No elk or trout, but Fed’s virtual retreat may stoke market’s ‘animal spirits’

US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. (AP)
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Updated 23 August 2020
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No elk or trout, but Fed’s virtual retreat may stoke market’s ‘animal spirits’

  • “The market is telling you there is asset price inflation occurring when there is still ... underlying weakness”

NEW YORK: Investors could get a hint from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell this week about how aggressively the US central bank will try to manage the long-term recovery from the coronavirus pandemic.

Powell will discuss the Fed’s monetary policy framework review — a review it has been undertaking for nearly two years into how it conducts monetary policy — on the opening day of the Kansas City Fed’s annual symposium on Thursday.

Since the 2007-2009 financial crisis, Fed chiefs have used their keynote speaking appointment at the conference — not being held this year in the hunting and fishing resort of Jackson Hole, Wyoming, for the first time in nearly four decades because of the pandemic — to signal important shifts in monetary policy or the economic outlook.

The market backdrop this time around could hardly be less dramatic. Spurred by Fed buying of assets, stocks have recovered their entire pandemic-related losses and are trading around record highs, while bond yields have been near record lows.

“The stock market is telling you there is asset price inflation occurring when there is still a lot of underlying weakness in the economy. I think the Fed is unlikely to view that as a signal of success on policy and, therefore, decide there is nothing more to do,” said Tony Rodriguez, chief fixed income strategist at Nuveen.

A major question — particularly ahead of the Fed’s September policy meeting — is whether or not the central bank will shift its inflation targets to an average, which would allow inflation to run higher than previously expected before interest rates are raised.

“We fully expect that they are going down the path of average inflation targeting,” said Bob Miller, head of Americas Fundamental Fixed Income at BlackRock.

Investors have been increasing their bets on inflation in reaction to the roughly $9 trillion in stimulus measures from central banks worldwide. Gold, a popular hedge against inflation and a falling US dollar, is up 28 percent for the year to date and near record highs, while the dollar has fallen close to two-year lows.

Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields hit near record lows of 0.504 percent earlier this month, before backing up to 0.638 percent after a rash of Treasury supply.

Real yields for the notes, which show yield returns after adjusting for expected inflation, dropped this month to a record low of minus 1.11 percent.

The shift to looking at an average measure of inflation would be a “big deal” and help the central bank avoid the same negative interest rate policies adopted by central banks in Europe and Japan, Miller said.

The Fed is trying to spur inflation over the next several years in order to prevent a deflationary spiral, as the global economy struggles to right itself from the shock of the global coronavirus disease pandemic.

“The Fed is rightly concerned about the unstable economic recovery so far and the degree to which we still need to absorb the job losses over the last five months,” said Gene Tannuzzo, the deputy global head of fixed income at Columbia Threadneedle.

An average inflation target would allow inflation to make up for the periods in which it fell below the Fed’s target. The Fed, like most central banks, shoots for 2 percent inflation but has missed that target for most of the past decade. With interest rates near historic lows, the central bank has fewer ways to help stimulate the economy.

Minutes from the Fed’s July meeting released on Wednesday showed that one tool to keep borrowing costs low — yield curve control — was likely off the table for now, but some think that the Fed could shift some of its buying to longer-dated debt.

Investors will also likely be looking for signs that the Fed is exploring additional ways to support the global economy should a stimulus package fail in Congress, Rodriguez said.

“If we get to a point where there is no stimulus package and no additional unemployment support, then the Fed will definitely feel like they have more to do,” Rodriguez said.


Vision 2030 propelling Saudi Arabia’s global reputation

Updated 13 December 2025
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Vision 2030 propelling Saudi Arabia’s global reputation

  • Bold initiatives are positioning the Kingdom as a regional trailblazer in sustainability

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 program, aimed at revolutionizing the Kingdom’s economic and social landscape, has propelled the nation’s global reputation on a large scale, experts told Arab News. 

Launched in 2016, the program is a comprehensive guide to position Saudi Arabia as a powerhouse of business, tourism and non-oil activities, both regionally and globally. 

Speaking to Arab News, Thomas Kuruvilla, managing partner of Arthur D. Little Middle East & India, said that Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 is the cornerstone of the Kingdom’s transformation driving diversification, investment in non-oil sectors, and reshaping its global reputation. 

