Pakistan finance minister says investor decisions shaped by stability, governance, not civil-military ‘noise’

Pakistan’s Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb speaks during an interview with Arab News in Islamabad on November 18, 2025. (AN)
Short Url
Updated 25 November 2025
Follow

Pakistan finance minister says investor decisions shaped by stability, governance, not civil-military ‘noise’

  • Pakistan military’s role now spans trade diplomacy, investor engagement and oversight of major economic projects
  • Minister says NFC revenue-sharing talks between federal, provincial governments to be guided by population trends, climate risks

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan’s finance minister has said the country’s economic direction should be judged on “governance” and consistent policy rather than on its political configuration, arguing that investors primarily look for returns, stability and ease of doing business, not the civil-military balance of power.

His remarks come as Pakistan’s army has taken on a more expansive and public role in economic decision-making and trade diplomacy under Field Marshal Syed Asim Munir, who became army chief in late 2022. In one of the most prominent examples of this new engagement, Munir met US President Donald Trump at the White House in June, and according to the army’s statement, their discussion extended beyond security and counterterrorism to trade, energy, technology, cryptocurrency and critical minerals.

Munir met Trump again in September, this time with Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, seeking investment from US companies in agriculture, technology, mining and energy. A widely circulated photograph showed the army chief presenting a tray of rare Pakistani minerals and stones to the US president.
 
These high-level engagements sit within a broader civil-military structure centered on the Special Investment Facilitation Council (SIFC), established in 2023 to fast-track foreign investments. Although formally chaired by the prime minister, the army chief is a member of the SIFC’s apex committee and a serving general is its national coordinator. Most major investment files now pass through the council, which has led flagship deals including a $500 million rare-earths agreement signed in September between the army-run Frontier Works Organization and Missouri-based UA Strategic Metals.

Asked whether Pakistan’s economy was now “military-run,” Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb reframed the issue through what he called “international benchmarks.”

“From my perspective, we have to think through some international benchmarks and what has worked for other countries and countries which have moved from Third World to First World,” the minister said in an interview to Arab News this month.

“Meritocracy, pragmatism, honesty … Pragmatism can be attributed to the scheme of governance … governance has to be led by some guiding principles, whether it’s a small corporate, small company, or the largest countries. Timely decisions, timely execution. And then whatever it takes.”

Asked if Pakistan’s ‘hybrid regime,’ in which elected civilian officials share key policy space with the powerful military, was an advantage when approaching foreign investors, the finance minister said investors primarily focus on returns and operational clarity.

“As far as the investors are concerned, they need to come in thinking through whether they a, can get the right returns in this country, and secondly, the ease of doing business, etc., so I think governance matters.

“Governance matters with respect to basic hygiene of how the economy is run and whether they can make returns, which can also be repatriated. That’s what they care about.”

In response to a question about political curbs, limits on dissent and media censorship — issues repeatedly raised by Pakistani and international rights groups — and whether they affected foreign investment and domestic entrepreneurship, Aurangzeb said stability was the key factor for investors worldwide. 

“What matters is the overall stability in the country… We need to build our external and internal buffers to negotiate exogenous shocks. That’s what we need to focus on rather than the noise in the system.”

NATIONAL FINANCE COMMISSION REFORM

The finance minister also addressed proposed reforms to Pakistan’s National Finance Commission (NFC), the constitutional body that determines how federal tax revenue is divided between the center and the provinces every five years. 

The issue has gained urgency amid discussions on a 28th Constitutional Amendment that could reshape how future NFC awards are calculated. Central to the debate is Article 160(3A), which guarantees that no province’s share can be reduced below what it received under the previous award. Provincial governments view the clause as essential for fiscal autonomy, while federal officials argue the strict protection limits the state’s ability to respond to rising population, mounting climate-related costs and the need to stabilize national finances.

Asked why the government wanted to amend Article 160, Aurangzeb said it would be “premature” to comment but noted that the president had already endorsed the composition of the next NFC — a constitutional requirement for naming the members of the commission — and the Finance Division had issued a formal notification to begin the process. 

The inaugural session of the commission, initially planned for September but delayed due this year’s monsoon floods, would now take place in the coming weeks, the minister said, describing the commission as the constitutional forum where provinces and the center must negotiate both the “vertical” distribution between them and the “horizontal” allocation among provinces.

Aurangzeb said the next award would also need to consider structural pressures facing the country. 

“I’ve been talking very consistently about two existential threats of Pakistan, one is population and the other is climate change,” he said, adding that additional allocation drivers such as backwardness and poverty levels would also require attention.

