Brent prices break $130 as US bans Russian crude imports over Ukraine invasion

President Joe Biden announced a ban on US imports of Russian oil on Tuesday, in the administration’s most far-reaching action yet to punish Moscow for invading Ukraine. (Shutterstock)
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Updated 09 March 2022
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Brent prices break $130 as US bans Russian crude imports over Ukraine invasion

  • The ban came with Democrats threatening legislation to force Biden’s hand
  • Britain also said on Tuesday it would phase out Russian oil imports by the end of this year

RIYADH: Benchmark Brent crude futures for May above $130 a barrel as US decides to ban Russian oil imports. US West Texas Intermediate, or WTI, crude futures for April delivery traded around $126 a barrel.

President Joe Biden announced a ban on US imports of Russian oil on Tuesday, in the administration’s most far-reaching action yet to punish Moscow for invading Ukraine.

“We’re banning all imports of Russian oil and gas and energy. That means Russian oil will no longer be acceptable at US ports and the American people will deal another powerful blow to (President Vladimir) Putin,” Biden said in an address from the White House, adding that the decision was taken “in close consultation” with allies.

The ban came with Democrats threatening legislation to force Biden’s hand, despite the likely impact on already soaring gas prices.

UK to phase out Russian oil imports

Britain also said on Tuesday it would phase out Russian oil imports by the end of this year, in line with new sanctions announced by the US following the invasion of Ukraine.

“This transition will give the market, businesses and supply chains more than enough time to replace Russian imports — which make up 8 percent of UK demand,” Business Secretary Kwasi Kwarteng tweeted.

The oil sanction does not apply to Russian natural gas, which accounts for some four percent of UK supply. But Kwarteng said he was “exploring options to end this altogether.”

The announcement came in coordination with an embargo on Russian oil announced by US President Joe Biden.

Oil 

The rise in oil prices has prompted the US to open a dialogue with the Venezuelan president on energy matters. 

The White House said on Monday that a US delegation held weekend talks in Venezuela with the government of President Nicolas Maduro that included a discussion of energy supplies — as Washington looks for ways to reduce its imports of Russian oil.

The surprise move comes at a time when analysts at Bank of America said that if most of Russia’s oil exports were cut off, there could be a shortfall of at least 5 million barrels per day, pushing prices as high as $200.

JP Morgan analysts said oil could soar to $185 this year, while analysts at Mitsubishi UFJ said oil may rise to $180 and cause a global recession.

Opinion

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Oil prices see-sawed near 14-year highs on Tuesday as the United States considered acting alone to ban Russian oil imports rather than teaming up with allies in Europe, easing concerns of a wider disruption to crude supplies.

Brent crude futures on Tuesday are trading around $125, while US benchmark WTI is near $121.

US-Venezuela talks

Maduro, with whose regime the United States broke off relations in 2019, has been among the few international figures to assure Russian President Vladimir Putin of his “strong support” in the wake of the invasion.

“As it relates to Venezuela, the purpose of the trip that was taken by administration officials was to discuss a range of issues including certainly energy, energy security,” White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki told reporters.

Venezuela’s opposition also said it had met with the high-level US delegation, whose trip to Caracas — reported by multiple US media — came as Washington seeks to isolate Russia over its invasion of Ukraine.

Maduro confirmed the meeting in a televised appearance late Monday, describing it as “respectful, cordial and diplomatic” without going into detail about the issues addressed.

“We did it in the presidential office,” he said. “We had almost two hours talking.”

“It seemed very important to me to be able, face to face, to discuss topics of maximum interest to Venezuela,” he continued.

Iran nuclear deal

Meanwhile, talks to revive Iran’s 2015 nuclear deal with world powers were mired in uncertainty after Russia demanded a US guarantee that sanctions it faces over the Ukraine conflict would not hurt its trade with Tehran.

Iran’s Foreign Minister Hossein Amirabdollahian said Tehran would not allow “any foreign elements to undermine its national interests,” and the Foreign Ministry said it awaited an explanation from Russia.

France told Russia not to resort to blackmail over efforts to revive the nuclear deal, and Iran’s top security official said the outlook for the talks “remains unclear.”
Iran would take several months to restore oil flows even if it reached a nuclear deal, analysts said.

Shell

Shell on Tuesday apologized for buying Russian crude oil last week and said it would withdraw completely from any involvement in Russian hydrocarbons over the country’s invasion of Ukraine.

“We are acutely aware that our decision last week to purchase a cargo of Russian crude oil ... was not the right one and we are sorry,” Shell CEO Ben van Beurden said.

