First election in a decade is planned in Indian-administered Kashmir. Here’s what to know

An elderly Kashmiri woman looks on as a paramilitary soldier guard during the door-to -door election campaigning by Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) candidate ahead of the Jammu and Kashmir state assembly elections, in Srinagar, Indian-administered Kashmir on August 29, 2024. (AP)
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Updated 30 August 2024
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First election in a decade is planned in Indian-administered Kashmir. Here’s what to know

  • Opposition Congress party has formed alliance with National Conference, the region’s largest pro-India Kashmiri political party
  • Modi’s BJP has a weak political base in the Kashmir Valley, the heartland of decades of anti-India rebellion, while it is strong in Jammu

SRINAGAR: Residents of Indian-administered Kashmir are gearing up for their first regional election in a decade that will allow them to have their own truncated government, also known as a local assembly, instead of remaining under New Delhi’s direct rule.
Muslim-majority Kashmir is divided between nuclear-armed rivals India and Pakistan and claimed in its entirety by both. The Indian-administered part has been on edge since Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government ended its special status in 2019 and also scrapped its statehood.
The three-phased polls will take place amid a sharp rise in rebel attacks on government forces in parts of Hindu-dominated Jammu areas that have remained relatively peaceful in the three decades of armed rebellion against Indian rule.
With campaigning picking up in the runup to the election, India’s main opposition Congress party has formed an alliance to jointly seek the vote with the National Conference, the region’s largest pro-India Kashmiri political party. Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party has a weak political base in the Kashmir Valley, the heartland of decades of anti-India rebellion, while it is strong in Jammu.
Here is what you need to know about the coming election:
The history of disputed Kashmir
Kashmir’s future was left unresolved at the end of British colonial rule in 1947 when the Indian subcontinent was divided into predominantly Hindu India and mainly Muslim Pakistan. Pakistan has long pushed for the right to self-determination under a UN resolution passed in 1948, which called for a referendum on whether Kashmiris wanted to merge with either country.
Militants in the Indian-controlled portion of Kashmir have been fighting New Delhi’s rule since 1989, while India insists the Kashmir militancy is Pakistan-sponsored terrorism, a charge Islamabad denies. Tens of thousands of civilians, rebels and government forces have been killed in the conflict which most Kashmiri Muslims consider a legitimate struggle for freedom.




In this file photograph, taken on May 31, 2019, Kashmiri protesters throw bricks and rocks at an armored vehicle of Indian police during a protest in Srinagar, Indian-administered Kashmir. (AP/File) 

What is the current status of the region?
Indian-administered Kashmir has been without a local government since 2018 when India’s ruling Bharatiya Janata Party ended its support to the local Kashmiri People’s Democratic Party, bringing down the coalition government and causing the assembly to dissolve. A year later, Modi’s government revoked the region’s semi-autonomy and downgraded it to a federally controlled territory.
As a result, Indian-held Kashmir lost its flag, criminal code, constitution and inherited protections on land and jobs. It was also divided into two federal territories, Ladakh and Jammu-Kashmir, ruled directly by New Delhi, allowing it to appoint an administrator to run it along unelected government officials.
Since then, a slew of legal and administrative changes have been installed without public input, much to the anger of the region’s people whose civil liberties have also been curbed and media intimidated.
Indian officials have repeatedly said that the move — to shape what it calls “Naya Kashmir,” or a “new Kashmir” — was necessary to tackle separatism, foster greater economic development and fully integrate the region into the country.
Even after the election, India’s federal government will still make the decisions
The election will take place between Sept. 18 and Oct. 1, and votes are set to be counted on Oct. 4.




Ashok Bhat, left, a candidate of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) talks to a voter, while campaigning door-to-door ahead of the Jammu and Kashmir state assembly elections, in Srinagar, Indian-administered Kashmir on August 29, 2024. (AP)

In theory, the polls will see a transition of power from New Delhi to a newly elected local assembly with a chief minister serving as the region’s top elected official with a council of ministers, a similar setup to before 2018.
But the new polls will hardly give the new government any legislative powers as Indian-controlled Kashmir will continue to be a “Union Territory” — a region directly controlled by the federal government — with India’s parliament remaining as the region’s legislator. The elected assembly will only have nominal control over education and culture.
Kashmir’s statehood status has to be restored for the new government to have power. Even Kashmiri pro-India parties, like the National Conference and the People’s Democratic Party, have vowed to politically and legally fight for the return of Kashmir’s semi-autonomy.
How do Kashmir residents view the upcoming election?
Many are indifferent, while some believe their vote could be a way to express deep resentment of Modi’s party. Most Muslim residents of the region want independence from India or unification with Pakistan.




