Iraq PM Al-Sudani seen as election frontrunner, seeks a second term

Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia Al-Sudani speaks during an interview with Reuters in Baghdad, Iraq November 3, 2025. (Reuters)
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Updated 04 November 2025
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Iraq PM Al-Sudani seen as election frontrunner, seeks a second term

  • Runs against ruling coalition members, seeks to make Iraq a success after decades of instability

BAGHDAD: Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia Al-Sudani has cast himself as the leader who can finally make the country a success after years of instability, and has moved against established parties that brought him to power as he seeks a second term.

Buoyed by signs of rising public support ahead of a November 11 parliamentary election, an increasingly confident Al-Sudani is running against key members of a grouping of parties and armed groups that originally tapped him for the job.

Campaigning on improving basic services and presenting himself as the man who can successfully balance ties with both Washington and Tehran, he says he expects to get the single-largest share of seats. Many analysts agree that Al-Sudani, in power since 2022 and leader of the Construction and Development Coalition, is the frontrunner.

However, no party is able to form a government on its own in Iraq’s 329-member legislature, and so parties have to build alliances with other groups to become an administration, a fraught process that often takes many months.

Al-Sudani, 55, has done many key jobs in Iraq’s volatile political system and is the only post-2003 premier who never left the country, unlike others who went into exile and returned, often with new citizenships, after the US-led invasion that toppled Saddam Hussein.

He has the tricky task of balancing Iraq’s unusual role as an ally of both Washington and Tehran, while trying to satisfy Iraqis desperate for jobs and services and protect himself in a world of cut-throat politics.

In 2024, allegations that staff in the premier’s office had spied on senior officials caused uproar. A political adviser to Sudani denied the claims.

Born on March 4, 1970 in Baghdad to a family originally from rural southern Maysan province, Al-Sudani worked as an agricultural supervisor under Saddam’s government, even though his father and other relatives were killed for political activism. Since the 2003 US-led invasion he has been a mayor, a member of a provincial council, a regional governor, twice a Cabinet minister and then prime minister. “When we speak of someone who stayed in Iraq all these decades, it means they understand Iraqis as people and the Iraqi system,” Al-Sudani said in 2023.

Iraq is navigating a politically sensitive effort to disarm the country’s militias amid pressure from the US, while at the same time negotiating with Washington to implement an agreement on a phased withdrawal of US troops.

But Al-Sudani said ahead of next week’s vote that any effort to bring all weapons under state control would not work as long as there is a US-led coalition in the country that some Iraqi factions view as an occupying force.


How succession works in Iran and who will be the country’s next supreme leader?

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How succession works in Iran and who will be the country’s next supreme leader?

DUBAI: The death of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei after almost 37 years in power raises paramount questions about the country’s future. The contours of a complex succession process began to take shape the morning after Khamenei’s assassination.
Here is what to know:
A temporary leadership council assumes duties
As outlined in its constitution, Iran on Sunday formed a council to assume leadership duties and govern the country.
The council is made up of Iran’s sitting president, the head of the country’s judiciary and a member of the Guardian Council chosen by Iran’s Expediency Council, which advises the supreme leader and settles disputes with parliament.
Iran’s reformist President Masoud Pezeshkian and hard-line judiciary chief Gholamhossein Mohseni Ejei are its members who will step in and “temporarily assume all the duties of leadership.”
A panel of clerics selects a new supreme leader
Though the leadership council will govern in the interim, an 88-member panel called the Assembly of Experts “must, as soon as possible” pick a new supreme leader under Iranian law.
The panel consists entirely of Shiite clerics who are popularly elected every eight years and whose candidacies are approved by the Guardian Council, Iran’s constitutional watchdog. That body is known for disqualifying candidates in various elections in Iran and the Assembly of Experts is no different. The Guardian Council barred former Iranian President Hassan Rouhani, a relative moderate whose administration struck the 2015 nuclear deal with world powers, from election for the Assembly of Experts in March 2024.
Khamenei’s son could be a possible contender
Clerical deliberations about succession and machinations over it take place far from the public eye, making it hard to gauge who may be a top contender.
Previously, it was thought Khamenei’s protégé, hard-line President Ebrahim Raisi, may try to take the mantle. However, he was killed in a May 2024 helicopter crash. That has left one of Khamenei’s sons, Mojtaba, a 56-year-old Shiite cleric, as a potential candidate, though he has never held government office. But a father-to-son transfer in the case of a supreme leader could spark anger, not only among Iranians already critical of clerical rule, but also among supporters of the system. Some may see it as un-Islamic and in line with creating a new, religious dynasty after the 1979 collapse of the US-backed Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi’s government.
A transition like this has happened only once before
There has been only one other transfer of power in the office of supreme leader of Iran, the paramount decision-maker since the country’s 1979 Islamic Revolution.
In 1989, Grand Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini died at age 86 after being the figurehead of the revolution and leading Iran through its bloody eight-year war with Iraq. This transition now comes after Israel launched a 12-day war against Iran in June 2025 as well.
The vast powers of a supreme leader
The supreme leader is at the heart of Iran’s complex power-sharing Shiite theocracy and has final say over all matters of state.
He also serves as the commander-in-chief of the country’s military and the powerful Revolutionary Guard, a paramilitary force that the United States designated a terrorist organization in 2019 and which Khamenei empowered during his rule. The Guard, which has led the self-described “Axis of Resistance,” a series of militant groups and allies across the Middle East meant to counter the US and Israel, also has extensive wealth and holdings in Iran.