Foreign investors withdrew around $4 billion from Pakistan equities over past decade, data shows

A trader counts US dollar banknotes at a currency exchange booth in Peshawar, Pakistan January 25, 2023. (Reuters/File)
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Updated 18 November 2025
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Foreign investors withdrew around $4 billion from Pakistan equities over past decade, data shows

  • Analysts attribute the outflow to persistent political and macroeconomic uncertainties that deterred foreign investors
  • The government needs to turn recent economic stabilization into credible, sustained improvement, ex-finance adviser says

KARACHI: Pakistan has lost around $4 billion in portfolio investments over the past decade, data gathered by a market research firm shows, with analysts attributing it to persistent political and macroeconomic uncertainties that deterred foreign investors from an otherwise promising equity market.

The South Asian nation’s net foreign portfolio outflows exceeded the inflows by as much as 2,569 percent since 2014.

Foreign investors are estimated to have sold $3.5 billion of their net portfolios, compared with $130 million net inflows the country could attract in the past decade, according to data compiled by Karachi-based Topline Securities market research firm.

Other reasons that kept the foreigners jittery besides political and macroeconomic uncertainties included the departure of major funds like Vanguard from Pakistan’s market, the country’s downgrading by FTSE to a frontier market and profit-taking after the recent strong rally at Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX), according to analysts.

“Politics and macroeconomic uncertainty both, plus global shift of capital away from emerging and frontier markets toward the US market predominantly,” Muhammad Saad Ali, head of research at Lucky Investments Limited, told Arab News, when asked what made foreigners sell their shareholdings.

A frontier market is categorized as one with lower market capitalization, higher political or economic instability, weaker regulatory systems and limited investor participation.

Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s government has long been vying for political and economic stability in the debt-ridden country of 240 million people.

While some macroeconomic indicators have stabilized, political divide persists in the country, with jailed former PM Imran Khan campaigning against the government from behind the bars.

In 2023, Pakistan also established a one-window facility, called the Special Investment Facilitation Council (SIFC), to attract foreign investments, but the country has never been able to cross $3 billion mark in terms of annual foreign direct investment in about the last two decades, according to the central bank data.

Arab News reached out to Pakistan’s finance adviser Khurram Schehzad and SIFC Secretary Jamil Ahmad Qureshi for their views on this, but they were not immediately available for a comment.

Pakistan’s former finance adviser Khaqan Najeeb said the government will have to “do more” to attract foreign investors.

“Pakistan has restored a measure of macroeconomic stability, but global investors face higher-for-longer rates and constrained liquidity,” he said, adding the focus of foreign investors had shifted from policy continuity to whether Pakistan could deliver deeper structural reforms including regulatory coherence, institutional strengthening and market depth needed to anchor confidence.

Sharif’s government is trying to revive Pakistan’s economy with the help of International Monetary Fund’s $7 billion loan program which requires Islamabad to take reforms that would put the heavily indebted nation on the path of stability and sustainable growth.

“Recent foreign outflows from the PSX also reflect tactical profit-taking after a strong rally and fuller valuations,” Najeeb told Arab News.

Pakistan’s stocks have rallied to new highs in recent months and have surged more than 40 percent since January this year, according to PSX data.

“The task now is to turn stabilization into credible, sustained structural improvement,” Najeeb added.


Islamabad dismisses claims about paying up to 8 percent interest on foreign loans as ‘misleading’

Updated 22 February 2026
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Islamabad dismisses claims about paying up to 8 percent interest on foreign loans as ‘misleading’

  • Pakistan has long relied on external loans to help bridge persistent gaps in public finances and foreign exchange reserves
  • Pakistan’s total external debt, liabilities stand at $138 billion at an overall average cost of around 4 percent, ministry says

KARACHI: Pakistan’s finance ministry on Sunday dismissed as “misleading” claims that the country is paying up to 8 percent interest on external loans, saying the overall average cost of external public debt is approximately 4 percent.

Pakistan has long relied on external loans to help bridge persistent gaps in public finances and foreign exchange reserves, driven largely by a narrow tax base, chronic trade deficits, rising debt-servicing costs and repeated balance-of-payments pressures.

Over the decades, successive governments have turned to multilateral and bilateral lenders, including the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank and the Asian Development Bank, to support budgetary needs and shore up foreign exchange reserves.

The finance ministry on Sunday issued a clarification in response to a “recent press commentary” regarding the country’s external debt position and associated interest payments, and said the figures required contextual explanation to ensure accurate understanding of Pakistan’s external debt profile.

“Pakistan’s total external debt and liabilities currently stand at $138 billion. This figure, however, encompasses a broad range of obligations, including public and publicly guaranteed debt, debt of Public Sector Enterprises (both guaranteed and non-guaranteed), bank borrowings, private-sector external debt, and intercompany liabilities to direct investors. It is therefore important to distinguish this aggregate figure from External Public (Government) Debt, which amounts to approximately $92 billion,” it said.

“Of the total External Public Debt, nearly 75 percent comprises concessional and long-term financing obtained from multilateral institutions (excluding the IMF) and bilateral development partners. Only about 7 percent of this debt consists of commercial loans, while another 7 percent relates to long-term Eurobonds. In light of this composition, the claim that Pakistan is paying interest on external loans ‘up to 8 percent’ is misleading.

The overall average cost of External Public Debt is approximately 4 percent, reflecting the predominantly concessional nature of the borrowing portfolio.”

With respect to interest payments, public external debt interest outflows increased from $1.99 billion in Fiscal Year (FY) 2022 to $3.59 billion in FY2025, representing an increase of 80.4 percent, not 84 percent as reported. In absolute terms, interest payments rose by $1.60 billion over this period, not $1.67 billion, it said.

According to the State Bank of Pakistan’s records, Pakistan’s total debt servicing payments to specific creditors during the period under reference were as follows: the IMF received $1.50 billion, of which $580 million constituted interest; Naya Pakistan Certificates payments totaled $1.56 billion, including $94 million in interest; the Asian Development Bank received $1.54 billion, including $615 million in interest; the World Bank received $1.25 billion, including $419 million in interest; and external commercial loans amounted to nearly $3 billion, of which $327 million represented interest payments.

“While interest payments have increased in absolute terms, this rise cannot be attributed solely to an expansion in the debt stock,” the ministry said. “Although the overall debt stock has increased slightly since FY2022, the additional inflows have primarily originated from concessional multilateral sources and the IMF’s Extended Fund Facility (EFF) under the ongoing IMF-supported program.”

Pakistan secured a $7 billion IMF bailout in Sept. 2024 as part of Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s efforts to stabilize the South Asian economy that narrowly averted a default in 2023. The government has since been making efforts to boost trade and bring in foreign investment to consolidate recovery.

“It is also important to note that the increase in interest payments reflects prevailing global interest rate dynamics. In response to the inflation surge of 2021–22, the US Federal Reserve raised the federal funds rate from 0.75-1.00 percent in May 2022 to 5.25–5.50 percent by July 2023. Although rates have since moderated to around 3.75 percent, they remain significantly higher than 2022 levels,” the finance ministry said.

“The government remains committed to prudent debt management, transparency, and the continued strengthening of Pakistan’s macroeconomic stability,” it added.