Black Sea shipping insurance rates rise after Ukraine attacks tankers, sources say

This video grab taken from images released by the Security service of Ukraine (SBU) on November 29, 2025, shows smoke rising from a cargo ship on fire in the Black Sea off the Turkish coast, amid the ongoing Russian-Ukrainian conflict. (AFP)
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Updated 02 December 2025
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Black Sea shipping insurance rates rise after Ukraine attacks tankers, sources say

  • Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan said on Monday that attacks on commercial ships in the Black Sea were unacceptable, issuing a warning to “all related sides”

LONDON: The cost of shipping commodities through the Black Sea climbed on Monday after Ukrainian naval drones hit two tankers heading to a Russian port, with fears of further attacks driving up war risk insurance costs, industry sources said.
The Black Sea is crucial for the shipment of grain, oil and oil products. Its waters are shared by Bulgaria, Georgia, Romania and Turkiye, as well as Russia and Ukraine.
War risk rates for a typical seven-day voyage period, which are set by individual underwriters and are based on the value of the ship, rose to 0.5 percent for calls to Ukrainian ports from 0.4 percent over a week ago, shipping and insurance sources said.
War risk insurance for Russian Black Sea ports, which is typically higher, was quoted at between 0.65-0.8 percent versus around 0.6 percent last week, the sources added.

TANKERS ATTACKED WHILE SAILING TO NOVOROSSIYSK
The two tankers, which were under Western sanctions, were attacked by navy drones while they were empty and sailing to Novorossiysk, a major Russian Black Sea oil terminal, an official at the Security Service of Ukraine told Reuters.
The Black Sea incidents point to a campaign by Ukraine to restrict Russian oil revenue which was “shaping underwriters’ assessment of intent and capability,” said Munro Anderson, head of operations at marine war risk and insurance specialist Vessel Protect, part of Pen Underwriting.
“Rates have firmed in line with that view. For Russian port calls, underwriters are pricing in a broader range of possible strike locations and a higher likelihood of repetition,” he said.
“As Ukrainian activity increases, the probability of reciprocal Russian action grows. That creates a more even risk gradient across both trades than we have seen in some time.”

Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan said on Monday that attacks on commercial ships in the Black Sea were unacceptable, issuing a warning to “all related sides.”
The latest Black Sea incidents were the first attacks on non-military, non-Russian flagged vessels in international waters, said Andrii Ryzhenko, a naval analyst and former deputy chief of staff of the Ukrainian navy.
Ryzhenko said it was unlikely that Russia would retaliate against commercial shipping heading to Ukraine when it was in the territorial waters of Turkiye, Bulgaria and Romania, as that would amount to an attack on NATO territory.
“They’re (Russia) attacking (vessels) all of the time, at least in Ukrainian territorial waters and using different types of weapons.”

MYSTERIOUS BLASTS
There have been at least seven blasts on separate tankers that called at Russian ports since December 2024 at locations including the Mediterranean, with Ukraine suspected of carrying them out, maritime security sources said. A Turkish-owned oil tanker that was damaged near Senegal’s coast last week was hit by four external explosions, but there were no injuries or pollution, its manager said on Monday.
The Mersin tanker had previously called at a Russian port, and maritime security sources said their initial assessment was the vessel had been targeted by limpet mines, similar to other incidents this year which have not been confirmed by Ukraine.
The vessel was currently secured and under close control, a spokesperson with Dakar Port Authority said, confirming “a serious incident in the engine room caused a major water ingress.” The spokesperson added that the exact nature of the incident would be made public in due course. 

 


Uganda army denies seizing opposition leader as vote result looms

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Uganda army denies seizing opposition leader as vote result looms

KAMPALA: Uganda’s army denied claims on Saturday that opposition leader Bobi Wine had been abducted from his home, as counting continued in an election marred by reports of at least 10 deaths amid an Internet blackout.
President Yoweri Museveni, 81, looked set to be declared winner and extend his 40-year rule later on Saturday, with a commanding lead against Wine, a former singer turned politician.
Wine said Friday that he was under house arrest, and his party later wrote on X that he had been “forcibly taken” by an army helicopter from his compound.
The army denied that claim.
“The rumors of his so-called arrest are baseless and unfounded,” army spokesman Chris Magezi told AFP.
“They are designed to incite his supporters into acts of violence,” he added.
AFP journalists said the situation was calm outside Wine’s residence early Saturday, but they were unable to contact members of the party due to continued communications interruptions.
A nearby stall-owner, 29-year-old Prince Jerard, said he heard a drone and helicopter at the home the previous night, with a heavy security presence.
“Many people have left (the area),” he said. “We have a lot of fear.”
With more than 80 percent of votes counted on Friday, Museveni was leading on 73.7 percent to Wine’s 22.7, the Electoral Commission said.
Final results were due around 1300 GMT on Saturday.
Wine, 43, whose real name is Robert Kyagulanyi, has emerged as the main challenger to Museveni in recent years, styling himself the “ghetto president” after the slum areas where he grew up in the capital, Kampala.
He has accused the government of “massive ballot stuffing” and attacking several of his party officials under cover of the Internet blackout, which was imposed ahead of Thursday’s polls and remained in place on Saturday.
His claims could not be independently verified, but the United Nations rights office said last week that the elections were taking place in an environment marked by “widespread repression and intimidation” against the opposition.

- Reports of violence -

Analysts have long viewed the election as a formality.
Museveni, a former guerrilla fighter who seized power in 1986, has total control over the state and security apparatus, and has ruthlessly crushed any challenger during his rule.
Election day was marred by significant technical problems after biometric machines — used to confirm voters’ identities — malfunctioned and ballot papers were undelivered for several hours in many areas.
There were reports of violence against the opposition in other parts of the country.
Muwanga Kivumbi, member of parliament for Wine’s party in the Butambala area of central Uganda, told AFP’s Nairobi office by phone that security forces had killed 10 of his campaign agents after storming his home.