Saudi Arabia looks to Swiss-led geospatial AI breakthroughs

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Updated 12 December 2025
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Saudi Arabia looks to Swiss-led geospatial AI breakthroughs

  • IBM’s Zurich lab is shaping tools policymakers could use to protect ecosystems

ZURICH: For Gulf countries such as Saudi Arabia, AI-powered Earth observation is quickly becoming indispensable for anticipating climate risks, modeling extreme weather and protecting critical national infrastructure. 

That reality was on display inside IBM’s research lab in Zurich, where scientists are advancing geospatial AI and quantum technologies designed to help countries navigate a decade of accelerating environmental volatility.

The Zurich facility — one of IBM’s most sophisticated hubs for climate modeling, satellite analytics and quantum computing — provides a rare look into the scientific foundations shaping how nations interpret satellite imagery, track environmental change and construct long-term resilience strategies. 




Entrance to IBM Research Europe in Zurich (left); inside IBM’s hardware development lab, (top, right); and IBM’s Diamondback system. (AN Photos by Waad Hussain)

For Saudi Arabia, where climate adaptation, space technologies and data-driven policy align closely with Vision 2030 ambitions, the lessons emerging from this work resonate with growing urgency.

At the heart of the lab’s research is a shift in how satellite data is understood. While traditional space programs focused largely on engineering spacecraft and amassing imagery, researchers say the future lies in extracting meaning from those massive datasets. 

As Juan Bernabe-Moreno, director of IBM Research Europe for Ireland and the UK, notes, satellites ultimately “are gathering data,” but real impact only emerges when institutions can “make sense of that data” using geospatial foundation models.




r. Juan Bernabe Moreno, Director of IBM Research Europe for Ireland and the UK/(AN Photo by Waad Hussain)

These open-source models allow government agencies, researchers and local innovators to fine-tune Earth-observation AI for their own geography and environmental pressures. Their applications, Bernabe-Moreno explained, have already produced unexpected insights — identifying illegal dumping sites, measuring how mangrove plantations cool cities, and generating flood-risk maps “for places that don’t usually get floods, like Riyadh.”

The relevance for Saudi Arabia is clear. Coastal developments require precise environmental modeling; mangrove restoration along the Red Sea is a national priority under the Saudi Green Initiative; and cities such as Riyadh and Jeddah have recently faced severe rainfall that strained existing drainage systems. 

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The ability to simulate these events before they unfold could help authorities make better decisions about zoning, infrastructure and emergency planning. Today’s satellites, Bernabe-Moreno said, provide “an almost real-time picture of what is happening on Earth,” shifting the challenge from collecting data to interpreting it.

This push toward actionable intelligence also reflects a larger transformation in research culture. Major advances in Earth observation increasingly depend on open innovation — shared data, open-source tools and transparent models that allow global collaboration. “Open innovation in this field is key,” Bernabe-Moreno said, noting that NASA, ESA and IBM rely on openness to avoid the delays caused by lengthy IP negotiations.




Scientific posters inside IBM’s research facility showcasing decades of breakthroughs in atomic-scale imaging and nanotechnology. (AN Photo by Waad Hussain)

Saudi Arabia has already embraced this direction. Through SDAIA, KAUST and national partnerships, the Kingdom is moving from consuming global research to actively contributing to it. Open geospatial AI models, researchers argue, give Saudi developers the ability to build highly localized applications adapted to the region’s climate realities and economic priorities.

Beyond Earth observation, IBM’s Zurich lab is pushing forward in another strategic frontier: quantum computing. Though still in its early stages, quantum technology could reshape sectors from logistics and materials science to advanced environmental modeling. 

Alessandro Curioni, IBM Research VP for Europe and Africa and director of the Zurich lab, stressed that quantum’s value should not be judged by whether it produces artificial general intelligence. Rather, it should be viewed as a tool to expand human capability. 




 Dr. Alessandro Curioni, VP of IBM Research Europe and Africa & Director of IBM Research Zurich/ (AN Photo by Waad Hussain)

“The value of computing is not to create a second version of myself,” he said, “it’s to create an instrument that allows me to be super-human at the things I cannot do.”

Curioni sees quantum not as a replacement for classical computing but as an extension capable of solving problems too complex for traditional machines — from simulating fluid dynamics to optimizing vast, interdependent systems. But he cautioned that significant challenges remain, including the need for major advances in hardware stability and tight integration with classical systems. Once these layers mature, he said, “the sky is the limit.”

DID YOU KNOW?

• Modern satellites deliver near real-time views of Earth’s surface.

