Budget 2023: Saudi Arabia exceeds surplus estimate and revises up GDP forecast

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Updated 08 December 2022
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Budget 2023: Saudi Arabia exceeds surplus estimate and revises up GDP forecast

  • Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman said that the government intends to prioritize capital spending
  • The budget has been approved by the Saudi Cabinet

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia has recorded a larger-then-expected budget surplus for 2022 of SR102 billion ($27.13 billion) — SR12 billion higher than previously forecast.

The surplus comes as the Kingdom's gross domestic product is also set to exceed expectations — registering growth of 8.5 percent compared with the 7.5 percent estimated in December 2021 and the 8 percent forecast in pre-Budget statement published at the end of September.

GDP growth is forecast to slow to 3.1 percent in 2023.

The revelations came as the Saudi government approved a SR1.114 trillion budget for 2023, itself expected to post a surplus of SR16 billion, Saudi media outlets reported.

The Kingdom expects revenues of SR1.13 trillion next year, Saudi-owned Al Arabiya TV reported. The surplus is equivalent to 0.4 percent of gross domestic product — 0.2 percentage points higher than forecast in September 

Total revenues are forecast at SR1.234 trillion for 2022, while spending is SR1.132 trillion, meaning a surplus of 2.6 percent of GDP — 0.1 percentage point higher than previously forecast.

Saudi Arabia’s inflation, which recorded 2.6 percent in 2022, is expected to fall to 2.1 percent in 2023.

Later on Wednesday, the Saudi cabinet approved the budget in a meeting that was chaired by King Salman at Al-Yamamah Palace in Riyadh, the Saudi Press Agency reported.
“We announced the general budget of the state for the next year, asking God Almighty to perpetuate the blessing of security and prosperity,” the king said.
Following his speech, the Council of Ministers completed the session headed by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, where they thanked King Salman for attending the session to announce the state general budget for the next fiscal year.
The crown prince said that the success of the Kingdom’s reforms in the operating model of the public sector and the economy contributed to the achievement of a budget surplus.
He emphasized that budget surpluses will be used to boost government reserves, support national funds, and strengthen the Kingdom’s financial position in the face of a global economic downturn.
Prince Mohammed added that the government intends to prioritize capital spending in the 2023 budget based on regional and sectoral strategies in line with the Kingdom’s Vision 2030.
Along with spending, he also said that the government will implement a number of initiatives to strengthen the role of the private sector in development and attract additional foreign investment.
He cited the Kingdom’s launch of the “Global Supply Chain Resilience Initiative,” which aims to make Saudi Arabia a prime investment environment for supply chain investors.
The cabinet then reviewed the provisions of the budget, and issued its decision regarding the revenue, expenditure and surplus.
The crown prince directed the ministers and officials to actively commit to implementing the budget programs and the development and social projects.


Future Minerals Forum launches global index to track critical mineral supply chains 

Updated 29 sec ago
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Future Minerals Forum launches global index to track critical mineral supply chains 

RIYADH: The Future Minerals Forum on Jan. 12 launched the “Future Minerals Index Report,” a first-of-its-kind global tool designed to measure and track progress in developing critical mineral value chains across producing, exporting, and consuming countries.  

The initiative aims to support the creation of more resilient and responsible supply chains and promote sustainable development worldwide.  

Khalid Al-Mudaifer, vice minister of industry and mineral resources for mining affairs, stated: “The Future Minerals Index Report is an unprecedented and essential document; it is an intellectual tool that highlights key trends in the mining and minerals sector, particularly in terms of insights and directions from sector stakeholders, including government leaders, global mining executives, experts, and interested parties.”   

He pointed out that the report is distinguished by its tracking of developments in mineral supplies and its provision of actionable recommendations to ensure the sustainable development of critical mineral value chains. 

Al-Mudaifer described the report as a new international benchmark that establishes a comprehensive baseline to measure the progress of governments, companies, and investors in enhancing more resilient and responsible mineral supply chains.   

He said it provides a clear picture of how global critical mineral markets are shaped by capital, risk, and trust dynamics. “It shows where investment is growing or shrinking and identifies the widening gap between resource availability and capital allocation. Based on this baseline, the report will monitor changes in risk perceptions, investment flows, and progress toward more resilient mineral value chains.”  

Ali Al-Mutairi, general supervisor of the Future Minerals Forum, emphasized the report’s importance and the attention it received at the forum due to its role in highlighting global trends in the mining sector.   

He explained that the report was prepared in partnership with McKinsey & Co. and in collaboration with other sector experts, including S&P Global Market Intelligence, Global AI, and GlobeScan.  

“It integrates stakeholder trends, data, market insights, and intelligence into a single reference that supports global mining and mineral sector decision-making,” he said.  

Jeffrey Lorsch, partner at McKinsey & Co., commented: “The Future Minerals Index Report, by integrating market data, stakeholder perspectives, and value chain standards, provides a strategic roadmap to help companies navigate volatility and unlock long-term growth opportunities.”  

The report is based on the “Future Minerals Framework,” developed with contributions from 47 experts across multilateral organizations, non-profits, and private companies. It was first introduced at the 2025 International Ministerial Meeting.   

The framework outlines key enablers for end-to-end value chains, including supportive policies and regulations, innovative financing solutions to secure and manage investments, multimodal infrastructure such as roads, railways, and ports to reduce costs and increase viability, and sustainability through strong environmental and social governance frameworks.   

It also includes talent development through education, training, R&D, technological modernization via updated geological data systems and global expertise partnerships, and geology through reliable, accessible geological data in producing, exporting, and consuming countries as a critical factor in attracting investment.  

The report highlighted the world’s urgent need to sustain mineral supplies, featuring contributions from leading industry figures.  

Robert Friedland, founder of Ivanhoe Mines, Ivanhoe Electric, and I-Pulse, stated that the electrification of energy systems, digitalization of the economy, and the rapid growth of artificial intelligence are converging toward a future that increasingly depends on minerals.   

He stressed: “You can’t reduce emissions, build computing systems, or transport energy without mining.”  

Bob Wilt, CEO of Ma’aden, said in the report: “We are not fully prepared to deliver the minerals the world needs. Our biggest challenges are not equipment, capital, or technology — but people.”  

Duncan Wanblad, CEO of Anglo American, noted that global copper demand is expected to grow by 75 percent to reach 56 million tonnes annually by 2050. To meet this demand and offset declines from aging mines, the sector will need to open approximately 60 new mines the size of Quellaveco within the next decade alone.  

Gustavo Pimenta, CEO of Vale, said in his contribution: “I can’t imagine a future without mining — at least not a sustainable one that balances economic development with environmental protection and social responsibility. Mining has become essential to everything.”  

The release of the Future Minerals Index Report coincides with the upcoming fifth edition of the Future Minerals Forum, being held from Jan. 13 to 15, 2026, in Riyadh under the patronage of the Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques, King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud. The event is held under the theme “Minerals: Facing the Challenges of a New Era of Development.”  

The forum will host a wide range of ministers and CEOs from leading global mining companies, reflecting its stature as a global platform in the mining sector and a key event showcasing Saudi Arabia’s leadership in shaping the future of minerals regionally and internationally.