Saudi economy minister projects 5.1% real GDP growth for 2025

Saudi Arabia’s Minister of Economy and Planning Faisal Alibrahim speaks during a panel at FII9 in Riyadh on Wednesday.
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Updated 29 October 2025
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Saudi economy minister projects 5.1% real GDP growth for 2025

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Minister of Economy and Planning Faisal Alibrahim has projected the Kingdom’s real gross domestic product to expand by 5.1 percent in 2025, supported by continued momentum in the non-oil sector as the country advances its diversification agenda, according to Asharq Bloomberg.

Speaking on a panel at the Future Investment Initiative conference in Riyadh on Wednesday, Alibrahim said: “We forecast to close the year in terms of total real GDP growth at around 5.1 percent, and for non-oil GDP around 3.8 percent.”

He emphasized that the Kingdom’s ongoing transformation is a long-term restructuring journey aimed at reducing reliance on hydrocarbons and creating a more resilient, productivity-driven economy.

“We are prioritizing diversifying our economy away from having to rely on oil, to become a more resilient economy that witnesses sustainable growth driven by productivity, not just by natural resources,” the minister added.

He also highlighted initiatives aimed at empowering entrepreneurs and small businesses as vital drivers of GDP growth and higher-quality economic expansion, emphasizing their role in generating high-value jobs and attracting global talent to strengthen the local workforce.

According to the Ministry of Finance, real GDP growth is expected to reach 4.4 percent in 2025 and 4.6 percent in 2026, both underpinned by the steady expansion of non-oil activities.

Earlier this month, the International Monetary Fund raised its forecast for Saudi Arabia’s 2025 economic growth to 4 percent, citing higher oil output and improving global demand.

The Kingdom is currently undergoing a sweeping economic transformation under Vision 2030, the national strategy launched by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to strengthen non-oil industries, attract foreign investment, and enhance fiscal sustainability.

Government ministers have repeatedly described Vision 2030 as the country’s “north star,” guiding efforts to achieve balanced, long-term growth beyond the oil economy.


Saudi Aramco, ExxonMobil, Samref ink deal to study Yanbu refinery upgrade

Updated 08 December 2025
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Saudi Aramco, ExxonMobil, Samref ink deal to study Yanbu refinery upgrade

RIYADH: Energy giants Saudi Aramco, ExxonMobil, and Samref have signed a venture framework agreement to upgrade the Yanbu refinery and expand it into an integrated petrochemical complex.

As a part of the deal, the companies will explore capital investments to upgrade and diversify production, including high-quality distillates that result in lower emissions and high-performance chemicals, according to a joint press statement.

The agreement will also see the parties explore opportunities to improve the refinery’s energy efficiency and reduce environmental impacts from operations through an integrated emissions-reduction strategy.

Samref is an equally owned joint venture between Aramco and Mobil Yanbu Refining Co. Inc., a wholly owned subsidiary of Exxon Mobil Corp.

The refinery currently has the capacity to process more than 400,000 barrels of crude oil per day, producing a diverse range of energy products, including propane, automotive diesel oil, marine heavy fuel oil, and sulfur.

“This next phase of Samref marks a step in our long-term strategic collaboration with ExxonMobil. Designed to increase the conversion of crude oil and petroleum liquids into high-value chemicals, this project reinforces our commitment to advancing Downstream value creation and our liquids-to-chemicals strategy,” said Aramco Downstream President, Mohammed Y. Al Qahtani.

He added that the deal will help position Samref as a key driver of the Kingdom’s petrochemical sector’s growth.

The press statement further said that companies will commence a preliminary front-end engineering and design phase for the proposed project, which would aim to maximize operational advantages, enhance Samref’s competitiveness, and help to meet growing demand for high-quality petrochemical products in Saudi Arabia.

The firms added that these plans are subject to market conditions, regulatory approvals, and final investment decisions by Aramco and ExxonMobil.

“We value our partnership with Aramco and our long history in Saudi Arabia. We look forward to evaluating this project, which aligns with our strategy to focus on investments that allow us to grow high-value products that meet society’s evolving energy needs and contribute to a lower-emission future,” said Jack Williams, senior vice president of Exxon Mobil Corp.