Pakistan could double economic size to $1 trillion by 2035 if reforms accelerate — planning minister

Planning Minister Ahsan Iqbal speaks at the Pakistan Governance Forum 2026 in Islamabad, Pakistan, on February 26, 2026. (Planning Ministry)
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Updated 26 February 2026
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Pakistan could double economic size to $1 trillion by 2035 if reforms accelerate — planning minister

  • Ahsan Iqbal says remittances from nine million overseas Pakistanis almost equal exports from 240 million at home
  • The minister cites exports, artificial intelligence, climate resilience and governance overhaul as pillars of expansion

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan could more than double the size of its economy to $1 trillion by 2035 if it accelerates structural reforms and strengthens governance, Planning Minister Ahsan Iqbal said on Wednesday, setting out an ambitious growth target for the next decade.

Addressing the Pakistan Governance Forum 2026 in Islamabad, Iqbal said the country faced a strategic choice between maintaining its traditional growth trajectory or pursuing deeper reforms aimed at faster expansion. According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Pakistan’s economy was estimated at $410.5 billion in 2025.

“If Pakistan continues to grow at its traditional pace, the economy will reach $600 billion by 2035,” Iqbal said, according to an official statement. “However, with national cohesion, positive synergy and accelerated reforms, Pakistan can achieve the milestone of a $1 trillion economy.”

The minister maintained achieving the higher target would depend on leadership capacity, institutional effectiveness and coordinated efforts between the federal and provincial governments.

He said the government had stabilized the economy over the past two years through governance reforms and corrective measures, steering it away from what he described as the “brink of bankruptcy.” He added that international financial institutions were now citing Pakistan’s recovery as a case study.

Iqbal outlined the government’s “Five Es” framework — Exports, E-Pakistan, Environment and Climate Change, Energy and Infrastructure, and Equity and Empowerment — as the pillars of long-term growth.

He said the strategy aimed to push exports beyond $100 billion, promote technology and artificial intelligence, address climate risks, improve energy efficiency and invest in human capital.

The minister acknowledged structural challenges including a 2.55 percent annual population growth rate, 40 percent child stunting, 25 million out-of-school children and a tax-to-GDP ratio of around 10 percent, describing them as urgent governance issues.

He noted that about nine million overseas Pakistanis contribute roughly $40 billion in annual remittances, while exports from a domestic population of 240 million stand at a similar level, highlighting what he called a significant performance gap.

Iqbal urged political stakeholders to prioritize economic development over confrontation, calling for what he termed an “economic long march” driven by national unity and policy continuity.


Pakistan stocks recover as oil supply fears ease after Islamabad seeks Red Sea route— analyst

Updated 05 March 2026
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Pakistan stocks recover as oil supply fears ease after Islamabad seeks Red Sea route— analyst

  • Pakistan has sought Saudi help to secure oil supplies via Red Sea port after Iran’s closure of Strait if Hormuz
  • Analyst says higher crude oil prices, expectations of IMF releasing next loan tranche also triggered bullish activity

ISLAMABAD: Pakistani stocks marked a sharp recovery when trading closed on Thursday, as institutional activity increased following Islamabad’s move to seek crude oil supplies through the Red Sea port eased oil supply fears, a financial analyst said. 

Pakistani stocks have recorded a sharp decline this week, with the benchmark KSE-100 index recording its largest-ever single-day decline on Monday when it plunged 16,089 points. Escalating conflict in the Middle East triggered panic selling at the Pakistani bourse, forcing a temporary trading halt on Monday. 

The KSE-100 index, however, gained 3.49 percent or 5,433.46 points to close at 161,210.67 when trading ended on Thursday, up from the previous close of 155,777.21 points, according to Pakistan Stock Exchange’s (PSX) data.

Pakistan’s Petroleum Minister Ali Pervaiz Malik met Saudi Ambassador Nawaf bin Said Al-Malki on Wednesday to discuss Iran’s closure of the key Strait of Hormuz, which has threatened Pakistan’s energy supply. Roughly 20 percent of the global oil and gas supply passes through the route. Saudi Arabia indicated it could facilitate shipments through the Red Sea port of Yanbu, offering an alternative route if Gulf shipping lanes remain disrupted, the petroleum ministry said on Wednesday. 

“Stocks staged a sharp recovery at PSX amid institutional activity on easing fuel supply fears after KSA [Kingdom of Saudi Arabia] commits oil supplies through the Red Sea port,” Ahsan Mehanti, chief executive officer at Arif Habib Commodities, told Arab News.

He said higher global crude oil prices and expectations of the International Monetary Fund releasing its next tranche of the $7 billion loan for Pakistan also helped bullish activity at the PSX.

An IMF mission was in Pakistan to hold talks on the third review of a $7 billion Extended Fund Facility multi-year program, and for the second review of the $1.4 billion Resilience and Sustainability Facility this week.

However, the delegation left for Türkiye amid tensions in the Gulf. Pakistani officials have said talks are likely to continue virtually in the coming days. 

Pakistani brokerage Topline Securities said in its daily market review report that strong institutional buying “turned the tide” on Thursday after the market’s recent overreaction to regional issues.

The report added that Hub Power Company (HUBC), Oil & Gas Development Company (OGDC), Fauji Fertilizer Company (FFC), Engro Corporation (ENGROH), and Meezan Bank Limited (MEBL) collectively contributed 2,197 points to the KSE benchmark’s gain.

Topline Securities said 723 million shares were traded on Thursday, with K-Electric Limited (KEL) stealing the spotlight as more than 1.17 billion shares changed hands.

Pakistani investors are closely monitoring developments in the Gulf, particularly around energy routes and further retaliatory actions, as the conflict’s trajectory remains uncertain.