate Saudi industries
Budget to stimulate Saudi industries
US pump prices surge as Iran war upends global energy supply
- Fuel prices jump over 10 percent as oil prices surge
- Analysts predict further price rises due to market conditions
MARIETTA/NEW YORK : US retail gasoline and diesel prices are soaring as the US-Israel war with Iran constrains oil and fuel exports, which could be a political test for President Donald Trump’s Republican Party ahead of midterm elections in November.
Fuel prices jumped more than 10 percent this week as oil rose above $90 a barrel, its highest in years, adding pain at the pump for consumers already strained by inflation.
Trump on Thursday shrugged off higher gasoline prices in an interview with Reuters, saying “if they rise, they rise.”
The president had vowed to lower energy prices and unleash US oil and gas drilling during his second term, but much of his tenure has been marked by volatility and uncertainty amid shifts in policies like tariffs and geopolitical turmoil.
The US is the world’s largest oil producer. It is a major exporter but also imports millions of barrels a day since it is the world’s largest oil consumer.
As of Friday, the national average prices for regular gasoline stood at $3.32 a gallon, up 11 percent from a week ago and the highest since September 2024, according to data from the motorists association AAA. Diesel was at $4.33, up 15 percent from a week ago, surging to the highest since November 2023.
Midwest, south feel the pinch
US motorists in parts of the Midwest and the South, including states that supported Trump, have seen some of the steepest increases in fuel costs since the conflict in Iran started.
In Georgia, a swing state, average retail gasoline prices rose 40.1 cents a gallon over the past week, according to fuel tracking site GasBuddy.
Andrenna McDaniel, a health care insurance worker in South Fulton, Georgia, said she was surprised to see prices skyrocket overnight.
“They jumped up so quickly,” she said on Friday, adding that she does not agree with the war at all.
McDaniel, a Democrat, said that for now she is only driving for the most important things, and feels lucky that she works from home so she does not have to drive as much as other people do. Georgia voted for Donald Trump in the 2024 election.
Trump voter Richard Soule, 69, a US Air Force veteran and a retired firefighter, said a little pain at the pump is worth Trump’s efforts to protect America.
“When President Trump went in there and bombed out their nuclear, and they just thumbed their nose at it, I believe he did the right thing at the right time,” Soule said on Friday as he filled up his Ford F-150 truck in Marietta, Georgia.
Other states, including Indiana and West Virginia have seen prices rise by 44.3 cents and 43.9 cents, respectively.
Prices may rise further
More pain may be on the way, analysts said, as oil prices continue to trend upward. On Friday, US oil futures settled at $90.90 a barrel, up nearly $10 and the biggest single-day rise since April 2020.
“Given current market conditions, the national average price of gasoline could climb toward $3.50 to $3.70 per gallon in the coming days if oil continues rising and supply disruptions persist,” GasBuddy analyst Patrick De Haan said.
The disruptions in the Middle East and the Strait of Hormuz, a key trade conduit, have boosted demand for US oil abroad, which in turn has driven up prices for domestic refiners too.
“The US has weaned itself off of its dependence on Middle Eastern crude, but obviously Asian refineries, and to a lesser extent, European refineries have not,” Denton Cinquegrana, chief oil analyst with OPIS. “That’s what you’re seeing happen in the spot market, because the demand for US exports rise, and so the price rise.”
Seasonal factors could add further pressure. Gasoline prices typically go up in the spring and peak in the summer due to higher gasoline demand and production of summer-blend gasoline, which is more costly to produce. Diesel fuel saw an even more aggressive jump since Iran began retaliating against US and Israeli strikes, significantly disrupting shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.
Global diesel inventories have remained in tight supply due to heavy demand for heating and power generation during a prolonged winter in the US and other parts of the world and a structural tightness of refining capacity. Sticker prices of everything from food to furniture go up when the cost of diesel goes up, as the fuel is mainly used in freight transportation, manufacturing, agriculture, and global shipping, analysts said.
“In a world where buzzword seems to be ‘affordability’, that is certainly not going to help,” Cinquegrana said.
