Saudi investment appetite intact at $10bn, shift to B2B model underway — Pakistan finance minister

Pakistan’s Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb speaks during an interview with Arab News in Islamabad on November 18, 2025. AN
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Updated 19 November 2025
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Saudi investment appetite intact at $10bn, shift to B2B model underway — Pakistan finance minister

  • Reko Diq financing ‘around the corner’ as IFC-led consortium assembles $3.5 billion in debt and US Exim readies approval
  • Pakistan eyes Saudi-linked investment in minerals, IT and manufacturing as private sector to take lead under new framework

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan’s Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb said on Wednesday Saudi Arabia’s previously signaled $10 billion investment appetite for the country remained unchanged, with Islamabad now preparing “bankable” private-sector projects as both sides move away from crisis financing and toward long-term, business-to-business economic engagement.

Pakistan and Saudi Arabia signed a Strategic Defense Pact in September, while economic discussions have advanced in parallel under an evolving Saudi–Pakistan Economic Cooperation Framework announced last month.

For decades, Riyadh has supported Islamabad primarily through central bank deposits and deferred oil facilities, but Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman last year conveyed a shift toward equity-based, commercially viable investments, setting the $10 billion benchmark.

In an interview to Arab News, Aurangzeb said Pakistan was now better positioned to seek such investment due to early signs of macroeconomic stabilization after a prolonged crisis.

Inflation, which hit a historic peak of nearly 38 percent in May 2023, has since eased considerably, the rupee has stabilized and foreign exchange reserves have recovered following strict fiscal and monetary tightening. International rating agencies, including Fitch and Moody’s, have also revised Pakistan’s outlook upward after years of downgrades, citing improved external liquidity and more disciplined policy implementation.

Pakistan is midway through a $7 billion IMF program approved in September 2024, with the Fund’s second review completed and a board decision expected in early December, developments that signal to investors that macroeconomic risks are gradually receding.

These improvements, Aurangzeb said, had strengthened Pakistan’s credibility at a time when it was seeking to convert geopolitical goodwill — from Saudi Arabia, China, the US and GCC partners — into long-term foreign direct investment. The government now wanted the private sector to lead the next phase of economic engagement while it focused on creating a transparent, predictable investment environment.

“From Saudi Arabia’s perspective, they are ready, willing and able. Now, in some sense, the ball is in our court to come up with investable, bankable projects,” the finance minister told Arab News. 

The government’s objective, he added, was to move beyond short-term financing arrangements:

“It’s not aid, it has to be led by trade and investment. Because quite frankly, that is going to bring sustainability at both ends.”

Both governments have identified minerals and mining, IT, agriculture, food and tourism as priority sectors for Saudi investment. Manufacturing is also emerging as a potential area of collaboration, particularly as Saudi Arabia begins preparations for hosting the 2034 FIFA World Cup, which is driving demand for sports-related industrial capacity inside the Kingdom.

Aurangzeb cited Forward Sports Sialkot, the Pakistani sports equipment company that produces Adidas’s official World Cup match balls and recently displaced a Chinese competitor as the German brand’s largest football supplier. 

Forward Sports met Saudi officials during the Future Investment Initiative summit in Riyadh last month to explore a model in which high-precision manufacturing takes place in Pakistan, with finishing, packaging and regional distribution shifted to Saudi Arabia as part of its industrial localization push, Aurangzeb said. 

“I just see this is the start of that kind of process as we move forward.”

Reko Diq and Critical Minerals

A major focus of discussions with foreign investors is Reko Diq, Pakistan’s flagship copper-and-gold mining project in Balochistan and one of the world’s largest undeveloped copper deposits. Operated by Barrick Gold with federal and provincial government stakes, the project has attracted interest from Saudi Arabia through Manara Minerals — backed by the Public Investment Fund and Ma’aden — which has offered to acquire a 15 percent stake.

Aurangzeb said the long-awaited financial close for Reko Diq was now imminent. 

“The financial close, from my perspective, is around the corner,” he said.

He explained that the International Finance Corporation was leading the debt consortium, a role that signals strong due diligence and comfort for global lenders because IFC typically structures and anchors large, complex resource-sector financings. 

One of the final elements, the minister noted, was the participation of the US Export-Import Bank, which had temporarily paused new approvals during the recent US government shutdown. With the US government now fully reopened, he said Exim’s involvement should resume “relatively soon.”

Aurangzeb said the financing structure was now essentially in place, with the IFC-led consortium having assembled roughly $3.5 billion in project debt, and only final lender approvals remaining.

“Everything is complete. I think in the coming weeks, this should be finalized and the financial close should be there.” 

He added that he met the IFC managing director and all consortium partners during a recent visit to Washington, reinforcing his confidence that closure was near.