National Conference (NC) President Farooq Abdullah, center, Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) leader Mehbooba Mufti, second right, and other leaders sit during an all parties meeting on restoration of the special status that was stripped last year from Indian-administered Kashmir, in Srinagar. (AP)

However, Kashmir’s pro-India political elite, many of whom have been jailed for allegedly disrupting peace and slapped with corruption cases in 2019, see an opportunity in these elections to politically oppose the changes by India’s ruling party.
Historically, elections in Indian-held Kashmir have remained a sensitive issue, with many believing that they have been rigged multiple times in favor of the region’s pro-India politicians.
Previous elections have seen Kashmiri Muslim separatist leaders who challenge India’s sovereignty over the region call for a boycott of the vote, calling it an illegitimate exercise under military occupation.


Guinea’s tough new migration route for desperate young west Africans

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Guinea’s tough new migration route for desperate young west Africans

CONAKRY: With a determined look on her weathered face, Safiatou Bah has made up her mind: she will leave her young children behind and migrate to Europe on a new and perilous ocean route from Guinea.
Thousands of young Guineans have attempted to migrate via the Atlantic in recent years, a flow so severe that authorities in the junta-led country have dubbed it a “haemorrhage.”
Lacking both economic opportunity and any hope of change, the migrants are leaving from their own shores after neighboring Senegal and Mauritania and Morocco further north, beefed up controls.
However the longer voyage which begins farther south only increases the number of dangers they will face.
Most west Africans traveling the Atlantic route embark in pirogue canoes toward Spain’s Canary Islands off northwest Africa, the jumping off point for their continued journey to the European continent.
At least eight boats have left Guinea since the spring, each carrying more than a hundred people, according to migration NGOs.
Bah, 33, initially left her village for the capital Conakry where she tried to do NGO work that didn’t pan out. In the end, she started a fruit stand to make money to migrate.
Her husband, whom she was married off to at age 18, is now 75 and can no longer provide for the family.
“I’m the one raising my children alone,” Bah told AFP.
Her decision to leave her three children, age 11 to six months, with her mother is firm: “I’m suffering here. You struggle and there’s no one to support you,” she said.

- New route -

Due to increasingly restrictive visa policies in Europe, migrants say their only option is illegal migration.
The Spanish NGO Caminando Fronteras, which monitors migration, confirmed the existence of the new Guinean route to AFP as well as the significant number of people taking it.
Guineans are now the leading African nationality — and the third largest group after Afghans and Ukrainians — to apply for asylum in France, the country’s former colonial ruler.
In 2024 a total of 11,336 asylum applications were made, according to France’s refugee agency OFPRA.
Mamadou Saitiou Barry, managing director of the Directorate General for Guineans Living Abroad, confirmed that “several thousand” Guineans embark on the journey each year.
“We are aware of this, because it is us who lose our sons and these young people,” he said.
Meanwhile Guinea has increased policing measures in an attempt to staunch the outward flow.
Elhadj Mohamed Diallo, director of the Guinean Organization for the Fight Against Irregular Migration (OGLMI), deals with these young people on a daily basis.
“When you tell them that the route is dangerous, most reply: ‘Where we are, we are actually already dead,’” he said, adding that they believe it is better to try.
Even among those with an education, finding a job can be an impossible task.

- Scarring journey -

Abdourahim Diallo, a young father of two, cannot find work and has lost all hope in his country, much like Bah.
AFP met him at a gathering of dozens of young people in Conakry’s Yattaya T6 suburb, in an unelectrified shack being used as a cafe.
“Here we have more than 150 young people and none of them has a job,” Ibrahima Balde, head of a neighborhood young people’s association, told AFP.
Diallo, who said he has “a lot of family who are counting on me,” is preparing to migrate for the fourth time.
His shocking prior attempts, which left him with physical — and no doubt psychological — scars, span 2011 to 2024, leading him through Mali, Algeria and Morocco.
He spent five years surviving in Morocco’s Gourougou forest, which overlooks the Spanish enclave of Melilla.
Thousands of migrants from sub-Saharan Africa seeking to enter the enclave eke out a living in the surrounding woods.
To reach the area and escape authorities, one must jump from a moving train, according to Diallo, who said “some break their feet while others die.”
In December 2011 he injured his head after attempting, along with hundreds of others, to scale the Melilla fence.
Another time he nearly died when his pirogue capsized off Morocco.
Overall, he said, he has lost count of the arrests in Morocco, extortion by various police, and robberies along the way.
Next door to the cafe, 30-year-old Mamadou Yero Diallo is bent under the hood of a car in his garage.
“We manage, we earn a little for food, nothing more,” he said, insisting he too will attempt the Atlantic route later this year.
As for Bah, she became less confident in her upcoming journey when speaking about conversations she has had with those who returned.
“There are so many risks,” she said, adding that she has heard of migrant women being raped.
“But I’m still going,” she said. “I ask God to protect me.”