IMF hails Oman’s economic policies amid 6.2% budget surplus 

Oman’s economic resilience has been recognized internationally, with its sovereign credit rating recently upgraded to investment grade. Shutterstock
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Updated 23 January 2025
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IMF hails Oman’s economic policies amid 6.2% budget surplus 

RIYADH: Oman achieved a 6.2 percent budget surplus and a 2.4 percent current account gain in 2024, driven by prudent fiscal policies, high oil prices, and nonhydrocarbon export growth. 

In its 2024 Article IV consultation, the International Monetary Fund attributed these figures to effective economic management.

Despite higher social spending under a new protection law, the nonhydrocarbon primary deficit as a share of nonhydrocarbon gross domestic product remained stable, highlighting the government’s commitment to financial discipline.    

Government debt as a percentage of GDP also declined further, reaching 35 percent in 2024, marking continued improvement in Oman’s economic fundamentals.   

The findings align with the broader resilience observed in the Gulf Cooperation Council region, with an IMF report released in December showing GCC economies have successfully weathered recent shocks, supported by strong nonhydrocarbon growth and ongoing reforms.  

The latest analysis from the financial agency show that Oman’s economic resilience has been recognized internationally, with its sovereign credit rating recently upgraded to investment grade.

Additionally, the banking sector remains sound, with profitability recovering to pre-pandemic levels, ample capital and liquidity buffers, and strong asset quality.    

While overall economic growth was tempered by OPEC+ oil production cuts, the IMF noted that Oman’s economy grew by 1.2 percent in 2023 and accelerated to 1.9 percent year on year in the first half of 2024.     

This expansion was primarily supported by a 3.8 percent increase in nonhydrocarbon sectors such as construction, manufacturing, and services during the same period, it added.    

Nonhydrocarbon activity is expected to remain a key driver of medium-term growth, supported by significant private sector investments.   

The nation predicts a modest 2.7 percent growth in GDP this year, while the IMF projections point to a higher 3.1 percent expansion.

The country’s inflation has continued to ease, declining to 0.6 percent during the first 10 months of 2024, down from 1.0 percent in 2023. This decrease reflects a contraction in transport prices and a moderation in food inflation.   

The IMF noted that Oman’s economic outlook is balanced but faces external and domestic risks. On the downside, global geopolitical tensions and a potential economic slowdown, particularly in China, could impact trade, tourism, and foreign direct investment.    

Lower-than-expected oil prices amid a potentially oversupplied energy market in 2025 also pose risks to the fiscal and external positions, it added.    

Domestically, delays in reform implementation and uncertainty around the global energy transition could hinder Oman’s diversification efforts.   

On the upside, Oman could benefit from higher oil prices, faster-than-expected global economic growth, and accelerated reforms and investments under Oman Vision 2040.   

The reform agenda includes initiatives to drive nonhydrocarbon growth, improve fiscal sustainability, and attract foreign investments.   

Oman’s reform efforts under Vision 2040 aim to reduce the economy’s reliance on hydrocarbons and foster private sector-led growth.    

The government has been executing sizable private sector investments and advancing structural reforms to expand the role of nonhydrocarbon sectors in the economy.    

Over the medium term, nonhydrocarbon activity is expected to drive growth, supported by policy measures and a steady inflow of private capital.   

The IMF’s report from December claimed regional conflicts had limited spillover effects, meaning the GCC maintained a favorable outlook — with the easing of oil production cuts and expansion in natural gas expected to further bolster the hydrocarbon sector.  

It was also noted that inflation across the region remains stable at low levels, and external buffers are sufficient despite narrower current account balances.  


Saudi Arabia’s venture scene goes global 

Updated 04 January 2026
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Saudi Arabia’s venture scene goes global 

  • 2026 to see more exits, more AI, and a bigger push to tell Saudi’s story abroad  

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s business landscape is set to see a “record year of liquidity events” in 2026,  Philip Bahoshy, CEO of venture data platform MAGNiTT, has told Arab News.

Setting out his expectations for the upcoming 12 months, Bahoshy said he expects a shift from the domination by funding momentum seen in 2025 to one defined by exits.
The CEO thinks Saudi Arabia is “likely to see one, if not two, IPOs happening within the Kingdom,” and alongside public listings he forecast “a record year of merger and acquisition transactions,” positioning M&A as another major route to liquidity for founders 
and investors. 
Being cautious about using hype-driven labels like unicorns, Bahoshy still expects that 2026 will see the emergence of multiple billion-dollar companies. 
All this comes after a year in which Saudi Arabia’s venture capital market increasingly attracted international investors alongside a growing base of local institutional capital, with marquee events helping pull global players into the Kingdom and the wider Gulf Cooperation Council region. 

Maturity, focus, appeal 
Bahoshy summed up Saudi Arabia’s venture capital market in 2025 in three words — “attractiveness, focus and maturity.” 
In his view, the ecosystem is “maturing” after “about five years or six years now of investment,” with capital increasingly reaching “every stage of the funnel.” 
Bahoshy said he has long argued the market needs investment “across each stage, early stage, medium stage, late stage,” and he framed 2025 as a year when that breadth became more visible. 
He contrasted the current cycle with recent years, noting that “two years back, it was mega deals,” while “last year we saw the underlying ecosystem.” 
In 2025, he said, the market showed “a balance of early stage, middle stage and late stage investment,” which he described as “a positive sign of a continually evolving ecosystem.” 
Bahoshy also pointed to “focus by the government on problem-solution” as another marker of maturity. 
On the international front, he said global players are arriving “not just because it makes sense for political reasons,” but because of “the companies and the scale that they’ve achieved.” 

Heading for records 
Bahoshy said Saudi Arabia’s venture market closed 2025 with strong momentum, with leading indicators suggesting an unusually active finish to the year. 
His remarks point to a market where deal flow remained steady through the back half of the year rather than tapering off, supporting a narrative of sustained fundraising appetite among investors and continued capital formation among startups.  
Balancing the funnel 
Bahoshy said the spread of activity across mega rounds, later-stage deals, and earlier funding in 2025 was not accidental, but the result of a deliberate effort to “make sure that each step of the stage, the funding stage, has been taken care of.” 
In his account, government-backed infrastructure has been built to support the full pipeline, “whether it’s through incubators and accelerators at early stage … accelerator programs that are both private and public,” and “seed funds that continue to get capital from some of the fund to fund structures to support at the seed and series A stages.” 

A bigger push to tell Saudi’s story abroad
Beyond deal outcomes, Bahoshy framed 2026 as a year to refine Saudi Arabia’s investor strategy. 
He said “a lot of work has been done to bring people to the Kingdom,” and described that as “a credit to the Kingdom.” 
In his view, the next phase is expanding outbound engagement — “the type of delegation trips that they do” — citing recent visits to London, Silicon Valley, Korea, and Hong Kong. 
He argued the Kingdom has already achieved “the 70 percent, 80 percent attractiveness of bringing people to the Kingdom,” and now needs to “share the story outwards.”
He also expects artificial intelligence to take a much larger share of venture deployment.
“I anticipate that AI will contribute close to 20 to 30 percent or 25 percent plus of all venture capital deployed in the Kingdom,” Bahoshy said.