Shell bought a cargo of Russian crude oil from Swiss trader Trafigura in S&P Global Platts window loading from Baltic ports at a record low of dated Brent minus $28.50 a barrel, traders said on Friday.


Saudi Arabia’s business landscape witnessing dynamic shift as AI adoption rises

Updated 10 sec ago
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Saudi Arabia’s business landscape witnessing dynamic shift as AI adoption rises

  • Companies urged to set their agenda without delay, prepare to adapt to evolution

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s business environment has witnessed a drastic shift in recent years as employers consider artificial intelligence a critical tool for their operations.

With the Kingdom hosting major technology events like LEAP, regional business owners and employees have recognized the need to upskill their proficiency in AI-related operations to catalyze growth.

Talking to Arab News, Rami Mourtada, partner and director of Boston Consulting Group, said companies in Saudi Arabia should set their AI agenda imminently and prepare to adapt to this dynamic evolution.

Rami Mourtada

“Transformative AI adoption in the Kingdom cannot happen without proper business adoption, and businesses that haven’t should quickly set their own AI agenda, define a strategic AI roadmap, pilot promising use case, and engage the organization properly for this change,” said Mourtada.

He added: “As business leaders progress this journey, events like LEAP are important for learning from other businesses’ experience, engaging with experts to help refine their agenda, and getting new ideas for use case to pilot.”

Bridging the AI gap between employers and employees

A current report by US-based management consulting firm Oliver Wyman disclosed that Saudi Arabia and the wider Middle East region have invested heavily in national AI strategies in recent years, and the approach is paying off.

The study revealed that the Kingdom’s young population born between 1997 and 2010 has already recognized the benefits of this new technology, with more than half acknowledging the advantages AI will offer in enhancing productivity.

Ana Kreacic, chief knowledge officer at Oliver Wyman, said that bridging the gap between employers and employees is necessary to ensure the smooth adoption of AI in businesses.

Ana Kreacic

“Currently, there is a big disconnect between employers and employees. While CEOs recognize AI’s potential and many already are redesigning work to improve productivity, streamline operations, or gain a competitive advantage, they underestimate many aspects of the technology,” said Kreacic.

She added: “Businesses should create a shared mission around AI’s adoption, not only around improved business productivity but also how the technology will affect workers and their roles. Business leaders right now must prioritize how to motivate younger workers, develop and train them, and allay their anxieties.”

The analysis by Oliver Wyman underscored that about 57 percent of the employees surveyed in Saudi Arabia revealed that the training provided by their companies on AI was insufficient, while 40 percent demanded peer-to-peer mentorship programs to adapt to the change.

“There is a lack of understanding and trust about how AI will affect work and how businesses plan to support their employees through the AI transition. More than ever, businesses need to communicate regularly with their employees about their plans, providing clear guidelines, and also double down on ongoing AI skill-building and training,” noted Kreacic.

She further emphasized that business leaders should prioritize motivating and training young workers, which will ultimately reduce their anxieties surrounding the tech adoption.

“Most AI-enabled tools are continuously improving, which means employees not only need to learn how to use these tools once but that they will continue to learn new things as they engage with the tools over time. This is different from most past technologies we’ve interacted with, and part of the reason why employees ranked AI as their top reskilling priority,” Kreacic told Arab News.

Kreacic further pointed out that businesses also need to focus on digital training for individuals born between the mid-1990s and the mid-2010s, or Gen Zers, who lack the skills required for AI despite their computer training and knowledge.

“Businesses also need to help them develop the soft skills that are becoming even more crucial as AI eliminates repetitive roles. Many Gen Zers were onboarded during the pandemic or spend less time in the office because of remote and hybrid work and haven’t yet acquired the skills that older generations learned while working alongside senior colleagues,” she added.

The vitality of encouraging AI adoption by alleviating fears

Even though adopting AI will increase businesses’ productivity, the majority of workers are worried that this trend will negatively impact their job security.

“There is increasing anxiety from the general workforce about AI’s impact on their job security, especially as its adoption rises — more employees see its capabilities and impact 1st hand. BCG research has shown that the optimal setup — i.e., resulting in the least risk of bias or error — is where humans act as oversight, with key checkpoints, for AI-transformed processes,” said Mourtada.

He added: “Employees should first influence their employers to adopt this hybrid approach and second engage with it to capture the benefits directly.”

The Oliver Wyman study revealed that 69 percent of Saudi Arabia’s young people are worried about the impact AI will have on job security, compared to 59 percent of older adults.

According to the report, senior employees may feel more secure in their careers because they believe AI will have less impact on higher-level employment.