The minister underscored Reko Diq’s transformative potential for Pakistan’s stagnant export base. With annual exports stuck at roughly $30 billion, the mine’s first year of operation alone is expected to generate $2.8 billion in export potential, nearly 10 percent of Pakistan’s total exports today. 

“This is a game changer,” he said.

Beyond Reko Diq, Pakistan is in discussions with the US and other partners on critical minerals, a sector that has become central to global supply chain strategies as countries seek alternative sources of copper, lithium, cobalt and rare earths. 

An American official told Arab News on condition of anonymity a $1 billion-plus critical minerals deal had been finalized with US investors, but Aurangzeb said while interest was high, negotiations were ongoing.

“For obvious reasons, minerals and mining and critical minerals is a key area of interest. And that we are moving forward.” 

He added: “There’s tremendous interest and there’s tremendous potential at our end.”

Aurangzeb said Pakistan’s goal was clear: to channel improving economic fundamentals and favorable geopolitics into long-term, private-sector-led investment flows, with Saudi Arabia emerging as one of the most consequential partners in that shift.

“And all of this is all about translating that into trade and investment. And all of this is going to be private sector-led, across the board.”


What MENA’s wild 2025 funding cycle really revealed  

Updated 26 December 2025
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What MENA’s wild 2025 funding cycle really revealed  

RIYADH: The Middle East and North Africa startup funding story in 2025 was less a smooth arc than a sequence of sharp gears: debt-led surges, equity-led recoveries, and periodic quiet spells that revealed what investors were really underwriting.   

By November, the region had logged repeated bursts of activity — culminating in September’s $3.5 billion spike across 74 deals — yet the year’s defining feature was not just the size of the peaks, but the way capital repeatedly clustered around a handful of markets, instruments, and business models.  

Across the year’s first eleven months, funding totals swung dramatically: January opened at $863 million across 63 rounds but was overwhelmingly debt-driven; June fell to just $52 million across 37 deals; and September reset expectations entirely with a record month powered by Saudi fintech mega facilities.   

The net result was a market that looked expansive in headline value while behaving conservatively in underlying risk posture — often choosing structured financing, revenue-linked models, and geographic familiarity over broad-based, late-stage equity appetite.  

Debt becomes the ecosystem’s shock absorber  

If 2024 was about proving demand, 2025 was about choosing capital structure. Debt financing repeatedly dictated monthly outcomes and, in practice, became the mechanism that let large platforms keep scaling while equity investors stayed selective.  

Founded in 2019 by Osama Alraee and Mohamed Jawabri, Lendo is a crowdlending marketplace that connects qualified businesses seeking financing with investors looking for short-term returns. Supplied

January’s apparent boom was the clearest example: $863 million raised, but $768 million came through debt financing, making the equity picture almost similar to January 2024.   

The same pattern returned at larger scale in September, when $3.5 billion was recorded, but $2.6 billion of that total was debt financing — dominated by Tamara’s $2.4 billion debt facility alongside Lendo’s $50 million debt and Erad’s $33 million debt financing.    

October then reinforced the playbook: four debt deals accounted for 72 percent of the month’s $784.9 million, led by Property Finder’s $525 million debt round.    

By November, more than half the month’s $227.8 million total again hinged on a single debt-backed transaction from Erad.   

Tamara was founded in 2020 by Abdulmajeed Alsukhan, Turki Bin Zarah, and Abdulmohsen Albabtain, and offers buy-now-pay-later services. Supplied

This isn’t simply ‘debt replacing equity.’ It is debt acting as a stabilizer in a valuation-reset environment: late-stage businesses with predictable cash flows or asset-heavy models can keep expanding without reopening price discovery through equity rounds.  

A two-speed geography consolidates around the Gulf  

The regional map of venture capital in 2025 narrowed, widened, then narrowed again — but the center of gravity stayed stubbornly Gulf-led.    

Saudi Arabia and the UAE alternated at the top depending on where mega deals landed, while Egypt’s position fluctuated between brief rebounds and extended softness.  

In the first half alone, total investment reached $2.1 billion across 334 deals, with Saudi Arabia accounting for roughly 64 percent of capital deployed.   

Saudi Arabia’s rise was described as ‘policy-driven,’ supported by sovereign wealth fund-backed VC activity and government incentives, with domestic firms such as STV, Wa’ed Ventures, and Raed Ventures repeatedly cited as drivers.   

Erad co-founders (left to right): Faris Yaghmour, Youssef Said, Salem Abu Hammour, and Abdulmalik Almeheini. Supplied

The UAE still posted steady growth in the first half — $541 million across 114 startups, up 18 percent year-on-year — but it increasingly competed in a market where the largest single cheques were landing elsewhere unless the Emirates hosted the region’s next debt mega round.  

