Oil Updates — crude steady as investors weigh trade optimism against potential Venezuelan supply increase

Brent crude futures were up 20 cents, or 0.29 percent, at $69.38 a barrel by 8:19 a.m. Saudi time. Shutterstock
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Updated 25 July 2025
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Oil Updates — crude steady as investors weigh trade optimism against potential Venezuelan supply increase

  • EU says trade deal with US within reach
  • US prepares to allow limited oil operations in Venezuela, sources say

LONDON: Oil prices were steady on Friday, as trade talk optimism supported the outlook for both the global economy and oil demand, balancing news of the potential for more oil supply from Venezuela.

Brent crude futures were up 28 cents, or 0.4 percent, at $69.46 a barrel at 3:11 p.m. Saudi time. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were up 27 cents, or 0.41 percent, at $66.30.

Brent was heading for a 0.3 percent weekly gain at that level, while WTI was down around 1.5 percent from where it closed last week.

Brent prices have been largely range-bound between $67 and $70 a barrel for the last month, since the sharp drop in prices in late June after de-escalation in the Iran-Israel conflict.

Oil prices are “caught in largely a holding pattern brought about by inconclusive specific oil drivers,” PVM analyst John Evans said.

Oil, along with stock markets, gained support from the prospect of more deals between the US and trading partners ahead of an August 1 deadline for new tariffs on goods from an array of countries.

After the US and Japan secured a trade deal this week, two European diplomats said the EU was moving toward a deal involving a baseline US tariff of 15 percent on EU imports, plus possible exemptions.

“Trade talk optimism appears to be offsetting expectations for stronger Venezuelan supply,” ING analysts wrote in a client note on Friday.

The US is preparing to allow partners of Venezuela’s state-run PDVSA, starting with US oil major Chevron, to operate with limitations in the sanctioned nation, sources said on Thursday.

Venezuelan oil exports could consequently increase by a little more than 200,000 barrels per day, which would be welcome news for US refiners, as it would ease tightness in the heavier crude market, ING analysts wrote.

Prices were also supported this week by disruptions to Black Sea oil exports and Azeri BTC crude loading from the Turkish port of Ceyhan.

“Delays in deliveries from the Russian terminal on the Black Sea and the Turkish port on the Mediterranean are likely to have contributed to the Brent oil price rising back toward $70. Now that exports are back to normal, support for prices is likely to ease,” Commerzbank analyst Carsten Fritsch said.


Investment licenses in Saudi Arabia have increased 20-fold in 5 years 

Updated 56 min 57 sec ago
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Investment licenses in Saudi Arabia have increased 20-fold in 5 years 

RIYADH: The total number of investment licenses issued in Saudi Arabia rose 83.4 percent year on year in the third quarter of the current year to 6,986 licenses, excluding those issued under the campaign to correct the status of violators of the Anti-Concealment Law. 

According to the Financial Analysis Unit at Al-Eqtisadiah, investment licenses have increased twentyfold over the past five years, compared with 351 licenses in the third quarter of 2020.  

Since the announcement of Vision 2030 in 2016, foreign direct investment inflows have more than quadrupled. They grew by 24.2 percent last year to SR119.2 billion ($31.7 billion), marking the highest value and fastest growth rate in three years. This figure exceeds the annual target of SR109 billion by around 39 percent.     

By sector, most licenses issued during the third quarter of 2025 were concentrated in construction activity, accounting for around 37 percent of total licenses, with 2,583 licenses.   

This was followed by wholesale and retail trade with 1,214 licenses, representing 17 percent of the total. Manufacturing ranked third with 11 percent, bringing the combined share of the three sectors to 66 percent of total licenses.  

Wholesale and retail trade recorded the highest growth rate in investment licenses, with year-on-year growth of 234 percent, followed by the construction sector, human health and social work activities, education, and accommodation and food services, each posting growth of more than 100 percent.