Oil Updates — prices steady amid economic concerns, US rate decision awaited

Oil market participants are also awaiting the US Federal Open Market Committee meeting on July 29-30. File/Reuters
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Updated 29 July 2025
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Oil Updates — prices steady amid economic concerns, US rate decision awaited

  • Brent crude had hit highest level since July 18 on Monday
  • US and China officials at Stockholm for trade talks
  • Market looks to U.S. Fed Reserve interest rate decision -analyst

SINGAPORE: Oil prices were steady on Tuesday amid uncertainty about the global economic outlook following the US-EU trade deal, and as investors awaited the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision.

Brent crude futures were up 1 cent at $70.05 a barrel at 8:10 a.m. Saudi time, while US West Texas Intermediate crude was at $66.69, down 2 cents.

Both contracts settled more than 2 percent higher in the previous session, and Brent touched its highest level since July 18 on Monday.

The trade agreement between the US and the European Union, while imposing a 15 percent import tariff on most EU goods, sidestepped a full-blown trade war between the two major allies that would have rippled across nearly a third of global trade and dimmed the outlook for fuel demand.

The agreement also calls for $750 billion of EU purchases of US energy in the coming years, which analysts say the EU has virtually no chance of meeting, while European companies are to invest $600 billion in the US over the course of President Donald Trump’s second term.

While the US-EU trade deal finalization came as a relief for global markets amid heightened uncertainty, the timeline and milestones targeted for the investments are unclear, said ANZ analysts in a note.

“We think the 15 percent rate will pose headwinds to the Euro area’s growth outlook but is unlikely to push the economy into recession.”

Meanwhile, top economic officials from the US and China met in Stockholm on Monday for more than five hours of talks to resolve longstanding economic disputes at the center of a trade war between the world’s top two economies. The discussions are expected to resume on Tuesday.

Oil market participants are also awaiting the US Federal Open Market Committee meeting on July 29-30, where the Fed is widely expected to hold rates but could signal a dovish tilt amid signs of cooling inflation, said Priyanka Sachdeva, senior market analyst at brokerage Phillip Nova.

“Momentum favors the upside in the near term, but the market is vulnerable to volatility triggered by central bank surprises or a breakdown in trade negotiations,” said Sachdeva.

“The likelihood of an economic slowdown and the Federal Reserve’s potential rate cuts remain uncertain, limiting the upside in oil.”

Meanwhile, Trump set a new deadline on Monday of “10 or 12 days” for Russia to make progress toward ending the war in Ukraine or face sanctions. Trump has threatened sanctions on both Russia and buyers of its exports unless progress is made.


Global brands shut Middle East stores as conflict causes chaos

Updated 03 March 2026
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Global brands shut Middle East stores as conflict causes chaos

  • Luxury brands and retailers close stores in Middle East
  • Conflict threatens the region that has ‌been luxury’s fastest growing
  • Mass-market retailers monitor situation, adjust operations in region

PARIS: In Dubai and other major Middle Eastern shopping hubs, many stores are closed or operating with a skeleton staff as the escalating conflict in the ​region causes chaos for businesses and travel.

The US-Israeli air war against Iran expanded on Monday with no end in sight, with Tehran firing missiles and drones at Gulf states as it retaliates for a weekend of bombing that killed Iran’s supreme leader and reportedly killed scores of Iranian civilians, including a strike on a girls’ primary school.

Chalhoub Group, which runs 900 stores for brands from Versace and Jimmy Choo to Sephora across the region, said its stores in Bahrain were closed, while other markets, including the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Jordan remained open though staff attendance was “voluntary.”

“We operate with a lean team formed of members who volunteered and feel comfortable to come to the store,” Chalhoub’s Vice President of Communications Lynn al ‌Khatib told Reuters, adding ‌that the company’s leadership team personally visited Dubai Mall and Mall of the Emirates ​on ‌Monday ⁠morning to check ​in ⁠with workers.

E-commerce giant Amazon closed its fulfillment center operations in Abu Dhabi, suspended deliveries across the region and instructed its employees in Saudi Arabia and Jordan to remain indoors, Business Insider reported on Monday, citing an internal memo.

Gucci-owner Kering said its stores were temporarily closed in the UAE, Kuwait, Bahrain and Qatar and it has suspended travel to the Middle East.

Luxury growth engine under threat

Shares in luxury groups LVMH, Hermes, and Cartier-owner Richemont were down 4 percent to 5.7 percent on Monday afternoon as investors digested the knock-on impacts of the conflict.

The Middle East still accounts for a small share of global spending on luxury — between 5 percent and 10 percent, according ⁠to RBC analyst Piral Dadhania. But the region was “luxury’s brightest performer” last year, according to consultancy ‌Bain, while sales of expensive handbags have stalled in the rest of the ‌world.

Now, shuttered airports have put an abrupt stop to tourism flows into ​the region and missile strikes — including one that damaged Dubai’s ‌five-star Fairmont Palm hotel — are likely to dissuade travelers, particularly if the conflict drags on.

“If you assume that it’s ‌a $5 billion to $6 billion (travel retail) market and let’s say it’s going to be shut down for a month, we are talking about hundreds of millions of dollars that are definitely at risk,” said Victor Dijon, senior partner at consultancy Kearney.

If Middle Eastern shoppers cannot travel to Paris or Milan, that could also hurt luxury sales in Europe, he added.

Luxury brands have been investing in lavish new stores and exclusive events ‌across the region. Cartier unveiled a “high-jewelry” exhibition in Dubai’s Keturah Park just days before the conflict started.

Cartier and Richemont did not reply to requests for comment.

Luxury conglomerate LVMH ⁠has also bet big on ⁠the region. Last month, its flagship brand Louis Vuitton staged an exhibition at the Jumeirah Marsa Al Arab hotel, and beauty retailer Sephora launched its first Saudi beauty brand.

LVMH does not report specific figures for the region, but in January Chief Financial Officer Cecile Cabanis said the Middle East has been “displaying significant growth.” LVMH did not reply to a request for comment on how its business may be impacted by the conflict.

The Middle East has also attracted new investment from mass-market players. Budget fashion retailer Primark said in January that it plans to open three stores in Dubai in March, April and May, followed by stores in Bahrain and Qatar by the end of the year.

“Primark is set to open its first store in Dubai at the end of March but clearly this is a fast-moving situation which we are monitoring closely,” a spokesperson for Primark-owner Associated British Foods said.

Apple stores in Dubai will remain closed until Thursday morning, the company’s website showed, while Swedish fast-fashion retailer ​H&M said its stores in Bahrain and Israel are ​closed.

Consumer goods group Reckitt has told all employees in the Middle East to work from home, temporarily closed its Bahrain manufacturing site and suspended all business travel to the region until further notice.