The concentration became stark in late-year snapshots. In November, funding was ‘tightly concentrated in just five countries,’ with Saudi Arabia taking $176.3 million across 14 deals and the UAE $49 million across 14 deals, while Egypt and Morocco each sat near $1 million and Oman had one undisclosed deal.    

Even in September’s record month, the top two markets — Saudi with $2.7 billion across 25 startups and the UAE with $704.3 million across 26 startups — absorbed the overwhelming majority of capital.  

A smaller but notable subplot was the emergence of ‘surprise’ markets when a single deal was large enough to change rank order.   

Iraq briefly climbed to third place in July on InstaBank’s $15 million deal, while Tunisia entered the top three in June entirely via Kumulus’ $3.5 million seed round.   

These moments mattered less for the totals than for what they suggested: capital can travel, but it still needs an anchor deal to justify attention.  

Events, narrative cycles, and the ‘conference effect’  

2025 also showed how regional deal flow can bunch around events that create permission structures for announcements.   

February’s surge — $494 million across 58 deals — was explicitly linked to LEAP 2025, where ‘many startups announced their closed deals,’ helping push Saudi Arabia to $250.3 million across 25 deals.  

September’s leap similarly leaned on Money20/20, where 15 deals were announced and Saudi fintechs dominated the headlines.  

This ‘conference effect’ does not mean deals are created at conferences, but it does change the timing and visibility of closes.   

Sector leadership rotates, but utility wins  

Fintech retained structural dominance even when it temporarily lost the top spot by value.   

It led January on the back of Saudi debt deals; dominated February with $274 million across 15 deals; remained first in March with $82.5 million across 10 deals; topped the second quarter by capital raised; and reclaimed leadership in November with $142.9 million across nine deals — again driven by a debt-heavy transaction.   

Even when fintech fell to ninth place by value in October with $12.5 million across seven rounds, it still remained ‘the most active sector by deal count,’ a sign of persistent baseline demand.  

Proptech was the year’s other headline sector, but its peaks were deal-specific. Nawy’s $75 million round in May helped propel Egypt to the top that month and pushed proptech up the rankings.   

Property Finder’s debt round in October made proptech the month’s top-funded sector at $526 million. In August, proptech led with $96 million across four deals, suggesting sustained investor appetite for real-estate innovation even beyond the megadeal.   

Outside fintech and proptech, the year offered signals rather than dominance. July saw deeptech top the sector charts with $250.3 million across four deals, reflecting a moment of investor appetite for IP-heavy ventures.   

AI repeatedly appeared as a strategic narrative — especially after a high-profile visit by US President Donald Trump alongside Silicon Valley investors and subsequent GCC AI initiatives — yet funding didn’t fully match the rhetoric in May, when AI secured just $25 million across two deals.   

By late year, however, expectations were already shifting toward mega rounds in AI and the industries built around it, positioning 2025 as a runway-building year rather than a breakout year for AI funding in the region.  

Stage discipline returns as valuations reset  

In 2025, MENA’s funding landscape tried to balance two priorities: sustaining early-stage momentum while selectively backing proven scale. Early-stage rounds dominated deal flow. October saw 32 early-stage deals worth $95.2 million, with just one series B at $50 million. November recorded no later-stage rounds at all, while even September’s record month relied on 55 early-stage startups raising $129.4 million.  

When investors did commit to later stages, the cheques were decisive. February featured Tabby’s $160 million series E alongside two $28 million series B rounds, while August leaned toward scale with $112 million across three series B deals. Late-stage equity was not absent — it was episodic, appearing only when scale economics were defensible. 

Hosam Arab, CEO of Tabby. File

B2B models remained the default. In the first half, B2B startups raised $1.5 billion, or 70 percent of total funding, driven by clearer monetisation and revenue visibility.  

The gender gap remained structural. Despite isolated spikes, capital allocation continued to overwhelmingly favour male-led startups.  

What 2025 actually said about 2026  

Taken together, 2025 looked like a year of capital market pragmatism. The region demonstrated capacity for outsized rounds, but much of that capacity ran through debt, a handful of megadeals, and a narrow set of markets — primarily Saudi Arabia and the UAE.   

Early-stage deal flow stayed active enough to keep the pipeline moving, even as growth-stage equity became intermittent and increasingly selective.   

By year-end, the slowdown seen in November read less like a breakdown than a deliberate pause: a market in consolidation mode preserving firepower, waiting for clearer valuation anchors and the next wave of platform-scale opportunities.   

If 2025 was about proving the region can absorb large cheques, 2026 is shaping up to test where those cheques will go — especially as expectations build around AI-led mega rounds and the industries that will form around them.