Pakistan cotton production down by 34% in a year

In this photograph taken on February 24, 2016, Pakistani workers process freshly picked cotton at a factory at Khanewal in the central province of Punjab. (AFP/File)
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Updated 19 January 2021
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Pakistan cotton production down by 34% in a year

  • 5.5 million bales produced as of January 15, 2021 compared to last year’s 8.3 million bales, lowest output in three decades
  • Area of cotton cultivation reduced by 35% since 2014-15, textile mills will need to import 7-8 million bales at cost of around $3 billion

KARACHI: Pakistan’s cotton production has declined by 34 percent to 5.5 million bales, the lowest output in three decades, as new government incentives have pushed farmers to switch to sugarcane, maize and rice cultivation, a national association of ginners said.
Cotton is a major driver of the economy, contributing around one percent of GDP, according to the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics.
“Cotton production has come down to 5.5 million bales as of January 15, 2021, as compared to last year’s total output of 8.3 million bales,” Dr. Jassu Mal T. Leemani, chairman of the Pakistan Cotton Ginners Association (PCGA), said at a press conference in Karachi on Monday.




Dr. Jassu Mal T. Leemani, Chairman of Pakistan Cotton Ginners’ Association (PCGA) along with other officials speaking at a press conference held at Karachi Press Club on January 18, 2020. (AN Photo)

“Cotton cultivation [in area] has declined by 35% since 2014-15 because farmers have shifted to sugar cane from cotton because of higher government support prices,” he added, saying bad weather conditions and lack of certified seeds had also contributed to the decline. 
“The country had achieved the highest output of 15 million bales in 2014-15 but since then production is on the decline which forces the country to import cotton to meet domestic textile sector’s requirement,” Leemani said.
Cotton is also the lifeline of Pakistan’s textile industry, which accounts for more than half of the country’s exports.
Analysts say textile mills will need to import 7-8 million bales of cotton this year for export growth to continue.
“The import of the cotton and related products are expected to cost around $3 billion,” Naseem Usman Osawala, a senior cotton broker and analyst, said.
Pakistan’s imports of raw cotton increased by 512 percent to $532 million in the first six months of the current fiscal year. The country imported $880 million worth of raw cotton during the last fiscal year, which was 14.67 percent higher than the previous year, according to the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics.
Pakistani central bank data shows cotton cultivation dropped by 11.9% in the current fiscal year to 2.2 million hectares, the lowest since fiscal year 1982. The cotton crop suffered due to exceptionally heavy monsoon rains and pest attacks, according to the central bank. 
Analysts say due to the shortage, the price of cotton in the local market has increased substantially after almost nine years.
“The spot rates of cotton are hovering around Rs 11,000 per bale (40 Kg) which is close to the all-time high of Rs 14,000 recorded back in 2010-11,” Osawala said. “The international market is also tight due to short supply.”
 Ginners said declining cotton output had closed down more than 60 percent of ginning factories across Pakistan, forcing thousands out of jobs. The livelihoods of around 1.5 million farmers are directly associated with cotton harvesting in Pakistan.
“Out of 1,200 ginning factories, only around 500 are operational, that also at less than half of the production capacity,” PCGA’s Leemani said. “For the revival of the cotton sector we demand establishment of a cotton control board and cotton zoning where other crops should be banned.”


Tirah Valley residents flee homes ahead of Pakistan’s planned anti-militant army offensive

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Tirah Valley residents flee homes ahead of Pakistan’s planned anti-militant army offensive

  • Families flee militant-hit region on days-long journeys amid bitter winter cold
  • Cash aid announced but displaced residents cite lack of evacuation planning

PAINDA CHEENA, Pakistan: In the rugged mountains of Pakistan’s Tirah Valley, long lines of tractor-trolleys and mini-pickups inched toward a registration camp earlier this month. 

The vehicles were stacked with bedding, food supplies and families escaping their homes as a military operation against militants looms in the conflict-striken northwestern region. 