“That fear already is impacting talent retention. 24 percent of Saudi Gen Zers are looking for other jobs that are more secure in the AI transition compared to 14 percent globally,” said Kreacic.

She added: “Business and government can address these fears and discourage workers from fleeing unnecessarily by communicating clearly and regularly about how generative AI will affect work and which activities will be substituted, augmented or transformed — as well as how they plan to support their employees through the transition.”

According to Kreacic, businesses should create a shared mission around the adoption of AI, not only around improved business productivity but also how the technology will affect workers and their roles.

“As companies become increasingly reliant on AI technology, younger workers may feel less and less connected to a company, so nurturing the young workers’ sense of belonging will be critical to allowing them to reach their full potential at work,” she told Arab News.


Closing Bell: TASI edges down to close at 12,254 points

Updated 25 April 2024
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Closing Bell: TASI edges down to close at 12,254 points

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul All Share Index dipped on Thursday, losing 101.16 points, or 0.82 percent, to close at 12,254.53. 

The total trading turnover of the benchmark index was SR6.9 billion ($1.84 billion) as 75 stocks advanced while 144 retreated.  

Similarly, the MSCI Tadawul Index decreased by 8.99 points, or 0.58 percent, to close at 1,539.63.

The Kingdom’s parallel market, Nomu, increased, gaining 362.13 points, or 1.38 percent, to close at 26,688.25. This comes as 34 stocks advanced while as many as 27 retreated.

The best-performing stock of the day was Fawaz Abdulaziz Alhokair Co. The company’s share price surged by 6.39 percent to SR11.32.

Other top performers include Etihad Atheeb Telecommunication Co. and Saudi Cable Co., whose share prices soared by 5.57 percent and 5.35 percent, to stand at SR125and SR74.8 respectively. National Metal Manufacturing and Casting Co. and Saudi Steel Pipe Co. also fared well.

The worst performer was Al Sagr Cooperative Insurance Co., whose share price dropped by 7.11 percent to SR33.30.

ACWA Power as well as Bawan Co., did not perform well as their share prices dropped by 6.87 percent and 5.78 percent to stand at SR420 and SR44, respectively.

On the announcements front, a general assembly of Bank AlJazira approved increasing the capital by SR2.05 billion, representing a 25 percent increase. 

This growth will be achieved through the capitalization of a portion of the statutory reserves, granting one share for every four shares to strengthen the bank’s capital base and enable it to achieve its strategic objectives, according to Al-Ekhbariya.

Additionally, authorization was granted to the board of directors to distribute interim dividends on a semi-annual/quarterly basis for the fiscal year 2024. Approval was also given to the compensation and benefits policy for senior executives at Bank AlJazira.

Moreover, the profits of Banque Saudi Fransi rose to SR1.15 billion during the first quarter of 2024, a 7 percent increase compared to the same period in 2023, which stood at SR1.07 billion.

The bank attributed this growth to a rise in commission income by 27.5 percent, primarily due to higher returns on financing and investments. However, there was a slight decrease in net commission income by 0.3 percent due to an increase in specific commission expenses.

Additionally, total operating expenses decreased 6.2 percent, mainly due to a reduction in the provision for expected credit losses on loans and advances. This was partially offset by an increase in the provision for other financial assets and rising staff salaries and expenses.

On another note, the stock of Al-Rajhi Co. for Cooperative Insurance SJSC, Al Rajhi Takaful, which is counted for in the insurance sector on the main market, recorded its highest price since listing on April 25, at SR142.

Furthermore, Saudi Exchange approved the listing request for government debt instruments issued by Saudi Arabia, totaling SR5.1 billion.

These instruments comprise issuance number 2024-04-07, valued at SR1.6 billion, and 2024-04-12, valued at SR3.5 billion. Trading of these instruments will commence on April 29.

Additionally, Rawabi Holding Co., also referred to as Rawabi, has successfully concluded its largest Saudi Riyal-denominated sukuk issuance, totaling SR1.2 billion. Driven by high market demand, this milestone surpasses Rawabi’s previous issuance record of SR875 million in 2023.

Since the launch of its sukuk program in 2020, Rawabi Holding has issued approximately SR6.5 billion across 18 tranches and redeemed seven tranches totaling around SR2.9 billion.


Rapid expansion of batteries crucial to meet COP28 climate goals: IEA

Updated 25 April 2024
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Rapid expansion of batteries crucial to meet COP28 climate goals: IEA

RIYADH: Global battery production must be scaled up to meet the climate security goals set at COP28, according to the International Energy Agency.