“Vision 2030 is not an end point but a launchpad. The foundations being laid today from renewable energy, automotive, and tourism to digital infrastructure and advanced industries are designed to endure and evolve well beyond 2030. The Kingdom’s leadership has already signaled that future frameworks will build on this momentum, ensuring that transformation continues into the decades ahead,” said Kuruvilla. 

He added: “Vision 2030 has firmly established Saudi Arabia as a reforming nation on the world stage. Saudi Arabia is creating an economic and social model that looks past 2030, one that aims to deliver sustainable growth, global competitiveness, and opportunity for generations to come.” 

Elie Farhat, chief of external affairs for Georgetown University’s McDonough School of Business espoused similar views and said Saudi Arabia has actively courted foreign investment, tourism, and partnerships with global universities and businesses. 

“Saudi Arabia has become a market and society that is perceived as both investable and engaging. International organizations are setting up regional headquarters in Riyadh, universities are establishing partnerships, and businesses now openly discuss Saudi Arabia as a gateway to the future of the Middle East,” said Farhat. 

In October, Saudi Arabia’s Investment Minister Khalid Al-Falih, while speaking at the Fortune Global Forum Conference in Riyadh, said the Vision 2030 program is progressing steadily, with 85 percent of the targets outlined in the initiative completed or on track by the end of 2024. 

Al-Falih also added that the number of international firms licensed to establish their regional headquarters in Riyadh has reached 675.

The regional HQ program offers a 30-year corporate tax exemption, withholding tax relief, and regulatory support, reflecting efforts to position the Kingdom as a regional business hub and attract multinational corporations to the capital.

Some of the noted firms that have established regional bases in Riyadh include Northern Trust, IHG Hotels & Resorts, PwC, and Deloitte. Laura Hernandez Gonzalez, managing director of Globant for the Middle East and North Africa, said Vision 2030 has turned diversification from an aspiration into a reality, adding that programs like the regional HQ initiative and the transformation of Riyadh into a true financial hub are convincing multinationals to set up real operations, not just representative offices.

“From the technology side, the Kingdom’s commitment to AI, cloud, and sovereign digital infrastructure is equally important. It signals not only ambition, but the capacity to build future-ready capabilities at scale,” said Gonzalez. 

She added: “This is how the Kingdom is changing global perceptions: from an energy powerhouse to a hub of innovation, capital and talent.” 

Earlier in December, Rachid Boulaouine, Middle East and Saudi Arabia director at Business France, told Al-Eqtisadiah that French companies operating in Saudi Arabia are expected to increase by 30 percent to 40 percent as more small and medium-sized enterprises move to establish a presence in the Kingdom. 

The changing global image

Kuruvilla said that Saudi Arabia’s pivot toward renewable energy and sustainability is not just symbolic, but it represents a decisive strategic shift in the Kingdom’s development model. 

Bolstering renewable energy capacity is critical for Saudi Arabia as it aims to generate 130 gigawatts of clean energy by 2030 and achieve net-zero emissions by 2060.

Kuruvilla said that flagship projects such as Neom — a futuristic city designed to run entirely on renewable energy — and the world’s largest green hydrogen plant highlight Saudi Arabia’s determination to lead in climate innovation. 

This is how the Kingdom is changing global perceptions: from an energy powerhouse to a hub of innovation, capital and talent.

Laura Hernandez Gonzalez, managing director of Globant for the Middle East and North Africa

“These initiatives are positioning the Kingdom as a regional trailblazer in sustainability and earning recognition as a nation “at the forefront of the clean-energy revolution,” with few global peers matching its scale and ambition,” said the Arthur D. Little official. 

He added: “Such bold moves are strengthening Saudi Arabia’s standing among international partners that prioritize climate action, demonstrating alignment with global sustainability imperatives rather than resistance.” 

According to Farhat, it is the young generation in Saudi Arabia guided by Vision who are playing a crucial role in elevating the Kingdom’s global reputation. 

“Saudis — particularly younger generations — have opened up to the world with a readiness to learn, build, and lead for 2030. The world, in turn, has opened up to Saudi Arabia, seeing it as a dynamic partner to invest in,” said Farhat. 

