Ethiopia concerned as Egypt boosts military ties with Somalia

This general view shows an Ethiopian national flag flying infront of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) in Guba, Ethiopia, on February 19, 2022. (AFP)
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Updated 31 August 2024
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Ethiopia concerned as Egypt boosts military ties with Somalia

  • The first dispute — between Ethiopia and Egypt — is over Ethiopia’s construction of a $4 billion dam on the Blue Nile, a key tributary to the Nile River

CAIRO: Ethiopia “has no right to object to Egyptian-Somali military cooperation, as such an objection would constitute interference in the internal affairs of Somalia — a sovereign state,” security expert Ahmed Abdel Wahab told Arab News in Cairo.

The comment came as Ethiopia expressed concern over a recent defense deal between Egypt and Somalia — two countries that Addis Ababa is embroiled in disputes with amid rising tensions in the Horn of Africa region.

Cairo and Mogadishu recently signed a security agreement during a visit to the Egyptian capital by Somalia’s President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud, who held talks with his Egyptian host, President Abdel-Fatah El-Sisi.

Egypt sent two C-130 aircraft loaded with military equipment to Somalia as part of Cairo’s efforts to retrain and reorganize the Somali army to strengthen its capabilities.

Egypt and Nigeria also signed a memorandum of understanding last week to deepen cooperation in the defense industries.

Analysts say Egypt’s increasing military presence in African countries at this level may have angered Ethiopia.

Commenting further on the regional developments, Abdel Wahab told Arab News: “Ethiopia views Egypt’s potential military foothold in a country bordering Ethiopia as a cause for concern, especially against the backdrop of Egyptian-Ethiopian disputes over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, or GERD.

“Given Somalia’s strategic location on the Red Sea and the activity of the Al-Shabab terrorist group, which poses a significant threat to Red Sea shipping lanes, Somalia requested a military cooperation agreement with Egypt.

“This aligns with Egypt’s crucial role in combating terrorism and organized crime and its active involvement in peacekeeping forces in the Sahel region and the Horn of Africa.”

The Ethiopian Ministry of Foreign Affairs recently issued a statement criticizing the Somali-Egyptian step without explicitly mentioning Egypt or the dispatch of its military equipment.

The ministry stated: “Ethiopia has tirelessly worked for peace and security in Somalia and the region … Instead of building on these efforts towards peace, the Somali government is colluding with external parties aiming to destabilize the region.”

Observers have interpreted the Ethiopian statement as an implicit attack on the presence of Egyptian forces on Somali soil.

African affairs expert Sanaa Al-Mahmoudi commented: “Egypt’s move toward military cooperation in Africa is not new. Previously, Egypt had proposed the idea of an African alliance to fight terrorism. A meeting was held in Egypt, attended by a large number of African defense ministers. But France, with its interventionist interests in Africa, thwarted the idea.”

Al-Mahmoudi told Arab News: “The issue is that Egyptian military forces are present on Somali soil … and Ethiopian-Somali relations are strained these days due to Addis Ababa’s indirect support for the separatist Somaliland region.

“If the reports are accurate that Ethiopia has officially recognized Somaliland, the situation is likely to escalate.

“Somalia has sought Egypt’s support, while Somaliland has turned to Ethiopia. Furthermore, Ethiopia has announced the full operation of the GERD. All these developments could ignite tensions in the region.”


EU leaders to reassess US ties despite Trump U-turn on Greenland

Updated 55 min 3 sec ago
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EU leaders to reassess US ties despite Trump U-turn on Greenland

  • Diplomats stressed that, although Thursday’s emergency EU talks in Brussels would now lose some of their urgency, the longer-term issue of how to handle the relationship with the US remained

BRUSSELS: EU leaders will rethink their ties with the US at an emergency summit on Thursday after Donald Trump’s threat of tariffs and even military action to ​acquire Greenland badly shook confidence in the transatlantic relationship, diplomats said.
Trump abruptly stepped back on Wednesday from his threat of tariffs on eight European nations, ruled out using force to take Greenland, a semi-autonomous territory of NATO ally Denmark, and suggested a deal was in sight to end the dispute.
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, welcoming Trump’s U-turn on Greenland, urged Europeans not to be too quick to write off the transatlantic partnership.
But EU governments remain wary of another change of mind by a mercurial president who is increasingly seen as a bully that Europe will have to stand up to, and they are focused on coming up with a longer-term plan on how to deal with the ‌United States under this ‌administration and possibly its successors too.
“Trump crossed the Rubicon. He might do ‌it ⁠again. ​There is no ‌going back to what it was. And leaders will discuss it,” one EU diplomat said, adding that the bloc needed to move away from its heavy reliance on the US in many areas.
“We need to try to keep him (Trump) close while working on becoming more independent from the US It is a process, probably a long one,” the diplomat said.
EU RELIANCE ON US
After decades of relying on the United States for defense within the NATO alliance, the EU lacks the needed intelligence, transport, missile defense and production capabilities to defend itself against a possible Russian attack. This gives the US substantial leverage.
The US ⁠is also Europe’s biggest trading partner, making the EU vulnerable to Trump’s policies of imposing tariffs to reduce Washington’s trade deficit in goods, and, as in ‌the case of Greenland, to achieve other goals.
“We need to discuss where ‍the red lines are, how we deal with this bully ‍across the Atlantic, where our strengths are,” a second EU diplomat said.
“Trump says no tariffs today, but does ‍that mean also no tariffs tomorrow, or will he again quickly change his mind? We need to discuss what to do then,” the second diplomat said.
The EU had been considering a package of retaliatory tariffs on 93 billion euros ($108.74 billion) on US imports or anti-coercive measures if Trump had gone ahead with his own tariffs, while knowing such a step would harm Europe’s economy as well ​as the United States.
WHAT’S THE GREENLAND DEAL?
Several diplomats noted there were still few details of the new plan for Greenland, agreed between Trump and NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte late on ⁠Wednesday on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.
“Nothing much changed. We still need to see details of the Greenland deal. We are a bit fed up with all the bullying. And we need to act on a few things: more resiliency, unity, get our things together on internal market, competitiveness. And no more accepting tariff bullying,” a third diplomat said.
Rutte told Reuters in an interview in Davos on Thursday that under the framework deal he reached with Trump the Western allies would have to step up their presence in the Arctic.
He also said talks would continue between Denmark, Greenland and the US on specific issues.
Diplomats stressed that, although Thursday’s emergency EU talks in Brussels would now lose some of their urgency, the longer-term issue of how to handle the relationship with the US remained.
“The approach of a united front in solidarity with Denmark and Greenland while focusing on de-escalation and finding an off-ramp has worked,” a fourth EU diplomat said.
“At the ‌same time it would be good to reflect on the state of the relationship and how we want to shape this going forward, given the experiences of the past week (and year),” he said.