TOKYO: Japan’s economy posted its longest continuous expansion since the 1980s boom as fourth-quarter growth was boosted by consumer spending, moving Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s revival plan a step closer to vanquishing decades of stagnation.
The long run of growth is an encouraging sign for the Bank of Japan, hinting that the economy may at last be building up momentum to lift consumer prices toward its 2 percent inflation target.
The economy expanded at a 0.5 percent annualized rate in October-December, less than the median estimate for annualized growth of 0.9 percent, Cabinet Office data showed on Wednesday. That followed a revised 2.2 percent annualized increase in July-September.
Japan’s economy grew a real 1.6 percent in calendar 2017, the fastest increase since a 2 percent expansion in 2013.
An extended run of growth could lead to some speculation that the Bank of Japan can afford to scale back quantitative easing, but economists say it is unlikely as long as the yen is rising and Japan’s consumer prices remain subdued.
Financial markets are already on edge from worries that central banks in the US and Europe will raise interest rates faster than expected to stay ahead of inflation, but the BOJ is expected to lag well behind those peers.
“Economic fundamentals look good and growth this year is likely to be above the economy’s potential,” said Hiroaki Muto, economist at Tokai Tokyo Research Center.
“However, I don’t see any talk of an exit for the BOJ when the yen is rising like this. When financial markets are volatile this hurts Japan’s animal spirits,” he said, referring to investor and consumer confidence.
The dollar slid to a 15-month low against the yen on Wednesday, as investors remained on edge ahead of US inflation numbers later in the day, underscoring fragile sentiment following a recent shakeout in global equity markets.
A rising yen, which tends to push down Japan’s import prices and depress exporters’ earnings, took the gloss off an otherwise respectable report on the world’s third-largest economy.
The GDP data comes after news that Abe’s government has decided to nominate Haruhiko Kuroda for a rare second term as Bank of Japan governor, a sign his ultra-loose monetary policy will remain in place. Investors, however, still have questions about who the deputy governors will be and what policies they are likely to favor.
Japan’s economy has now posted the longest continuous expansion since a 12-quarter stretch of growth between April-June 1986 and January-March 1989 around the height of Japan’s notorious economic bubble.
“The headline figures are somewhat weaker than expected, but that’s not something to worry too much about,” said Yoshiki Shinke, chief economist at Dai-ichi Life Research Institute.
“Capital expenditure and consumption are picking up. Exports are also strong. Other recent data are also strong. It’s safe to say the economy is in pretty good shape.”
Compared with the previous quarter, gross domestic product (GDP) grew 0.1 percent, less than the median estimate of 0.2 percent growth and following a 0.6 percent quarter-on-quarter expansion in July-September, Cabinet Office data showed on Wednesday.
A Cabinet Office official said increased spending on mobile phones, cars, and dining out drove gains in private consumption, which accounts for about two-thirds of GDP.
To be sure, some economists are cautious about domestic demand because they believe any further declines in global stocks could hurt sentiment and returns on investors’ portfolios.
Real wages fell 0.4 percent in the fourth quarter, the first decline in three quarters, which is another risk to domestic demand, although the tightest labor market in about 40 years may give unions more bargaining power in impending wage talks.
“I’m a little worried about sluggish wage growth,” said Daiju Aoki, regional chief investment officer at UBS Securities.
“I’m also worried about a negative wealth effect from a falling stock market.”
Capital expenditure rose 0.7 percent in October-December from the previous quarter, less than the median estimate for a 1.1 percent increase but up for the fifth straight quarter and a sign of sustainable gains in business investment.
Overseas demand subtracted fractionally from GDP in October-December. Exports rose 2.4 percent, but this gain was offset by a 2.9 percent jump in imports thanks to robust domestic demand.
Since taking office in late 2012, Abe has enacted reforms to draw more women and elderly people into the workforce, raise wages for part-time workers, liberalize the labor market, and encourage business investment.
“Domestic demand is strong enough that it can stand on its own two feet, so you can say Abenomics has matured,” said Hiroshi Miyazaki, senior economist at Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities.
“Financial market moves pose risks, but I still expect consumption and business investment to drive future growth.”
Japan economy grows for longest period since 1980s bubble boom days
Japan economy grows for longest period since 1980s bubble boom days
Meituan looks to hire in Saudi Arabia, indicating food delivery expansion
SHANGHAI: Chinese food delivery giant Meituan is seeking to hire staff for at least eight positions based in Riyadh, in a sign it may be looking to Saudi Arabia to further its global expansion ambitions, according to Reuters.
The jobs ads, which is hiring for KeeTa, the brand name Meituan uses for its food delivery operations in Hong Kong, is seeking candidates with expertise in business development, user acquisition, and customer retention, according to posts seen by Reuters on Linkedin and on Middle Eastern jobs site Bayt.com.
Meituan did not immediately respond to a request for comment by Reuters on its plans for Saudi expansion.
Bloomberg reported earlier on Friday that the Beijing-based firm would make its Middle East debut with Riyadh as the first stop.