Saudi Arabia’s tourism growth

Gonzalez said that the global narrative about Saudi Arabia has shifted decisively, with international travelers increasingly considering the Kingdom as a favorite destination. 

She added that the growth in tourism numbers is one of the clearest proof points that Vision 2030 is delivering, also indicating the Kingdom’s growing appeal among the international public. 

“Ranking among the top three globally for growth in international tourist arrivals, surpassing 100 million visits in 2023, and contributing over 10 percent of the gross domestic product in 2025 are extraordinary achievements in such a short period,” said Gonzalez. 

She added: “Today, when I speak with investors, partners, or peers, Saudi Arabia is framed around opportunity, innovation, and delivery.” 

Kuruvilla said that the growth in tourism has signaled to the world that Saudi Arabia is no longer just an oil-rich nation, but a fast-emerging must-visit destination. 

HIGHLIGHT

The regional HQ program offers a 30-year corporate tax exemption, withholding tax relief, and regulatory support, reflecting efforts to position the Kingdom as a regional business hub and attract multinational corporations to the capital.

The Arthur D. Little official added that media coverage has reinforced this narrative, with tourism and entertainment mentions up 60 percent in 2024, underscoring the Kingdom’s growing appeal to global travelers. 

“International surveys echo this sentiment: a recent multi-country poll found 59 percent of respondents were interested in visiting Saudi Arabia — a figure unimaginable only a decade ago,” said Kuruvilla. 

Saudi Arabia passed its 2030 target of 100 million visitors in 2023, and the following year it welcomed 115.9 million tourists.

Having already reached its goal, the Kingdom raised its target to 150 million annual visitors by 2030.

In November, the Saudi Conventions and Exhibitions General Authority announced record growth in the Kingdom’s business events infrastructure, reporting a 32 percent year-on-year increase in capacity across 923 accredited venues.

The authority added that this expansion reflects significant investment aligned with Vision 2030’s tourism and event sector priorities, driving a 320 percent increase in exhibition space since 2018 to a total of 300,520 sq. meters.

Sports and technology

According to Kuruvilla, Saudi Arabia is cultivating an image as a global hub for business, technology, and innovation by hosting high-profile international events like the Future Investment Initiative, the LEAP tech conference, and the World Defense Show. 

He said that these events draw thousands of investors, entrepreneurs, and industry leaders to the Kingdom, showcasing opportunities beyond oil. 

“The cumulative effect of these marquee gatherings and the establishment of such innovation-driving entities is a narrative that Saudi Arabia is open for business and eager to lead in future industries – a notable departure from its old image of insularity,” said Kuruvilla. 

He added: “These gatherings are translating into tangible partnerships and long-term investment opportunities, solidifying Saudi Arabia’s reputation as a hub for innovation and global business exchange.” 

According to Gonzalez, events like FII and LEAP in Saudi Arabia prove the Kingdom’s execution capacity, as well as showing the nation’s capability to “convene the world, compress partnership cycles, and set the agenda on innovation, defense, and finance.” 

Highlighting the importance of sporting events, Kuruvilla told Arab News that sports have become a cornerstone of Saudi Arabia’s effort to bolster its global reputation. 

“From hosting Formula 1 races and high-profile boxing matches to purchasing stakes in English Premier League football clubs, the Kingdom has invested heavily in sports as an avenue for soft power. The pinnacle of this strategy is Saudi Arabia securing the rights to host the 2034 FIFA World Cup — a coup that instantly thrusts the country into the international spotlight,” said Kuruvilla. 

Adding to this momentum, Saudi Arabia has also positioned itself at the forefront of digital sports by hosting the Esports World Cup in Riyadh in 2024 and 2025, with record-breaking prize pools and participation from the world’s top gaming titles. 

“By associating with beloved sports and athletes, Saudi Arabia is effectively rebranding itself, especially to younger global audiences, as a vibrant and welcoming destination. Superstars like Cristiano Ronaldo playing for Saudi clubs – and posting about life in the Kingdom – further humanize Saudi Arabia’s image abroad,” added the Arthur D. Little official.