Gulf region’s sukuk issuances to benefit from COP28 awareness: Fitch Ratings

With 51 percent of sustainable issuances in the Gulf region taking the form of sukuk, Fitch Ratings said there is intense anticipation that they will significantly benefit from the heightened awareness fostered by COP28. Reuters
Short Url
Updated 20 November 2023
Follow

Gulf region’s sukuk issuances to benefit from COP28 awareness: Fitch Ratings

RIYADH: Sustainable issuances in the Gulf, particularly sukuk, are expected to gain prominence due to the upcoming UN climate change conference, or COP28, according to Fitch Ratings.

Bashar Al-Natoor, global head of Islamic finance and managing director at Fitch Ratings, highlighted the international event’s role in increasing awareness of sustainability issues in the region and directing investments and financial strategies toward a more environmentally responsible approach.

With 51 percent of sustainable issuances in the Gulf region taking the form of sukuk, he said there is intense anticipation that they will significantly benefit from the heightened awareness fostered by COP28.

Al-Natoor underscored the substantial growth of environmental, social, and governance, or ESG, sukuk in the UAE, reaching $6.4 billion by the third quarter of 2023, reflecting a 41 percent increase from the previous quarter’s $4.5 billion.

He emphasized that sustainable sukuk in the UAE now constitute over 19 percent of the global ESG sukuk market, making up more than 30 percent of such sukuk classified by Fitch Ratings.

During the third quarter, the UAE emerged as the leading global issuer of sustainable sukuk, contributing $1.8 billion, accounting for about 80 percent of the worldwide total of $2.3 billion. 

Islamic finance in the UAE is also poised to benefit from COP28, as Shariah-based financing accounted for around 29 percent of the total banking sector funding in 2022. 

He indicated that all sustainable issuances assessed by Fitch in the UAE fell under the “investment grade” category, with about 35 percent held by financial institutions, 25 percent by infrastructure companies projects and 38 percent by other sectors.

Al-Natoor highlighted the absence of governmental sukuk issuances within this framework and expected them to surge in the UAE once the public sector entered this space.

The Fitch executive also emphasized the absence of governmental sukuk issuances within this framework but expressed anticipation of a significant leap in sustainable offerings in the UAE once the government enters this space.

He noted that green issuances globally constituted about 45 percent of the total ESG offerings during the third quarter of 2023.

Explaining the classification of Sukuk, he stated that green sukuk represents a branch of ESG issuances encompassing green, blue, social, or sustainable offerings, depending on the project’s intended impact.

He highlighted the significant growth of globally established ESG sukuk, which expanded by 66 percent annually to reach $33.3 billion in the final quarter of 2023.  

Notably, 67.2 percent of these sukuk are in hard currency, primarily US dollars.

Al-Natoor further highlighted that out of the total sukuk assessed by Fitch, approximately 13 percent are categorized as sustainable.  

Fitch has evaluated over 80 percent of global ESG issuances in hard currency. 

It categorized over 83 percent of global sukuk in hard currency related to environmental, social, and governance, totaling $18.9 billion. Notably, 98 percent of these sukuk are investment grade, representing the highest rating.

Saudi Arabia holds the highest share of established ESG sukuk issuances classified by Fitch, with 48.1 percent, followed by the UAE, Indonesia and Turkiye.


The hidden side of clean power: why grid integration matters

Updated 58 min 40 sec ago
Follow

The hidden side of clean power: why grid integration matters

  • Exploring the predator’s role in the region’s heritage and ecosystem

RIYADH: As Saudi Arabia expands solar, wind, and battery projects, a critical piece of the sustainability puzzle often goes unseen: grid integration.

Before renewable plants can deliver power, engineers must ensure the grid remains stable, safe, and efficient under new loads. Integrating renewables into existing systems has become one of the toughest — and most crucial — steps toward building a truly sustainable energy network.

Engineers widely consider the electricity grid the largest and most complex machine ever built. As more renewable capacity comes online, managing it is becoming as much a data challenge as an energy one.

“A big share of Saudi Arabia’s electricity is generated from renewables and more projects are connected to the grid each year. This shift changes how the electricity grid is managed on a day-to-day basis,” Saeed Al-Zahrani, general manager of data enterprise storage leader NetApp in Saudi Arabia, told Arab News.

“To add context, traditional generation can usually be adjusted in a controlled way. Wind and solar, however, move with conditions such as cloud cover, dust, temperature and wind speed, meaning supply can rise and fall quickly,” he said.

In this environment, grid integration is less about whether enough electricity can be produced and more about whether operators can see and respond to changes across the network fast enough to maintain stability.

Frequency, voltage, congestion, and reserve margins all become more dynamic. Real-time measurements, accurate forecasting, asset status updates, and weather intelligence must come together into a reliable, unified system view.

“From NetApp’s perspective, this is where the data foundation matters most, because the grid can only act confidently when the information behind the decisions is timely, governed, and reliable,” Al-Zahrani said.

Under Vision 2030, Saudi Arabia aims to generate 50 percent of its energy from renewables — an ambitious target that introduces new technical and operational challenges. Weather variability, cyber threats, and system coordination can all affect grid stability.

