IMF forecasts $14bn increase in Egypt’s foreign cash revenue

The IMF projected that foreign cash inflows from these five sources for the fiscal year 2023-2024 will total around $107.3 billion, compared to about $93.6 billion in 2022-2023. Shutterstock
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Updated 12 May 2024
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IMF forecasts $14bn increase in Egypt’s foreign cash revenue

RIYADH: Egypt’s foreign cash revenue is projected to surge by $13.7 billion from five key sources this year, a 14.6 percent increase over last year, according to the International Monetary Fund. 

This surge is largely due to investments in the Ras Al Hikma City development deal recently signed by the government with ADQ Holdings, as reported by CNBC Arabia. 

The IMF projected that foreign cash inflows from these five sources for the fiscal year 2023-2024 will total around $107.3 billion, compared to about $93.6 billion in 2022-2023. 

These sources encompass proceeds from commodity exports, tourism revenues, Suez Canal revenues, as well as private transfers and net foreign direct investment. 

Despite expectations of an increase in foreign cash revenue from these sources this year, the IMF anticipates inflows to decrease again in the next fiscal year, dropping below the levels of the previous year to approximately $91.2 billion. 

The fund forecasts foreign cash inflows from commodity exports to decline to $33.2 billion during the current fiscal year, compared to $39.6 billion last year, reflecting a decrease of about 16.2 percent, with an expected increase to $35.6 billion next year. 

It also predicts a decline in Egypt’s tourism revenues during 2023-2024 to around $12 billion, compared to $13.6 billion in 2022-2023, reflecting a decrease of about 11.8 percent, with an increase to around $12.6 billion in 2024-2025. 

Furthermore, the financial agency expects a decline in Suez Canal revenues during the current fiscal year to $6.8 billion, compared to $8.8 billion last year, marking a decrease of about 22.7 percent, with an anticipated increase to around $10 billion next year. 

As for net private transfers from abroad, they are anticipated to increase to around $23.1 billion during 2023-2024, compared to about $21.9 billion during 2022-2023, reflecting a 5.5 percent increase, and continuing to rise to $24.6 billion in 2024-2025. 

Similarly, net foreign direct investment inflows are projected to surge during the current year to around $32.2 billion, compared to $9.7 billion in the previous fiscal year, marking a 232 percent increase, and then decline next year to $8.4 billion. 
 


Oman trade surplus narrows 27% in 2025 as oil exports decline 

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Oman trade surplus narrows 27% in 2025 as oil exports decline 

JEDDAH: Oman’s trade surplus narrowed 27 percent to 6.09 billion Omani rials ($15.8 billion) by the end of 2025, as lower oil and gas export earnings offset gains in non-oil shipments and re-exports. 

Preliminary data from the National Centre for Statistics and Information showed the surplus fell from 8.34 billion rials a year earlier, with total merchandise exports declining 7.1 percent to 23.26 billion rials, the Oman News Agency reported. 

The weaker trade balance reflects softer hydrocarbon revenues in a year marked by lower global crude prices. Benchmark Brent Crude averaged about $69 a barrel in 2025, down from roughly $80 a barrel in 2024, as global supply outpaced demand and inventories increased. 

“Conversely, total registered merchandise imports into Oman rose 2.7 percent to 17.167 billion rials, compared with 16.713 billion rials during the same period in 2024,” the ONA report added. 

The agency added that the decline in Oman’s merchandise exports was mainly due to a fall in oil and gas exports, which totaled 14.51 billion rials by the end of 2025, down 15.2 percent from 17.11 billion rials a year earlier. 

Non-oil merchandise exports, however, increased 7.5 percent to 6.7 billion rials by the end of December, compared with 6.23 billion rials during the same period of 2024. 

Re-exports also rose to nearly 2.06 billion rials by the end of December, recording growth of 20.3 percent compared with around 1.71 billion rials in the same period a year earlier. 

The UAE topped non-oil export destinations by the end of December, with shipments valued at more than 1.31 billion rials, up 25.3 percent compared with the same period in 2024. It also led re-export trade from Oman, with re-exports valued at 724 million rials, and remained the leading source of imports into Oman at more than 4.15 billion rials. 

Saudi Arabia ranked second in non-oil exports at around 1.07 billion rials, followed by India at 699 million rials. 

In re-exports, Iran came second at 365 million rials, followed by the UK at 207 million rials. 

On the import side, China ranked second with nearly 1.94 billion rials, followed by India at 1.45 billion rials.