India, US move closer to trade pact with interim agreement

US President Donald Trump shakes hands with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, DC, on Feb. 13, 2025. (AFP)
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Updated 07 February 2026
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India, US move closer to trade pact with interim agreement

  • US to monitor India’s purchase of Russian oil, Trump says in executive order
  • Delhi unlikely to stop buying energy from Moscow despite US deal, experts say

NEW DELHI: India and the US released a framework for an interim trade agreement, as President Donald Trump on Saturday removed additional tariffs on Indian imports previously levied over Delhi’s purchase of Russian oil. 

Under the proposed agreement, Washington’s reciprocal tariffs on Indian goods will be set at 18 percent, while India will eliminate or reduce tariffs on all US industrial goods as well as a wide range of US food and agricultural products, according to a joint statement. 

The framework comes after Trump announced his plan to reduce import tariffs on India earlier this week, six months after accusing India of funding Moscow’s war in Ukraine and subjecting it to a combined tariff rate of around 50 percent on most of the exports. 

“This will open a $30 trillion market for Indian exporters, especially MSMEs, farmers and fishermen. The increase in exports will create (hundreds of thousands) of new job opportunities for our women and youth,” Indian trade minister Piyush Goyal said on X. 

He previously said that the two countries will likely sign the formal trade deal in March. 

In an executive order, Trump said the US Secretary of Commerce “shall monitor whether India resumes directly or indirectly importing Russian Federation oil,” as his decision to rescind the punitive levies on Indian imports came after “India has committed to stop” doing so, while also promising to purchase US energy products and expand defense cooperation over the next decade. 

New Delhi has long abstained from publicly criticizing Russia over the Ukraine war and did not join in with the international sanctions on Moscow, despite pressure from Western countries. With bilateral ties spanning more than seven decades, Russia is also India’s main source of military hardware. 

“Other aspects of the Russia relationship will continue, but on oil there will be a reduction. But how much of a reduction we will have to see,” Nandan Unnikrishnan, a distinguished fellow at the Observer Research Foundation in New Delhi, told Arab News. 

India, which imports more than 80 percent of its crude oil requirements, was previously the biggest buyer of discounted Russian crude, but it has been importing less recently, according to the latest reports. 

“All countries compromise when it’s a question of national interest. If they find that compromise serves their national interest better, they compromise. The Russians have also done it. The Chinese have done it. Everybody has done it. Everyone understands the pressure India is under,” Unnikrishnan said. 

Bharat Karnad, an emeritus professor for national security studies at the Center for Policy Research in New Delhi, believes that India will continue to purchase energy from Moscow. 

“There will be a trade deal (with the US), because Americans do not want to lose the Indian market, which is the biggest in the world right now in terms of being a free and open market,” he said. 

“So that makes the American threat a little hollow. It’s just the usual threats that they issue all the time,” he continued. “I only hope the government of India does not buckle and believe these threats.”


Russian poisonings aim to kill — and send a message

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Russian poisonings aim to kill — and send a message

  • Neurotoxin epibatidine, found in Ecuadoran frogs, was identified in laboratory analyzes of samples from Navalny’s body
  • Even if a poisoning can fail — some targets survived, such as Yushchenko and Skripal — it also serves to send a message
PARIS: Polonium, Novichok and now dart frog poison: the finding that Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny was killed with a rare toxin has revived the spectre of Moscow’s use of poisons against opponents — a hallmark of its secret services, according to experts.
The neurotoxin epibatidine, found in Ecuadoran frogs, was identified in laboratory analyzes of samples from Navalny’s body, the British, Swedish, French, German and Dutch governments said in a joint statement released on Saturday at the Munich Security Conference.
“Only the Russian state had the means, motive and opportunity to deploy this lethal toxin,” said Britain’s Foreign Office, with the joint statement pointing to Russia as the prime suspect.
The Kremlin on Monday rejected what it called the “biased and baseless” accusation it assassinated Navalny, a staunch critic of President Vladimir Putin who died on February 16, 2024, while serving a 19-year sentence in a Russian Arctic prison colony.
But the allegations echo other cases of opponents being poisoned in connection — proven or suspected — with Russian agents.
In 2006, the Russian defector Alexander Litvinenko was killed by polonium poison in London. Ukrainian politician Viktor Yushchenko, campaigning against a Russian-backed candidate for the presidency, was disfigured by dioxin in 2004. And the nerve agent Novichok was used in the attempted poisoning of former double agent Sergei Skripal in the UK in 2018.
“We should remain cautious, but this hypothesis is all the more plausible given that Navalny had already been the target of an assassination attempt (in 2020) on a plane involving underwear soaked with an organophosphate nerve agent, Novichok, which is manufactured only in Russia,” said Olivier Lepick, a fellow at the Foundation for Strategic Research specializing in chemical weapons.

Toxin ‘never been used’

“To my knowledge, epibatidine has never been used for assassinations,” Lepick added.
Until now, the substance was mainly known for its effect on animals that try to attack Ecuadoran poison dart frogs.
“It’s a powerful neurotoxin that first hyperstimulates the nervous system in an extremely violent way and then shuts it down. So you’ll convulse and then become paralyzed, especially in terms of breathing,” said Jerome Langrand, director of the Paris poison control center.
But to the scientist, using this substance to poison Navalny is “quite unsettling.”
“One wonders, why choose this particular poison? If it was to conceal a poisoning, it’s not the best substance. Or is it meant to spread an atmosphere of fear, to reinforce an image of power and danger with the message: ‘We can poison anywhere and with anything’?” he said.

Russian ‘calling card’

For many experts, the use of poison bears a Russian signature.
“It’s something specific to the Soviet services. In the 1920s, Lenin created a poison laboratory called ‘Kamera’ (’chamber’ in Russian), Lab X. This laboratory grew significantly under Stalin, and then under his successors Khrushchev and Brezhnev... It was this laboratory that produced Novichok,” said Andrei Kozovoi, professor of Russian history at the University of Lille.
“The Russians don’t have a monopoly on it, but there is a dimension of systematization, with considerable resources put in place a very long time ago — the creation of the poison laboratory, which developed without any restrictions,” he added.
Even if a poisoning can fail — some targets survived, such as Yushchenko and Skripal — it also serves to send a message, and acted as “a calling card” left by the Russian services, according to Kozovoi.
“Poison is associated in the collective imagination and in psychology with a terrible, agonizing death. The use of chemical substances or poisons carries an explicit intention to terrorize the target and, in cases such as Litvinenko, Skripal or Navalny, to warn anyone who might be tempted to betray Mother Russia or become an opponent,” said Lepick.
“A neurotoxin, a radioactive substance, or a toxic substance is much more frightening than an explosive or being shot to death.”