At the Painda Cheena registration point, 60-year-old Hajji Muhammad Yousuf sat wrapped in a shawl, waiting with dozens of others after traveling nearly 40 kilometers from his village in Maidan Tirah, a journey that took four days instead of the usual few hours. He still faces another 66-kilometer trip to Bara, near the northwestern city of Peshawar, the provincial capital of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. 

Like thousands of others, Yousuf is leaving behind a fully furnished home ahead of an expected security offensive in the volatile border region near Afghanistan.

“Today is our fourth night here,” Yousuf said. “We have left fully furnished houses behind ... There are no facilities, no amenities for us. We are facing great hardships.”

Families load their belongings onto vehicles in Pakistan’s Tirah Valley on January 15, 2026. (AN photo)

Officials say the evacuation could affect up to 20,000 families, marking a significant escalation in Pakistan’s campaign against the proscribed militant group Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP). Despite major military operations in the mid-2010s, Tirah Valley has remained a stronghold for insurgents, prompting authorities to plan what they describe as a targeted clearance.

The scale of displacement has placed acute pressure on limited local infrastructure. While the journey from Maidan Tirah to the registration point at Mandi Kas normally takes around two hours by vehicle, congestion and verification procedures have stretched the trip into days for many families.

“Last night, a woman died of hunger in Sandana,” Yousuf said. “There is no arrangement for medicine, no doctor, no food, no washroom. Women and children are facing problems.”

Displaced residents say they feel trapped between militant threats and state action.

“We ourselves are opposing terrorism, yet we do not understand why, if a Taliban comes in the evening and we give bread, the government comes in the morning asking why the bread was given,” Yousuf said. “In the end, we were forced to do this [to leave].”

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The Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP) provincial government has announced a compensation package for displaced families. Talha Rafi, assistant commissioner for Bara, said authorities had set up 15 biometric counters at the registration site.

“One person receives a one-time compensation of Rs255,000 ($911), and a monthly Rs50,000 ($179) is provided,” he said, adding that SIM cards were being issued to ensure digital disbursement of funds.

Families load their belongings onto vehicles in Pakistan’s Tirah Valley on January 15, 2026. (AN photo)

Provincial officials say the payments are intended to cover basic needs during displacement, though residents and tribal elders argue that cash alone cannot offset the absence of shelter, health care and transport arrangements during evacuation.

The evacuation has also exposed tensions between the provincial government and Pakistan’s military establishment over the use of force in the region.

“We have neither allowed the operation nor will we ever allow the operation,” KP Law Minister Aftab Alam Afridi said, arguing that past military campaigns had failed to deliver lasting stability.

“These people are our own people. They are also the people of this state, the people of this province. We will definitely take care of them,” he said, adding that the KP cabinet had approved what he described as “a large package” for the displaced families.

Federal authorities and the military have signaled a firmer stance. While Federal Information Minister Ataullah Tarar and the military’s public relations wing did not respond to requests for comment, military spokesperson Lt. Gen. Ahmed Shareef Chaudhry has previously defended security operations as necessary.

Families sittinng in vehicles with their belongings in Pakistan’s Tirah Valley on January 15, 2026. (AN photo)

In a recent briefing, Chaudhry said security forces carried out 75,175 intelligence-based operations nationwide last year, including more than 14,000 in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, attributing the surge in violence to what he described as a “politically conducive environment” for militants.

Analysts say political divisions have allowed the TTP to regain ground. 

Peshawar-based journalist Mehmood Jan Babar said many militants now operating in Tirah are local residents who returned after refusing settlement offers in remote parts of Afghanistan.

“Whenever we have seen division at the national level, the Taliban have taken advantage of it,” he said.

But for families waiting in freezing conditions at Painda Cheena, such strategic calculations offer little comfort. Tribal elders accuse civil authorities of ordering displacement without adequate logistical planning.

“The government has, without any administrative arrangements, ordered these people to migrate,” said Muhammad Khan Afridi, an elderly local resident. “You yourselves are seeing what suffering these people are facing, what humiliation they are experiencing.”

As a January 25 evacuation deadline approaches, uncertainty dominates daily life for those uprooted.

“Bringing peace is in the government’s hands,” Yousuf said. “It is up to them whether they normalize the situation or drive us out again tomorrow.”