In its latest report, IEA said battery technology witnessed unprecedented growth in 2023, outstripping almost all other clean power source solutions. 

The think tank added that an expected sharp fall in battery costs will accelerate the shift to renewable energy from fossil fuels in the coming years. 

“Growth in batteries outpaced almost all other clean energy technologies in 2023 as falling costs, advancing innovation and supportive industrial policies helped drive up demand for a technology that will be critical to delivering the climate and energy targets outlined at the COP28 climate conference in Dubai,” said IEA in the report. 

It added: “After their deployment in the power sector more than doubled last year, batteries need to lead a sixfold increase in global energy storage to enable the world to meet 2030 targets.” 

During the COP28 summit, nearly 200 countries agreed to triple renewable energy capacity by 2030, double the pace of power source efficiency improvements, and transition away from fossil fuels.

The report added that 1,500 gigawatts of battery storage would be required to triple renewable capacity globally by the end of this decade. 

However, IEA warned that a shortfall in deploying enough batteries could stall clean energy transitions in the power sector. 

Battery manufacturing

According to IEA, battery manufacturing has more than tripled in the last three years, with China accounting for 83 percent of current production capacity, up from 75 percent in 2020.

The report added that 40 percent of announced plans for new battery manufacturing are in advanced economies such as the US and EU. 

“If all those projects are built, those economies would have nearly enough manufacturing to meet their own needs to 2030 on the path to net zero emission,” said IEA. 

In the earlier days, the most common type of batteries, those based on lithium-ion, were typically associated with consumer electronics. However, today, the energy sector accounts for over 90 percent of overall battery demand, said the report. 

The intergovernmental organization added that battery deployment in the power sector increased by more than 130 percent in 2023 compared to the previous year, adding a total of 42 GW. 

Moreover, batteries have enabled electric car sales to surge from 3 million in 2020 to almost 14 million last year in the transport sector. 

Earlier in April, another report by IEA revealed that global sales of electric cars grew by approximately 25 percent in the first quarter of this year compared to the same period in 2023. 

“The electricity and transport sectors are two key pillars for bringing down emissions quickly enough to meet the targets agreed at COP28 and keep open the possibility of limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius, ” said Fatih Birol, IEA’s executive director. 

He added: “Batteries will provide the foundations in both areas, playing an invaluable role in scaling up renewables and electrifying transport while delivering secure and sustainable energy for businesses and households.” 

Falling costs

According to IEA, battery costs have fallen by over 90 percent in less than 15 years, one of the fastest declines ever seen in clean energy technologies. 

However, the agency highlighted that costs must come down further without compromising quality and technology.

“The combination of solar PV (photovoltaic) and batteries is today competitive with new coal plants in India. And just in the next few years, it will be cheaper than new coal in China and gas-fired power in the US. Batteries are changing the game before our eyes,” said Birol. 

According to IEA, ensuring energy security also requires greater diversity in supply chains, including extracting and processing the critical minerals used in batteries. 

Birol noted that governments worldwide have an important role in building resilient local and international supply chains to ensure that securely and sustainably produced batteries come to market at a reasonable cost. 

“Legislation such as the Inflation Reduction Act in the US, the Net-Zero Industry Act in the EU, and the Production Linked Incentive in India are good examples of how policy can affect real change in the industry by backing technology manufacturing,” said Birol. 

He also underscored the necessity to implement supportive policies to help speed up deployment by minimizing barriers to market entry for developers and reducing red tape that can stifle new projects.

Key to energy transition

In its report, IEA also highlighted the versatility of battery storage to ensure clean energy transition. 

“In the power sector, batteries help smooth out the variability of renewable electricity from technologies such as wind and solar,” said the agency. 

IEA added that battery storage can alleviate grid congestion in times of high supply, offering an outlet to capture and store excess renewable electricity that would otherwise be lost. 

“Reducing emissions and getting on track to meet international energy and climate targets will hinge on whether the world can scale up batteries fast enough. More than half the job that we need to do will rely, at least in some part, on battery deployment,” added Birol. 

Moreover, batteries can also provide critical service in the case of emergencies caused by extreme weather or other disruptions.

The deployment of batteries will also provide the grid with highly technical services, such as voltage and frequency control, that can help system operators and provide access to people who lack electricity. 

“In a pathway to achieving universal energy access worldwide by 2030, they help 400 million people in emerging and developing economies gain electricity access through decentralized solutions like solar home systems and mini-grids with batteries,” IEA concluded. 


