Monsoon floods hitting key crops, says farmers’ body, amid risk to Pakistan’s growth target

In this picture taken on August 30, 2022 a labourer walks past cotton crops damaged by flood waters at Sammu Khan Bhanbro village in Sukkur, Sindh province. (AFP)
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Updated 27 July 2025
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Monsoon floods hitting key crops, says farmers’ body, amid risk to Pakistan’s growth target

  • Cotton arrivals fall 33 percent as rains hit production, according to the country’s ginners’ association
  • Pakistan’s Met department forecasts more monsoon rains in Punjab and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa

KARACHI: Deadly monsoon floods are devastating Pakistan’s standing crops, with cotton the worst hit, a leading farmers’ representative warned on Saturday, raising concerns about a potential setback to the government’s ambitious 4.2 percent growth target this fiscal year.

Over 270 people, mostly children, have died and hundreds more have been injured since June 26 as intense monsoon rains battered Punjab, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP), Sindh, Balochistan, Azad Kashmir, Gilgit-Baltistan and Islamabad, according to the National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA).

Around 1,200 houses, 12 bridges and 18 kilometers of road have also been damaged, along with more than 360 livestock killed.

“Cotton is the worst-hit crop, besides rice, maize and mango orchards,” Khalid Mehmood Khokhar, president of the Kissan Ittehad Council (KIC), told Arab News. “While most of the rice has already been sown, floods have disrupted the remaining cultivation.”

Agriculture contributes nearly 23 percent to Pakistan’s GDP and underpins key export sectors. Cotton, in particular, is a vital raw material for Pakistan’s textiles, which fetched $18 billion in exports last fiscal year. Pakistan also exported $3.4 billion worth of rice and $308 million in fruits, including mangoes.

The government aims to produce 10.1 million bales of cotton across Punjab, Sindh, KP and Balochistan in the ongoing financial year. But progress has been uneven.

In Sindh, the biggest cotton-producing province, only 65 percent of the sowing target has been met. Punjab, the second-largest grower, has achieved 90 percent of its target.

Pakistan’s agriculture sector grew just 0.6 percent during the last fiscal year, dragging overall GDP growth down to 2.7 percent.

Economists warn the impact of the floods could again weigh heavily on national output.

“These floods will definitely impact Pakistan’s growth target this year,” Sana Tawfik, head of research at Arif Habib Limited, said. “This is a serious concern.”

She projects GDP growth to be closer to 3.4 percent this year.

“Agriculture may once again be a major drag,” she added.

Khalid Abdullah, Pakistan’s former cotton commissioner, said rainfall was already affecting crop quality.

“Rains and cloudy weather have been consistent in some areas,” he said. “This not only increases weeds but also flares up fungus attacks. If this weather continues, the cotton seed may start germinating inside the boll, which would mean the crop is gone.”

As of July 15, cotton arrivals were down 33 percent year-on-year, according to Pakistan Cotton Ginners’ Association data, with only 297,751 bales entering markets nationwide.

The government has still not shared estimated economic damages from the ongoing monsoon season, though they may run into billions of dollars once again.

Pakistan is one of the world’s most climate-vulnerable countries. According to the Economic Survey 2024–25, it has suffered 224 extreme natural disasters, 109 of them floods, since 1980, in which more than 100 million people were affected, causing $36.4 billion in economic losses.

Three years ago, Pakistan experienced heavy monsoon rains that killed about 1,700 people and caused widespread destruction of houses, farms and public infrastructure.

The Pakistan Meteorological Department has forecast further rainfall in parts of Punjab and KP over the coming days, as the monsoon season continues in the country.


Pakistan to open today televised bidding for privatization of loss-making flag carrier PIA

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Pakistan to open today televised bidding for privatization of loss-making flag carrier PIA

  • Pakistan plans to privatize 75 percent of the carrier, while retaining its name and branding
  • Three contenders remain in race to buy the airline after Fauji Fertilizer Company’s withdrawal

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan is set to hold a live broadcast bidding process today, Tuesday, for the privatization of the Pakistan International Airlines (PIA), officials said, with three consortiums contending to buy the loss-making national flag carrier.

The government prequalified four investor groups in July, but Fauji Fertilizer Company, part of a military-backed conglomerate, withdrew from the process recently.

