Pakistan August inflation cools to 3 percent, flood impact looms

Vendors sell vegetables from makeshift stalls along a market in Karachi, Pakistan, June 10, 2025. (Reuters/File)
Short Url
Updated 01 September 2025
Follow

Pakistan August inflation cools to 3 percent, flood impact looms

  • Economists say widespread crop damage could quickly feed into higher food inflation
  • Floods have killed 35 and affected over 2.3 million, swamping more than 2,200 villages

KARACHI: Pakistan’s consumer price inflation slowed to 3.0 percent year-on-year in August from 4.1 percent in July, data showed on Monday, though economists warned that weeks of flooding in Punjab province could put food prices under renewed pressure.

The Finance Ministry last week projected August inflation in a 4.0-5.0 percent range — down from double-digit annual readings through much of last year — citing stable macroeconomic conditions, improved manufacturing and agricultural support.

But the ministry warned that extreme weather posed a threat to farm sector growth, even at a time of improved agricultural credit and fertilizer supplies.

Authorities in Punjab, the country’s breadbasket, said more than 2.3 million people were affected and 35 killed in the floods that swamped more than 2,200 villages after heavy monsoon rains.

Economists say widespread crop damage could quickly feed into higher food inflation, which had eased in August on account of lower perishable prices.

On a month-on-month basis, consumer price inflation fell 0.6 percent in August, the statistics bureau said.


IMF Executive Board to review $1.2 billion loan disbursement for Pakistan today

Updated 4 sec ago
Follow

IMF Executive Board to review $1.2 billion loan disbursement for Pakistan today

  • Pakistan, IMF reached a Staff-Level Agreement in October for second review of $7 billion Extended Fund, climate fund program
  • Economists view IMF bailout packages as essential for cash-strapped Pakistan grappling with a prolonged macroeconomic crisis

ISLAMABAD: The Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) is set to meet in Washington today to review a $1.2 billion loan disbursement for Pakistan, state media reported on Monday.

Pakistan and the IMF reached a Staff-Level Agreement (SLA) in October for the second review of a $7 billion Extended Fund Facility (EFF) and the first review of its $1.4 billion Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF). 

The agreement between the two sides took place after an IMF mission, led by the international lender’s representative Iva Petrova, held discussions with Pakistani authorities during a Sept. 24–Oct. 8 visit to Karachi, Islamabad and Washington D.C.

“The International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) Executive Board is set to meet in Washington today to review and approve $1.2 billion in loan for Pakistan,” state broadcaster Pakistan TV reported. 

Pakistan has been grappling with a prolonged macroeconomic crisis that has drained its financial resources and triggered a balance of payments crisis for the past couple of years. Islamabad, however, has reported some financial gains since 2022, which include recording a surplus in its current account and bringing inflation down considerably.

Economists view the IMF’s bailout packages as crucial for cash-strapped Pakistan, which has relied heavily on financing from bilateral partners such as Saudi Arabia, China and the United Arab Emirates, as well as multilateral lenders including the IMF, World Bank, Asian Development Bank and Islamic Development Bank. 

Speaking to Arab News last month, Pakistan’s former finance adviser Khaqan Najeeb said the $1.2 billion disbursement will further stabilize Pakistan’s near-term external position and unlock additional official inflows.

“Continued engagement also reinforces macro stability, as reflected in recent improvements in inflation, the current account, and reserve buffers,” Najeeb said.

Pakistan came close to sovereign default in mid-2023, when foreign exchange reserves fell below three weeks of import cover, inflation surged to a record 38% in May, and the country struggled to secure external financing after delays in its IMF program. Fuel shortages, import restrictions, and a rapidly depreciating rupee added to the pressure, while ratings agencies downgraded Pakistan’s debt and warned of heightened default risk.

The crisis eased only after Pakistan reached a last-minute Stand-By Arrangement with the IMF in June 2023, unlocking emergency support and preventing an immediate default.