Since expanding to Hong Kong in May 2023, Meituan’s first foray outside of mainland China, speculation has persisted that its overseas march would continue as the firm searches for growth opportunities, with the Middle East rumored since last year to be one area of possible expansion.
“We are actively evaluating opportunities in other markets,“ Meituan CEO Wang Xing said during a post-earnings call with analysts last month.
“We have the tech know-how and operational know-how, so we are quietly confident we can enter a new market and find an approach that works for consumers there.”
IMF opens first MENA office in Riyadh
RIYADH: The International Monetary Fund has opened its first office the Middle East and North Africa region in Riyadh.
The office was launched during the Joint Regional Conference on Industrial Policy for Diversification, jointly organized by the IMF and the Ministry of Finance, on April 24.
The new office aims to strengthen capacity building, regional surveillance, and outreach to foster stability, growth, and regional integration, thereby promoting partnerships in the Middle East and beyond, according to the Saudi Press Agency.
Additionally, the office will facilitate closer collaboration between the IMF and regional institutions, governments, and other stakeholders, the SPA report noted, adding that the IMF expressed its appreciation to Saudi Arabia for its financial contribution aimed at enhancing capacity development in its member countries, including fragile states.
Abdoul Aziz Wane, a seasoned IMF director with an extensive understanding of the institution and a broad network of policymakers and academics worldwide, will serve as the first director of the Riyadh office.
Saudi minister to deliver keynote speech at Automechanika Riyadh conference
RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Deputy Minister of Investment Transaction Saleh Al-Khabti is set to deliver the keynote speech at a global automotive aftermarket industry conference in Riyadh.
Set to be held from April 30 April to May 2 in the Saudi capital’s International Convention and Exhibition Center, Automechanika Riyadh will welcome more than 340 exhibitors from over 25 countries.
Al-Khabti will make the marquee address on the first day of the event, which will also see participation from Aftab Ahmed, chief advisor for the Automotive Cluster at the National Industrial Development Centre, Ministry of Industry and Mineral Resources.
Saudi Arabia’s automotive sector is undergoing a transformation, with the Kingdom’s Public Investment Fund becoming the major shareholder in US-based electric vehicle manufacturer Lucid, and also striking a deal with Hyundai to collaborate on the construction of a $500 million-manufacturing facility.
Alongside this, Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman launched the Kingdom’s first electric vehicle brand in November 2022.
Commenting on the upcoming trade show, Bilal Al-Barmawi, CEO and founder of 1st Arabia Trade Shows & Conferences, said: “It is a great honor for Automechanika Riyadh to be held under the patronage of the Saudi Arabian Ministry of Investment, and we’re grateful for their continued support as the event goes from strength-to-strength.
“The insights and support we’ve already received have been invaluable, and we look forward to continuing this relationship throughout the event and beyond.”
This edition of Automechanika Riyadh will feature seven product focus areas, including parts and components, tyres and batteries, and oils and lubricants.
Accessories and customizing, diagnostics and repairs, and body and paint will also be discussed, as well as care and wash.
Aly Hefny, show manager for Automechanika Riyadh, Messe Frankfurt Middle East, said: “The caliber of speakers confirmed to take part at Automechanika Riyadh is a testament to the event’s growth and prominence within the regional automotive market.
“We have developed a show that goes beyond the norm by providing a platform that supports knowledge sharing and networking while promoting the opportunity to engage with key industry experts and hear the latest developments, trends and innovations changing the dynamics of the automotive sector.”
Aramco-backed S-Oil expects Q2 refining margins to remain steady then trend upward
SEOUL: South Korea’s S-Oil forecast on Friday that second-quarter refining margins will be steady, supported by regular maintenance in the region, then trend upward in tandem with higher demand as the summer season gets underway, according to Reuters.
Over the January-March period, the refiner said it operated the crude distillation units at its 669,000-barrel-per-day oil refinery in the southeastern city of Ulsan at 91.9 percent of capacity, compared with 94 percent in October-December.
S-Oil, whose main shareholder is Saudi Aramco, plans to shut its No. 1 crude distillation unit sometime this year for maintenance, the company said in an earnings presentation, without specifying the time.
Venture investments spark renaissance of Saudi innovation
RIYADH: In Saudi Arabia, a dynamic transformation is unfolding within the entrepreneurial landscape, powered by the robust growth of venture capital, which achieved an impressive 86 percent compound annual growth rate from 2019 to 2023.
This financial infusion has been a game-changer, propelling the Kingdom past the $1 billion mark in venture capital investment last year and igniting a wave of innovative thinking among Saudi entrepreneurs.
Simply put, VC is a category of private market investment and financing. A VC firm raises capital from investors, referred to as Limited Partners, and uses that capital to fund promising startups they have determined as likely to have high growth potential in an emerging category.
A vibrant scene
“The rise of venture capital in Saudi Arabia is fueling a vibrant entrepreneurial scene,” said the founder of Saudi-based VC firm Nama Ventures.
