Pakistan’s stock market records highest closing as inflation eases, investment in securities increases

Stockbrokers monitor the latest share prices at the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSE) in Karachi on July 3, 2023. (AFP/File)
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Updated 03 April 2024
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Pakistan’s stock market records highest closing as inflation eases, investment in securities increases

  • Pakistani investors expect a cut in interest rate in upcoming monetary policy as inflation declines
  • Analysts term foreign inflows in government treasury bills as positive development for stock market

KARACHI: Pakistan’s stock market recorded its highest ever closing at 67,756 points when trading ended on Wednesday, with financial analysts attributing the surge to expectations of a cut in the central bank’s policy rate and an increase in foreign investment in government securities. 

The KSE-100 index on Mar. 28 hit a record high of 67,246.02 points during intraday trade before closing at 67,142.12. Analysts had attributed the surge last week to investors’ expectations of Pakistan reaching another long-term agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF). 

As Pakistan’s economic indicators register a slight improvement, stock buyers now expect cuts in the interest rate in the next monetary policy, fueling positive sentiments at the bourse.

“Stocks closed at an all-time high on speculations over the State Bank of Pakistan’s policy easing after the CPI inflation fell to 20.7 percent in March 2024,” Ahsan Mehanti, chief executive officer of Arif Habib Corporation, one of Pakistan’s leading business groups, told Arab News.

 Mehanti pointed out that cement sales surging by 3.85 percent on an annual basis, petroleum products’ sales rising by 4 percent and textile exports growing by 3 percent, and the surge in global crude oil prices contributed to the bullish close at stock market.

Shaharyar Butt, portfolio manager at securities brokerage firm Darson Securities, said encouraging developments at the economic front had also fueled positive sentiments at the stock market. 

“We saw a very positive day at the stock market which remained bullish throughout the day and closed at historic high level,” Butt told Arab News.

“The market hit an intraday high of 67,873 level with a gain of 986.95 points and managed to close at 67,756.03 level, up by 869 points.”

According to Topline Securities, the cement sector stole the spotlight, spearheading the market’s upward trajectory on Wednesday.

US dollar inflows in Pakistan through Treasury bills (T-bills) hit a 4-year high in March 2024, with the country attracting a net inflow of $82 million last month.

Pakistani analysts say foreign investment in government treasuries is an encouraging development that is fueling positive sentiments at the bourse.

“The major development after a long time is that the investors are making investment in the Pakistani rupee through Treasury Bills,” Butt said. “It is stirring positive sentiments at the stock market which was also reflected in today’s trading.”


Pakistan says economy stabilizing as it looks to 2026 growth

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Pakistan says economy stabilizing as it looks to 2026 growth

  • Inflation averages 5 percent, remittances hit $16.1 billion as government cites signs of recovery
  • IT exports, industry and development spending highlighted as focus shifts to next year’s targets

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan’s economy has shown signs of stabilization in the first half of the current fiscal year, Planning Minister Ahsan Iqbal said on Thursday, as the government looks ahead to sustaining growth momentum into 2026 after several years of economic volatility.

Briefing the media on economic performance through November, Iqbal said key indicators including inflation, industrial output, exports, remittances and fiscal revenues had improved, creating what he described as a more stable base for forward planning.

Pakistan has spent much of the past two years navigating high inflation, external financing pressures and fiscal tightening under an IMF-backed reform program. While growth remains modest, officials say recent data suggests the economy has moved out of crisis mode and into a consolidation phase.

“During July to November of fiscal year 2025–26, stability has returned to Pakistan’s economy,” Iqbal said, adding that average inflation during the period stood at around 5 percent, compared with 7.9% last year, easing pressure on households and businesses.

Large-scale manufacturing posted growth of 4.1 percent, which Iqbal described as “clear evidence of recovery in industrial activity.”

The planning minister said government revenues also improved, with Federal Board of Revenue collections reaching Rs4,733 billion ($16.9 billion) during July–November, reflecting a 10.2% increase.

External inflows remained resilient, with workers’ remittances rising 9.3% to $16.1 billion, while IT services exports increased 19% to $1.8 billion over the same period, he said.

On the public investment side, Iqbal said Rs196 billion ($700 million) were released under the development budget during the quarter, of which Rs92 billion ($329 million) had already been spent. He added that cost rationalization in development projects between July and October saved Rs3.3 billion ($11.8 million) billion in public funds.

In November, the planning minister said, the Central Development Working Party approved 10 development projects, while six major schemes were referred to the Executive Committee of the National Economic Council.

Iqbal said the approved projects were expected to create 994 immediate jobs, with nearly 24,859 direct and 40,873 indirect employment opportunities projected overall.

Looking ahead, he said all future development schemes would be required to comply with green building codes to ensure environmental protection and sustainable growth.

He also highlighted skills and innovation initiatives, saying that under the “Uraan Pakistan” program, partnerships with Oxford and Cambridge universities were being pursued to promote research, technology and innovation.

Under an IT industry revival plan, he said more than 20,000 young people were being trained in advanced technologies, with over 14,000 new jobs expected to be created.

The government has said maintaining macroeconomic stability while gradually lifting growth remains its central challenge as Pakistan moves into 2026, with officials emphasising disciplined spending, export growth and job creation as key priorities.