IMF, Pakistan reach staff-level deal unlocking $1.2 billion under loan, climate programs

A man stands near a logo of IMF at the International Monetary Fund — World Bank Annual Meeting 2018 in Nusa Dua, Bali, Indonesia, on October 12, 2018. (REUTERS/File)
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Updated 15 October 2025
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IMF, Pakistan reach staff-level deal unlocking $1.2 billion under loan, climate programs

  • IMF mission says Pakistan’s recovery “remains on track” but warns recent floods threaten outlook
  • Agreement awaits board approval, total disbursements under both facilities to reach $3.3 billion

KARACHI: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) said on Tuesday it had reached a staff-level agreement with Pakistan for the second review of its 37-month Extended Fund Facility (EFF) and the first review of a 28-month Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF), a step that could unlock about $1.2 billion once approved by the Fund’s Executive Board.

Pakistan secured a $7 billion bailout from the IMF in September 2024 after months of negotiations to stabilize its struggling economy, rebuild reserves and attract foreign investment. The program, divided between the EFF for macroeconomic reforms and the RSF for climate resilience, came after record inflation and devastating floods pushed millions into poverty.

Since then, the IMF says implementation has remained strong, with fiscal and monetary tightening restoring a measure of stability. The current-account balance recorded a surplus for the first time in 14 years, inflation has eased and external buffers have improved.

“Supported by the EFF, Pakistan’s economic program is entrenching macroeconomic stability and rebuilding market confidence,” said Iva Petrova, who led the IMF mission.

“The recovery remains on track, with the FY25 current account recording a surplus — the first in 14 years — the fiscal primary balance surpassing the program target, inflation remaining contained, external buffers strengthening, and financial conditions improving.”

The Fund said the Pakistani authorities had reaffirmed their commitment to the reform agenda, including sustaining a fiscal surplus of 1.6 percent of GDP in FY26, tightening monetary policy to keep inflation within the State Bank’s 5–7 percent target range, and continuing structural changes to restore the energy sector’s viability and prevent circular-debt accumulation.

However, the IMF warned that recent floods, which have affected about 7 million people and caused more than 1,000 deaths, had darkened Pakistan’s outlook, particularly for agriculture, and could drag FY26 growth down to around 3.3–3.5 percent.

“The floods underscore Pakistan’s high vulnerability to natural disasters and substantial climate-related risks, and the continuing need to build climate resilience,” Petrova said.

The IMF also noted progress on climate and governance reforms under the RSF, including steps to promote green mobility, improve disaster-risk financing and strengthen water-system resilience.


Islamabad dismisses claims about paying up to 8 percent interest on foreign loans as ‘misleading’

Updated 22 February 2026
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Islamabad dismisses claims about paying up to 8 percent interest on foreign loans as ‘misleading’

  • Pakistan has long relied on external loans to help bridge persistent gaps in public finances and foreign exchange reserves
  • Pakistan’s total external debt, liabilities stand at $138 billion at an overall average cost of around 4 percent, ministry says

KARACHI: Pakistan’s finance ministry on Sunday dismissed as “misleading” claims that the country is paying up to 8 percent interest on external loans, saying the overall average cost of external public debt is approximately 4 percent.

Pakistan has long relied on external loans to help bridge persistent gaps in public finances and foreign exchange reserves, driven largely by a narrow tax base, chronic trade deficits, rising debt-servicing costs and repeated balance-of-payments pressures.

Over the decades, successive governments have turned to multilateral and bilateral lenders, including the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank and the Asian Development Bank, to support budgetary needs and shore up foreign exchange reserves.

The finance ministry on Sunday issued a clarification in response to a “recent press commentary” regarding the country’s external debt position and associated interest payments, and said the figures required contextual explanation to ensure accurate understanding of Pakistan’s external debt profile.

“Pakistan’s total external debt and liabilities currently stand at $138 billion. This figure, however, encompasses a broad range of obligations, including public and publicly guaranteed debt, debt of Public Sector Enterprises (both guaranteed and non-guaranteed), bank borrowings, private-sector external debt, and intercompany liabilities to direct investors. It is therefore important to distinguish this aggregate figure from External Public (Government) Debt, which amounts to approximately $92 billion,” it said.

“Of the total External Public Debt, nearly 75 percent comprises concessional and long-term financing obtained from multilateral institutions (excluding the IMF) and bilateral development partners. Only about 7 percent of this debt consists of commercial loans, while another 7 percent relates to long-term Eurobonds. In light of this composition, the claim that Pakistan is paying interest on external loans ‘up to 8 percent’ is misleading.

The overall average cost of External Public Debt is approximately 4 percent, reflecting the predominantly concessional nature of the borrowing portfolio.”

With respect to interest payments, public external debt interest outflows increased from $1.99 billion in Fiscal Year (FY) 2022 to $3.59 billion in FY2025, representing an increase of 80.4 percent, not 84 percent as reported. In absolute terms, interest payments rose by $1.60 billion over this period, not $1.67 billion, it said.

According to the State Bank of Pakistan’s records, Pakistan’s total debt servicing payments to specific creditors during the period under reference were as follows: the IMF received $1.50 billion, of which $580 million constituted interest; Naya Pakistan Certificates payments totaled $1.56 billion, including $94 million in interest; the Asian Development Bank received $1.54 billion, including $615 million in interest; the World Bank received $1.25 billion, including $419 million in interest; and external commercial loans amounted to nearly $3 billion, of which $327 million represented interest payments.

“While interest payments have increased in absolute terms, this rise cannot be attributed solely to an expansion in the debt stock,” the ministry said. “Although the overall debt stock has increased slightly since FY2022, the additional inflows have primarily originated from concessional multilateral sources and the IMF’s Extended Fund Facility (EFF) under the ongoing IMF-supported program.”

Pakistan secured a $7 billion IMF bailout in Sept. 2024 as part of Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s efforts to stabilize the South Asian economy that narrowly averted a default in 2023. The government has since been making efforts to boost trade and bring in foreign investment to consolidate recovery.

“It is also important to note that the increase in interest payments reflects prevailing global interest rate dynamics. In response to the inflation surge of 2021–22, the US Federal Reserve raised the federal funds rate from 0.75-1.00 percent in May 2022 to 5.25–5.50 percent by July 2023. Although rates have since moderated to around 3.75 percent, they remain significantly higher than 2022 levels,” the finance ministry said.

“The government remains committed to prudent debt management, transparency, and the continued strengthening of Pakistan’s macroeconomic stability,” it added.