Israeli repression, settlement expansion risk stoking West Bank violence: Experts

Palestinians watch patrolling Israeli soldiers as the military closes part of the H2 southern sector of the West Bank city of Hebron, announcing a curfew as they search for weapons and Palestinians on their wanted list, in the Israeli occupied West Bank on January 19, 2026. (FILE/AFP)
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Updated 21 January 2026
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Israeli repression, settlement expansion risk stoking West Bank violence: Experts

  • Ex-US envoy to Jordan: Despite Trump’s opposition, ‘de facto reality is one of annexation’

CHICAGO: Israel’s repression and its continued expansion of Jewish-only settlements are pushing Palestinians toward violence, Middle East experts said during a panel discussion attended by Arab News on Tuesday.

Hosted by the Middle East Institute, the panelists included Ron Shatzberg, co-executive director of the Economic Cooperation Foundation; Dr. Tahani Mustafa, visiting fellow in the Middle East and North Africa program at the European Council on Foreign Relations; and Yael Lempert, a former US ambassador to Jordan.

“From speaking with Palestinians, the hardship of what they’re going through, I see a potential escalation into violence in the West Bank,” Shatzberg said, adding that the goal of the settler movement and its supporters in Israel’s government is to achieve the collapse of the Palestinian Authority and block Palestinian statehood.

Violence in the West Bank would jeopardize the peace plan of US President Donald Trump, Shatzberg said, adding that accelerated settlement growth is a form of “de facto annexation.”

Mustafa said violence against Palestinians in Gaza and the West Bank began long before the Hamas attack on Israel of Oct. 7, 2023.

“It was driving younger and younger generations of Palestinians that saw absolutely no political horizon toward more radical elements like Islamic Jihad and Hamas … In the last few months leading up to Oct. 7, the situation had been more tense than it had ever been in the decade that I’d worked on Palestine before that,” she added.

“Pre-Oct. 7, the levels of violence in the West Bank, land appropriation, Israeli search and arrest operations, settler violence, had been the worst they’d ever been in this conflict. The numbers of (Palestinian) fatalities were outnumbering anything we’d seen in the 15 years prior.” 

Lempert said there has been “tremendous frustration” from US administrations at the continued settlement expansion.

Despite Trump publicly declaring that “I will not allow Israel to annex the West Bank,” the “de facto reality is one of annexation, and no longer creeping annexation but sprinting annexation,” she added. “You see an acceleration that frankly is unrivaled since 1967.”

Shatzberg said Israel erected more than 30,000 new settler housing units just in 2025, fast outpacing the average of 4,000-5,000 each year.

He added that according to recent polling, 47 percent of Israelis oppose annexation while only 32 percent support it. The remainder, 21 percent, support a continuation of the status quo.


Iran war chokes aid corridors, obstructing global relief efforts

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Iran war chokes aid corridors, obstructing global relief efforts

  • “People in dire need of assistance ⁠will have to ⁠wait longer for food,” said Bauer
  • Tents, tarpaulins and lamps destined for Gaza and the West Bank have become stuck in the supply chain, the IOM said

GENEVA: Key humanitarian air, sea and land routes are being constricted by disruption from the war in the Middle East, delaying life-saving shipments to some of the world’s worst crises, 10 aid officials have told Reuters.
The US–Israeli war on Iran entered its seventh day on Friday, convulsing global markets and disrupting supply chains with airspace closures and the halt of shipping through the critical Strait of Hormuz.
Aid to Gaza and Sudan is grinding to a halt and costs are soaring for help to the hundreds of millions suffering hunger crises around the world.
“People in dire need of assistance ⁠will have to ⁠wait longer for food,” said Jean-Martin Bauer, Director of Food Security at the World Food Programme.
Already, tents, tarpaulins and lamps destined for the Israeli-occupied Palestinian territories of Gaza and the West Bank have become stuck in the supply chain, the International Organization for Migration said.

DUBAI AID HUB HOBBLED BY AIR AND SEA RESTRICTIONS
Aid groups say higher operational costs are straining budgets already facing massive donor cuts. The IOM said shipping firms were demanding emergency surcharges of approximately $3,000 per ⁠container.
Humanitarian groups stocking goods for rapid regional deployment at warehouses in Dubai’s Humanitarian Hub face challenges moving supplies onto transit routes.
The International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies cannot move trauma kits to help the Iranian Red Crescent with search and rescue from its Dubai hub, where they sit in a estimated 1 million Swiss franc ($1.28 million) pre-positioned emergency stockpile, said Cecile Terraz, a director at the IFRC.
The group cannot move stock through Jebel Ali port — the region’s largest container terminal, which was set on fire by the debris of an intercepted missile — from where cargo normally moves onto planes or into the Strait of Hormuz.
The World Health Organization’s Dubai hub operations are also frozen, regional director Hanan Balkhy said, obstructing ⁠50 emergency requests from 25 ⁠countries and hampering operations such as polio vaccination.
Ripple effects farther afield are also likely.
Famine-struck Sudan is particularly exposed due to additional restrictions since February 28 on the Suez Canal and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at the southern entrance to the Red Sea, the UNHCR said.
“We are particularly concerned about Africa,” said a spokeswoman, adding that some cargoes were being sent around the Cape of Good Hope. The route takes up to three weeks longer.
Costs for fuel, transportation and insurance are also rising, and Terraz said the IFRC may have to cut deliveries to the Iranian Red Crescent.
Emma Maspero, senior manager in Copenhagen of the supply division of the UN children’s body UNICEF, said she hoped flights carrying perishable humanitarian goods such as vaccines could be prioritized amid the airspace restrictions.