• Geospatial foundation models transform vast satellite datasets into clear, actionable insights.

• These tools can produce flood-risk maps for cities such as Riyadh, analyze how mangroves cool urban areas, and even detect illegal dumping sites.

Saudi Arabia’s investments in digital infrastructure, sovereign cloud systems and advanced research institutions position the Kingdom strongly for the quantum era when enterprise-ready systems begin to scale. Curioni noted that Saudi Arabia is already “moving in the right direction” on infrastructure, ecosystem development and talent — the three essentials he identifies for deep research collaboration.

His perspective underscores a broader shift underway: the Kingdom is building not only advanced AI applications but a scientific ecosystem capable of sustaining long-term innovation. National programs now include talent development, regulatory frameworks, high-performance computing, and strategic partnerships with global research centers. Researchers argue that this integrated approach distinguishes nations that merely adopt technology from those that ultimately lead it.




Inside IBM’s hardware development lab, where researchers prototype and test experimental computing components. (AN Photo by Waad Hussain)

For individuals as much as institutions, the message from Zurich is clear. As Curioni put it, those who resist new tools risk being outpaced by those who embrace them. Generative AI already handles tasks — from literature reviews to data processing — that once required days of manual analysis. “If you don’t adopt new technologies, you will be overtaken by those who do adopt them,” he said, adding that the goal is to use these tools “to make yourself better,” not to fear them.

From geospatial AI to emerging quantum platforms, the work underway at IBM’s Zurich lab reflects technologies that will increasingly inform national planning and environmental resilience. 

For a country like Saudi Arabia — balancing rapid development with climate uncertainty — such scientific insight may prove essential. As researchers in Switzerland design the tools of tomorrow, the Kingdom is already exploring how these breakthroughs can translate into sustainability, resilience and strategic advantage at home.
 

 


Gulf oil exports could stop within weeks, warns Qatar energy minister as Iran war continues

Updated 06 March 2026
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Gulf oil exports could stop within weeks, warns Qatar energy minister as Iran war continues

RIYADH: Gulf oil producers could halt exports within weeks due to the ongoing Middle East war, sending crude prices to $150 a barrel, according to Qatar’s energy minister.

In an interview published on Friday, Saad Al-Kaabi warned oil could hit the figure in two to three weeks if ships and tankers were unable to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, which is the world's most ⁠vital ​oil export route as it connects the biggest Gulf oil producers ​with the Gulf of Oman and the Arabian Sea.

Hostilities between US-Israeli forces and Iran, which began with strikes on Iran on Feb. 28, has continued to cause widespread disruption across the region, and led to the virtual closure of the Strait of Hormuz and the shutdown of multiple national airspaces.

Speaking to the Financial Times, Al-Kaabi said that “everybody that has ​not called for force majeure we expect ⁠will do so in the next ​few days that this continues. All exporters in ​the Gulf region will have to call force majeure.”

As well as the $150-a-barrel oil price warning, the minister also expects gas prices to rise to $40 per million ​British thermal units.

He added that if the war continues for a few weeks, “GDP growth around the world” will be impacted. 

“Everybody's energy price is going to go higher. There will be shortages of ​some products and there will be a chain reaction of factories that cannot supply,” ​Kaabi said.

Qatar halted its liquefied natural gas production on March 2, as Iranian retaliation for US and Israeli strikes continued to target Gulf countries. The halt takes a major facility offline that accounts for roughly 20 percent of global supply, a key resource that balances demand in both Asian and European markets.

Al-Kaabi said even if the ​war ended immediately it would take ​Qatar “weeks to months” to return to a normal cycle ‌of ⁠deliveries.

Oil continues to rise

Oil prices rose again on Friday, with Brent crude up 2.77 percent to $87.78 a barrel and West Texas Intermediate up 4.41 percent to $84.36 at 11:47 a.m. GMT

The price surge followed the start of the war on Feb. 28, which halted tanker movements through the Strait of Hormuz, a waterway that typically carries approximately one-fifth of the world’s daily oil supply, or about 20 million barrels per day. 

The conflict has since spread across the key Middle East energy-producing region, causing disruptions to oil output and the shutdown of refineries and liquefied natural gas plants.

The US Treasury Department indicated it would announce measures to combat rising energy prices from the Iran conflict, including potential action involving the oil futures market, a move that would mark an unusual attempt by Washington to influence energy prices through financial markets rather than physical oil supplies. 

The Treasury also granted waivers for companies to start buying sanctioned Russian oil stored on tankers to ease supply constraints that have pushed Asian refineries to reduce fuel processing. 