Pressed on whether a reformed NFC could be completed before the next budget, Aurangzeb declined to comment. Asked whether provincial shares should remain protected, he said all issues would be taken up within the existing framework agreed between the center and provinces.

He pointed to a “national fiscal pact” signed last year, under which federal and provincial governments committed to broad principles on revenue mobilization, expenditure responsibility and fiscal governance as an interim guide ahead of a new NFC award.

“We did sign on a national fiscal pact last year,” he said, “and it had all the aspects around revenue, expenditure, governance. And all of these are going to be part of our discussions on the NFC.”
 


Islamabad dismisses claims about paying up to 8 percent interest on foreign loans as ‘misleading’

Updated 22 February 2026
Follow

Islamabad dismisses claims about paying up to 8 percent interest on foreign loans as ‘misleading’

  • Pakistan has long relied on external loans to help bridge persistent gaps in public finances and foreign exchange reserves
  • Pakistan’s total external debt, liabilities stand at $138 billion at an overall average cost of around 4 percent, ministry says

KARACHI: Pakistan’s finance ministry on Sunday dismissed as “misleading” claims that the country is paying up to 8 percent interest on external loans, saying the overall average cost of external public debt is approximately 4 percent.

Pakistan has long relied on external loans to help bridge persistent gaps in public finances and foreign exchange reserves, driven largely by a narrow tax base, chronic trade deficits, rising debt-servicing costs and repeated balance-of-payments pressures.

Over the decades, successive governments have turned to multilateral and bilateral lenders, including the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank and the Asian Development Bank, to support budgetary needs and shore up foreign exchange reserves.

The finance ministry on Sunday issued a clarification in response to a “recent press commentary” regarding the country’s external debt position and associated interest payments, and said the figures required contextual explanation to ensure accurate understanding of Pakistan’s external debt profile.

“Pakistan’s total external debt and liabilities currently stand at $138 billion. This figure, however, encompasses a broad range of obligations, including public and publicly guaranteed debt, debt of Public Sector Enterprises (both guaranteed and non-guaranteed), bank borrowings, private-sector external debt, and intercompany liabilities to direct investors. It is therefore important to distinguish this aggregate figure from External Public (Government) Debt, which amounts to approximately $92 billion,” it said.

“Of the total External Public Debt, nearly 75 percent comprises concessional and long-term financing obtained from multilateral institutions (excluding the IMF) and bilateral development partners. Only about 7 percent of this debt consists of commercial loans, while another 7 percent relates to long-term Eurobonds. In light of this composition, the claim that Pakistan is paying interest on external loans ‘up to 8 percent’ is misleading.

The overall average cost of External Public Debt is approximately 4 percent, reflecting the predominantly concessional nature of the borrowing portfolio.”

With respect to interest payments, public external debt interest outflows increased from $1.99 billion in Fiscal Year (FY) 2022 to $3.59 billion in FY2025, representing an increase of 80.4 percent, not 84 percent as reported. In absolute terms, interest payments rose by $1.60 billion over this period, not $1.67 billion, it said.

According to the State Bank of Pakistan’s records, Pakistan’s total debt servicing payments to specific creditors during the period under reference were as follows: the IMF received $1.50 billion, of which $580 million constituted interest; Naya Pakistan Certificates payments totaled $1.56 billion, including $94 million in interest; the Asian Development Bank received $1.54 billion, including $615 million in interest; the World Bank received $1.25 billion, including $419 million in interest; and external commercial loans amounted to nearly $3 billion, of which $327 million represented interest payments.

“While interest payments have increased in absolute terms, this rise cannot be attributed solely to an expansion in the debt stock,” the ministry said. “Although the overall debt stock has increased slightly since FY2022, the additional inflows have primarily originated from concessional multilateral sources and the IMF’s Extended Fund Facility (EFF) under the ongoing IMF-supported program.”

Pakistan secured a $7 billion IMF bailout in Sept. 2024 as part of Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s efforts to stabilize the South Asian economy that narrowly averted a default in 2023. The government has since been making efforts to boost trade and bring in foreign investment to consolidate recovery.

“It is also important to note that the increase in interest payments reflects prevailing global interest rate dynamics. In response to the inflation surge of 2021–22, the US Federal Reserve raised the federal funds rate from 0.75-1.00 percent in May 2022 to 5.25–5.50 percent by July 2023. Although rates have since moderated to around 3.75 percent, they remain significantly higher than 2022 levels,” the finance ministry said.

“The government remains committed to prudent debt management, transparency, and the continued strengthening of Pakistan’s macroeconomic stability,” it added.