Saudi Arabia’s 2022 budget deficit to narrow to $13.9bn: ministry of finance

Saudi Arabia’s budget deficit narrowed sharply in the first six months of this year due to more fiscal discipline and increasing non-oil revenue. (Illustration)
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Updated 12 December 2021
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Saudi Arabia’s 2022 budget deficit to narrow to $13.9bn: ministry of finance

  • Saudi Arabia is expected to report a narrower budget deficit this year

RIYADH/JEDDAH: Rising oil prices, coupled with a more positive post-pandemic outlook, has Saudi Arabia expecting a narrower budget deficit this year.

But based on a budget forecast from the Saudi Ministry of Finance, the Kingdom is expecting to see a budget deficit of SR52 billion ($13.9 billion) in 2022.

According to an independent financial analyst, the indicators for the 2022 budget “target economic and fiscal growth driven by rational public spending.” Talat Hafiz said growth in the non-oil GDP and the performance of the private sector supported the Kingdom’s expected financial standing

“Efficient spending also helped a lot in achieving such good results,” he said. “Finally the focus of the Kingdom on privatization will support in enhancing government’s revenues and reduces expenditures.”

In 2022, Saudi Arabia’s revenues are expected to reach SR903 billion, while spending SR955 billion.

This projection comes after the Kingdom’s budget deficit narrowed sharply in the first six months of this year due to more fiscal discipline and increasing non-oil revenue. It dropped 92 percent to SR12 billion.

Saudi Arabia’s national debt is expected to be at SR989 billion, or 31.3 percent of its GDP in the next fiscal year, according to the Ministry of Finance forecast in its budget statement on Thursday.

The debt will jump from 30.2 percent of the country’s GDP that is forecast this year, according to the statement. Next year the principal repayments on the debt will reach SR76 billion, the ministry said, adding that in “the medium-term, public debt levels are projected to remain constant.”

“Through coordination between the Ministry of Finance and the National Debt Management Center, the annual borrowing plan is being prepared within the framework of a medium-term debt strategy,” the statement said.

The ministry expected the Saudi GDP to grow at 7.5 percent in 2022, assuming a recovery in economic activities and an improvement in the Kingdom’s balance of trade “in light of positive performance in the first half of 2021.”

The government strives to control the budget deficit which is projected to be approximately 1.6 percent of the GDP in 2022.

“The major elements that stand out from this pre-budget statement indicate a steady improvement in all major economic and fiscal matrices,” economist Mohamed Ramady said.

“We need to continue a conservative approach in budgeting oil and non-oil revenues as a precautionary measure against risks of the resurgence of the COVID-19 pandemic or changes in the current bullish fortunes of oil prices.”

 


Gulf-EU value chain integration signals shift toward long-term economic partnership: GCC secretary general

Updated 03 February 2026
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Gulf-EU value chain integration signals shift toward long-term economic partnership: GCC secretary general

RIYADH: Value chains between the Gulf and Europe are poised to become deeper and more resilient as economic ties shift beyond traditional trade toward long-term industrial and investment integration, according to the secretary general of the Gulf Cooperation Council.

Speaking on the sidelines of the World Governments Summit 2026 in Dubai, Jasem Al-Budaiwi said Gulf-European economic relations are shifting from simple commodity trade toward the joint development of sustainable value chains, reflecting a more strategic and lasting partnership.

His remarks were made during a dialogue session titled “The next investment and trade race,” held with Luigi Di Maio, the EU’s special representative for external affairs.

Al-Budaiwi said relations between the GCC and the EU are among the bloc’s most established partnerships, built on decades of institutional collaboration that began with the signing of the 1988 cooperation agreement.

He noted that the deal laid a solid foundation for political and economic dialogue and opened broad avenues for collaboration in trade, investment, and energy, as well as development and education.

The secretary general added that the partnership has undergone a qualitative shift in recent years, particularly following the adoption of the joint action program for the 2022–2027 period and the convening of the Gulf–European summit in Brussels.

Subsequent ministerial meetings, he said, have focused on implementing agreed outcomes, enhancing trade and investment cooperation, improving market access, and supporting supply chains and sustainable development.

According to Al-Budaiwi, merchandise trade between the two sides has reached around $197 billion, positioning the EU as one of the GCC’s most important trading partners.

He also pointed to the continued growth of European foreign direct investment into Gulf countries, which he said reflects the depth of economic interdependence and rising confidence in the Gulf business environment.

Looking ahead, Al-Budaiwi emphasized that the economic transformation across GCC states, driven by ambitious national visions, is creating broad opportunities for expanded cooperation with Europe. 

He highlighted clean energy, green hydrogen, and digital transformation, as well as artificial intelligence, smart infrastructure, and cybersecurity, as priority areas for future partnership.

He added that the success of Gulf-European cooperation should not be measured solely by trade volumes or investment flows, but by its ability to evolve into an integrated model based on trust, risk-sharing, and the joint creation of economic value, contributing to stability and growth in the global economy.

GCC–EU plans to build shared value chains look well-timed as trade policy volatility rises.

In recent weeks, Washington’s renewed push over Greenland has been tied to tariff threats against European countries, prompting the EU to keep a €93 billion ($109.7 billion) retaliation package on standby. 

At the same time, tighter US sanctions on Iran are increasing compliance risks for energy and shipping-related finance. Meanwhile, the World Trade Organization and UNCTAD warn that higher tariffs and ongoing uncertainty could weaken trade and investment across both regions in 2026.