“To enable oil to keep flowing into the global market, the Treasury Department is issuing a temporary 30-day waiver to allow Indian refiners to purchase Russian oil. This deliberately short-term measure will not provide significant financial benefit to the Russian government as it only authorizes transactions involving oil already stranded at sea,” Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on X.

He emphasized that India is an “essential partner” and expressed anticipation that New Delhi will ramp up purchases of US oil. “This stop-gap measure will alleviate pressure caused by Iran’s attempt to take global energy hostage.”

Imad Salamey, professor of political science and international affairs at the Lebanese American University, told Arab News that such measures “may work as short-term shock absorbers by calming markets and preventing immediate price spikes.” 

However, he warned that financial engineering cannot permanently compensate for disrupted physical supply. 

“If the Strait of Hormuz remains impaired, markets will eventually adjust to the reality of reduced flows. Relying too heavily on financial tools risks creating distortions where prices no longer reflect actual supply conditions,” Salamey explained.

If the war drags on and global economic costs continue to rise daily, Salamey added, the impact will spread far beyond the region. “Substituting Gulf oil with supplies from Russia or Venezuela could severely damage Gulf economies and shift long-term market dynamics,” he warned.

In an interview with Arab News, economist and Lebanese University professor Jassem Ajaka noted that “US President Donald Trump would not allow an internal uprising to undermine him before the midterm elections, suggesting he would make strategic reserves available if needed.”

He added that the US also has the capacity to ramp up shale oil production, as higher prices make extraction more economically viable. Trump said on March 4 that the US Navy may escort tankers through the Strait of Hormuz.

Aramco pricing reflects return of geopolitical risk premium

Saudi Aramco’s crude oil differentials for April 2026, reflect the severe fragmentation of the regional energy market. The OSPs showed significant premiums for light crude grades across North America, Northwest Europe, Asia, and the Mediterranean. 

In the Asian market versus Oman/Dubai, Super Light crude commanded a premium of $4.15 in April, up from $2.15 in March, a change of plus $2. Extra Light crude in Asia rose to $3 from $1, while Light crude reached $2.50 from zero. Medium and Heavy grades in Asia saw smaller increases but remained in positive territory for April.

Ajaka said: “Saudi oil giant Aramco has demonstrated its ability to deliver oil through alternative routes, specifically via pipelines to the Red Sea, despite supply disruptions caused by the ongoing war.”

This, he explained, highlights how Saudi Arabia is leveraging its position as a “reliable supplier” in a region where many other producers are either sanctioned, directly targeted, or logistically constrained.

Salamey said Iran aims to widen the conflict to make it globally costly: “By threatening Gulf infrastructure and shipping, Tehran hopes GCC (Gulf Cooperation Council) states will pressure Washington to negotiate and end the war.” 

According to the expert, Tehran seeks sustained disruption of energy markets rather than a full blockade, since a total closure would “almost certainly” trigger a major military response. The strategy risks backfiring if direct harm to Gulf states pushes them to join the war.

Airlines grapple with airspace closures

The region’s aviation sector has faced its most severe test since the COVID-19 pandemic, with carriers across the Middle East announcing mass cancelations and emergency schedule adjustments. 

Etihad Airways said it would resume a limited commercial flight schedule from March 6, operating between Abu Dhabi and a number of key destinations, while Emirates Airline anticipates a return to 100% of its network within the coming days, subject to airspace availability and the fulfilment of all operational requirements.

Qatar Airways announced that its scheduled flight operations remain temporarily suspended due to the closure of Qatari airspace, and it would provide a further update on March 7.

Saudi low-cost carrier Flynas confirmed it is operating limited exceptional flights between Saudi Arabia and Dubai starting from March 6. 

Saudia Airlines, however, canceled flights to and from Amman, Kuwait, Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Doha, and Bahrain, effective until March 6 at 23:59 GMT.

In Beirut, Middle East Airlines’ spokesperson Rima Makkaoui told Arab News that the carrier is “operating flights to all destinations normally, except those that have their airspace closed such as Iraq and Kuwait.”

MEA announced a strict new No-Show policy, imposing a $300 fee for economy class and $500 for business class passengers who fail to cancel bookings within the specified timeframe. 

The move comes in response to passengers and travel agents booking multiple seats simultaneously, then failing to show up without cancelation, depriving other travelers of seats during this critical period. 

Royal Jordanian continued operating flights to Beirut as scheduled, while flights to Doha and Dubai remained canceled according to the Queen Alia International Airport website.