The remaining contenders include two consortiums led by Lucky Cement and Arif Habib Corporation, and a private airline Airblue.

Pakistan aims to privatize 75 percent of the carrier, while retaining its name and branding, according to PM Shehbaz Sharif’s office. The decision marks Islamabad’s most aggressive push in decades to reform the debt-ridden airline, which has accumulated more than $2.8 billion in losses.

Speaking to Arab News, Muhammad Ali, adviser to the prime minister on privatization, said the exit of Fauji Fertilizer Company from the bidding process does not preclude future collaboration.

“We don’t know if Fauji [Fertilizer Company] will partner or not with the winning bidder. However, they have withdrawn from the race,” he said.

The sealed bids will be submitted by the bidders at 10:30am on Tuesday.

“Reference price for PIACL’s (Pakistan International Airlines Corporation Limited) bidding will only be approved by the Privatization Commission Board and the Cabinet Committee on Privatization after bids have been received,” the government said in a statement on Monday.

“The bids will be opened in a ceremony starting at 3:30pm [on Tuesday] in the presence of the bidders. The bids and the reference prices will be announced and the bidding will be concluded as per agreed terms.”

PIA’s sale is a central to Islamabad’s economic reform agenda under a $7 billion bailout agreed last year with the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Officials say the airline’s privatization is essential to halt recurring losses, revive international routes and ease pressure on the budget.

This is Pakistan’s third attempt at PIA privatization, following a failed 2024 auction that received only one bid of $35 million that was far below the government’s nearly $300 million asking price, according to Privatization Commission records. Islamabad is targeting $302 million in privatization proceeds this year.

“Privatization of PIA will avoid burden on exchequer, expand airline’s fleet, improve service quality, create employment opportunities, and help Pakistan’s aviation, tourism and GDP (gross domestic product) to grow,” Ali said.

Once considered among Asia’s leading airlines, PIA has accumulated more than $2.8 billion in losses. The airline has struggled with chronic mismanagement, political interference, overstaffing, mounting debt and operational issues that led to a 2020 ban on flights to the European Union, United Kingdom and the United States (US) after a pilot licensing scandal, further shrinking PIA revenues.

Pakistan’s Finance Adviser Khurram Schehzad said PIA used to be the region’s “best airline” in the 70s and 80s, adding that Pakistani diaspora in various countries wants their own airline to flourish again.

“Airlines help turnaround the economy, promote growth, investment and economic activity through multiple ways,” he said, noting, “We are a country of 250 million people, with a huge diaspora.”

Former finance minister Miftah Ismail believed the airline’s privatization would benefit consumers and taxpayers even if it did not materially move the macroeconomic needle.

“PIA’s privatization will have a positive impact on the aviation industry,” he told Arab News. “There will be greater competition and hopefully better service for consumers. It will also save the money people of Pakistan have to pay every year for PIA to keep going.”

Ismail noted the government had already transferred around Rs800 billion ($2.85 billion) of PIA’s liabilities onto the public balance sheet ahead of the sale.

“So, PIA has lost 800 billion rupees of people’s money. That money is gone forever and the consumers will have to pay, but at least further losses will be cut,” he said.

To a question, he said the process of privatization was “transparent” this time around but cautioned that broader privatization momentum remains limited only to state assets like power companies, oil exploration groups and gas distribution companies.

Islamabad has launched a five-year privatization plan covering 24 state entities between 2024 and 2029, including the Roosevelt Hotel in New York, three banks, power distribution companies, and the Postal Life Insurance Company, according to the Privatization Commission.

Aviation industry veterans say structural constraints under state ownership doomed repeated turnaround plans for PIA.

Speaking to Arab News, former PIA chief executive officer Musharraf Rasool Cyan pointed to “pervasive interference” and “rigid” public-sector rules for the failure of PIA.

“Due to interference by institutions like the judiciary and even parliament, the management cannot take market-aligned decisions,” he said, citing non-performance-based contracts, slow procurement rules, union pressures and corruption.

Cyan said PIA failed to adapt as competition intensified from the 1990s, lagged in network optimization and technology, and suffered from weak accountability.

“The work culture became more political than professional,” he said, adding the airline now needs equity injections and a fleet renewal.