Offering a unique perspective on this financial phenomenon, Mohammed Al-Zubi shared his insights with Arab News about how venture capital is energizing the entrepreneurial scene in the Kingdom.
Al-Zubi described this financial influx as a vital nutrient, fostering a fertile ground for innovation and growth within the Kingdom.
Ripple effects
“Startups get crucial funding, expert guidance, and exit pathways, attracting and retaining ambitious talent. This creates a ripple effect — successful ventures generate high-quality jobs, attracting more skilled professionals and expertise,” Al-Zubi told Arab News.
However, he explained that challenges like limited seed funding and skill mismatch require more attention.
“By fostering a diverse ecosystem and addressing these gaps, Saudi Arabia can harness the power of VC to build a thriving and sustainable entrepreneurial powerhouse,” Al-Zubi added.
Echoing Al-Zubi’s remarks, Tariq bin Hendi, senior partner at Global Ventures, told Arab News that the Kingdom’s VC growth reflects its booming economy.
“Saudi Arabia is a large market with compelling macroeconomics and significant funding, which in turn is re-shaping the regional startup landscape,” Hendi said.
“Increased investment has helped start-ups to digitize, scale and accelerate their business operations — with many success stories: Tarabut, Zension, RedSea, Zid and Hakbah being among the most well-known,” Hendi added.
An innovative economy
Hendi emphasizes the crucial role of venture capital in the economic diversification of Saudi Arabia.
He notes that sectors like agritech, fintech, and cleantech are attracting significant investments, aligning with Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 goals.
“The increase in investment saw Saudi Arabia secure MENA’s (Middle East and North Africa) highest VC funding in 2023, which is also aligned with the country’s Vision 2030 objectives,” he stated
“Venture capital’s investment in nascent technologies and innovative ventures allows for early-stage experimentation and for new start-ups to respond to analogue-based problems previously difficult to navigate through digitalization,” Hendi added.
According to him, this synergy between venture capital and startups not only drives technological progress but also offers insights into the regulatory landscape, promoting economic diversity and innovation within the region.
He also highlights the broader impact of venture capital, noting how it enables local businesses to scale and address global challenges, creating job opportunities and demonstrating the Kingdom’s potential in leading sustainable startup growth.
Moreover, Hendi points out that venture capital stimulates international collaboration, attracting global investors and reducing investment risks, further bolstering Saudi Arabia’s position as a dynamic hub for economic activity and innovation.
Furthermore, in his article “Venture Capital Fundamentals: Why VC Is A Driving Force Of Innovation,” Mark Flickinger, general partner and chief operating officer at US-based BIP Ventures, describes VC as a critical factor for economic innovation.
“VC is a rewarding form of private market investment that gives innovators a real chance to transform their ideas into businesses. It connects founders and investors, driving progress and successful outcomes for both,” Flickinger said.
“And for everyone who is part of this virtuous cycle of funding, building, and scaling market-changing businesses, VC is a way to support the impact of the innovation economy – which is the economy today,” he added.
The challenge
Hendi underscores the significant transformation underway in Saudi Arabia, driven by the nation’s economic diversification and digitalization, which is fueling a burgeoning demand for talent and innovation.
With a young, tech-savvy population, the Kingdom is ripe for entrepreneurial ventures, evidenced by success stories like Tabby, he explained.
The growing ecosystem, supported by incubators and successful exits, showcases the country’s potential as a hotbed for technology-driven businesses catering to consumers, enterprises, and government sectors.
The challenge now, according to him, is to further enhance this vibrant environment, making Saudi Arabia even more appealing for entrepreneurs.
He advocates for continued deregulation and the creation of conditions that encourage innovation, enabling entrepreneurs to develop products and services that resonate with consumers and drive economic growth.
The goal is to not only maintain the momentum but to elevate Saudi Arabia’s status as a premier destination for starting and scaling innovative ventures.
How to utilize funding
As VC growth continues to expand, startups are pressured to find efficient ways to use their funding to boost the overall ecosystem.
Al-Zubi shares his advice stating: “Imagine your funding as rocket fuel – you have to blast off without burning it all at once, right?”
“To fly long and far, focus on essentials. Build a stellar team, fuel growth with customer love, and lay a strong financial groundwork,” Al-Zubi added.
“Track your rocket’s path with data, experiment with new maneuvers, and stay tuned to the space weather. Be open with your investors, listen to wise advisors, and don’t be afraid to adjust your trajectory if the wind changes. Remember, long-term success is a marathon, not a sprint. Spend smart, learn fast, and keep your eyes on the stars,” he added.
Furthermore, Hendi advocates for meticulous planning in resource allocation, emphasizing the importance of understanding the market, timing for product launches, and strategic deployment of capital.
According to Hendi, startups must have a clear grasp of their financial roadmap, with a detailed understanding of expected expenditures over set timelines, to ensure sustained growth and success in the evolving economic environment.