“Every device that operates under this control regime that’s connected to the grid is digital nowadays. You have smart inverters, you have sensors, you have energy management systems, and all those devices and systems are potential entry points for attackers,” Charalambos Konstantinou, a professor at KAUST, told Arab News.

As solar capacity grows, ensuring seamless integration into the national grid has become one of the most complex challenges of the energy transition. (SPA)

His lab focuses on maintaining reliable and secure power infrastructure, developing faster and smarter control algorithms capable of responding to sudden changes in the power system.

“This is what we’re working to make sure that those algorithms remain robust. They remain resilient. They remain secure, even if something, maybe an extreme weather event, or a cyber attack, is aiming to disrupt them,” he said.

Rapid digitalization, however, can create vulnerabilities if security measures do not keep pace. In 2012, Aramco experienced the Shamoon attack, a computer virus that affected around 30,000 workstations.

“When you scale fast, security practices typically lack behind deployment, and this is essentially what we focus a lot in my group: making sure that internet-connected or digital devices cannot be used as an entry point to destabilizing the grid,” Konstantinou said.

One particularly concerning threat involves load-altering attacks, which can disrupt power systems without requiring deep penetration of the grid itself.

“If an attacker is able to control a large amount of what we call internet connected high voltage devices — think HVAC systems, air conditioning systems, water heaters, electric vehicle chargers — and is able to switch them on and off at the same time, simultaneously, then he or she can create a certain imbalance between generation and demand, and then the grid (becomes) very difficult to handle,” he said.

A view of an Aramco refinery in the Eastern Province. (Supplied)

Such disruptions could potentially trigger widespread blackouts.

Beyond cybersecurity risks, the physical environment also presents challenges. Saudi Arabia’s relatively consistent weather can be an advantage for renewable energy production, but factors such as dust accumulation on solar panels and thermal stress on inverters can still affect performance.

Testing technologies under local conditions — including extreme heat, network behavior, and the mix of generation assets — is essential before large-scale deployment. Equally important are intelligent coordination frameworks that allow flexible energy assets to work together while optimizing energy use across industries.

Renewable-heavy grids across Saudi Arabia and neighboring countries increasingly depend on real-time data from SCADA systems, substation automation, and weather monitoring to balance supply and demand. While these continuous data flows improve efficiency, they also introduce new risks, including potential system disruption and data manipulation.

Vasily Dyagilev, regional director for the Middle East, Russia and CIS at Check Point Software Technologies Ltd., highlighted the scale of these vulnerabilities.

Vasily Dyagilev, regional director of Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. for the Middle East. (Supplied)

“In Saudi Arabia, 58 percent of organizations have experienced information disclosure vulnerabilities, while remote code execution and authentication bypass remain significant threats. The complexity of managing legacy operational technology networks alongside modern cloud-based systems and third-party integrations makes it difficult for utilities to maintain full visibility over their risk landscape.

“The region has also seen high-profile incidents where attacks on SCADA systems led to operational disruptions, highlighting the fragility of critical infrastructure. Effective exposure management, including continuous vulnerability discovery and prioritized remediation based on operational risk, is now recognized as essential for maintaining grid stability and protecting the integrity of real-time data streams.”

Alongside cyber and operational risks, uncertainty in weather patterns remains a key variable in renewable power generation.

Omar Knio, another professor at KAUST, studies how atmospheric processes influence renewable energy systems through uncertainty quantification and climate modeling. Dust particles originating in the Arabian Peninsula, for instance, can travel thousands of kilometers and influence weather patterns across South Asia.

Opinion

This section contains relevant reference points, placed in (Opinion field)

“Phenomena at tiny little scales end up, through teleconnections, making very important contributions to weather patterns and to the climate as far as renewables themselves, because these phenomena affect the solar and wind potentials, they’re extremely important to predict accurately,” Knio said.

“The presence of dust in the atmosphere and cloud cover affect the output of solar panels or solar plants, and similar phenomena happen to wind, and that's why they are really challenging. It's important to be able to predict them as accurately as we can.”

Maintaining a stable renewable grid requires both short-term and long-term forecasting. Hourly predictions are essential for balancing supply and demand, while longer-term projections help planners prepare infrastructure and storage.

Artificial intelligence is increasingly helping researchers build models that forecast weather patterns, simulate thermal behavior in buildings, and analyze industrial energy use. In areas where detailed physical models are limited, AI also helps uncover patterns in human behavior and electricity consumption.

“An example is power demand, consumer behavior, or changes in patterns that have to do with the day of the week, whether it's a weekend, a holiday season, whether it's during harsh weather, or it's during Ramadan: how do these patterns change? And artificial intelligence is really bringing the capability for us to represent and forecast these very complex phenomena,” Knio said.

As renewable energy penetration approaches higher levels, the system becomes more sensitive to fluctuations and extreme events.

“There comes a point where we start having a very dramatic rise in the need for storage capabilities. And the important aspect of why our fuel is important. We can make them cleaner, but they’re wonderful in the sense that they are plentiful right now. They are cheap, but more importantly, they are quite economical to store after. After fuels come nuclear power. So it’s really that storage capability. As we approach 100 percent, the need for storage becomes extremely heightened,” Knio said.