More than two-thirds of UAE retail investors hold stocks in AI companies: eToro survey

Updated 25 April 2024
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More than two-thirds of UAE retail investors hold stocks in AI companies: eToro survey

RIYADH: More than 70 percent of retail investors in the UAE have stocks of companies developing artificial intelligence, according to a survey by trading platform eToro.

The 71 percent mark underscores a widespread understanding of AI’s potential as a catalyst for innovation and a source of competitive edge.

UAE retail investors’ interest in AI goes beyond holding stocks. When asked about their use or plans to use AI tools like ChatGPT to guide investment decisions, 39 percent reported that they already employ these technologies.

Global Markets Strategist at eToro, Ben Laidler, said: “Microsoft’s recent $1.5 billion investment in Abu Dhabi’s G42 is a big endorsement of the UAE’s potential as a global AI hub, which is reflected in the survey results showing widespread AI adoption by local investors and consumers.”

Millennials lead the charge when it comes to generational users, with 40 percent of those aged 25-44 using AI tools.

Baby Boomers and Gen X investors follow closely, with 39 percent and 38 percent, respectively.

Underlining the critical role that artificial intelligence might play in future investment strategies, an additional 52 percent of respondents, beyond those already using AI tools, said they are willing to adopt the technology to guide or adjust their portfolios in the future.

This trend defies generational stereotypes, with the older cohorts of investors directing the charge.

Baby Boomers lead in interest in integrating AI into investment planning, with 60 percent showing enthusiasm, followed by Gen X at 58 percent.

Laidler said: “AI stocks were the performance juggernauts of 2023, leading the tech sector revival and propelling the S&P 500 into bull market territory. AI trends helped make NVIDIA and Meta the best S&P 500 stock performers of last year, with their share prices tripling.”

He added: “Whilst we’re unlikely to see a repeat performance in 2024, the benefits of AI’s rapid adoption are broadening across the stock market and economy as it rapidly moves from hype to reality.”

Furthermore, eToro analyzed which companies experienced the highest proportional increase in UAE-based investors on its platform from quarter to quarter, revealing that AI stocks were the most popular theme during the first three months of the year.


Omani officials forge economic alliances with Saudi Arabia, Japan, and US

Updated 25 April 2024
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Omani officials forge economic alliances with Saudi Arabia, Japan, and US

RIYADH: Oman’s industrial infrastructure is set to receive a boost following a new agreement with Saudi Arabia, fostering private sector participation in the country’s economic growth. 

A memorandum of understanding, aimed at financing the infrastructure of several industrial zones in Oman, was signed during a meeting between Minister of Finance Sultan bin Salem Al-Habsi and Sultan Abdulrahman Al-Marshad, CEO of the Saudi Fund for Development, the Oman News Agency reported. 

Discussions centered on cooperation mechanisms between Oman and the fund, along with updates on collaborative development projects. 

The aim is to develop the industrial and logistical sectors by providing all necessary basic services, thereby encouraging the private sector to contribute to Oman’s economic development in line with Oman Vision 2040, as reported by the agency. 

This memorandum falls within the framework of cooperation between the two parties to support developmental areas in Oman. These encompass infrastructure, higher and vocational education programs, and water, along with the industry and mining sectors. Additionally, it includes transportation and communications sectors, as well as developmental projects in the energy sector. 

On another note, Ali bin Masoud Al-Sunaidi, chairman of the Public Authority for Special Economic Zones and Free Zones, met with Ken Saito, minister of economy, trade and industry of Japan, and his accompanying delegation in Tokyo. 

During the meeting, they reviewed the business cooperation between the two countries and the major projects under construction in the economic and free zones and industrial cities in Oman, notably the low-carbon iron production project in the Special Economic Zone in Duqm. 

The visit also included meetings with officials from companies engaged in iron and its derivatives production, and renewable energy equipment manufacturing companies, as well as a visit to Yokohama Port to learn about its experience in receiving ships specialized in energy and petroleum product transportation. 

Also on April 24, Oman and the US explored ways to enhance trade, investment, and address challenges comprehensively during the second strategic dialogue held in Washington. 

The Omani side was chaired by Sheikh Khalifa bin Ali bin Issa al-Harthy, undersecretary for Diplomatic Affairs, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, while the US side was chaired by Jose Fernandez, undersecretary of state for Economic Growth, Energy, and the Environment.

Both sides discussed opportunities for American companies in Oman, focusing on ICT, semiconductors, and clean energy services, expressing commitment to enhancing cooperation in clean energy solutions and mineral investments.  

They addressed environmental priorities under the Omani-American cooperation memorandum, fostering communication between researchers from both countries for clean energy research.