Pakistan stocks see strong recovery as Iran-Israel ceasefire reports boost investor sentiment

A stockbroker walks past share prices on a financial market board during a trading session at the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) in Karachi, Pakistan, on April 9, 2025. (AFP/File)
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Updated 24 June 2025
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Pakistan stocks see strong recovery as Iran-Israel ceasefire reports boost investor sentiment

  • US President Donald Trump said Monday that Israel and Iran had agreed to a ‘complete’ ceasefire to be phased in over 24 hours
  • Analyst says the momentum is likely to continue, with valuations still shy of a long-term mean and due to market-friendly budget

ISLAMABAD: The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) on Tuesday witnessed a strong recovery amid a reported ceasefire between Israel and Iran, traders and analysts said.

On Monday, United States (US) President Donald Trump said on social media that Israel and Iran had agreed to a “complete and total ceasefire” to be phased in over 24 hours.

The benchmark KSE-100 index surged by 6,079 points, or 5.23 percent, to close at 122,246 points on Tuesday afternoon, compared to the previous day’s close of 116,167 points.

“Stocks closed near all-time high after Iran, Israel agreed to a ceasefire receding fears of escalation in the Middle East tensions,” Ahsan Mehanti of Arif Habib Corporation told Arab News.

“Upbeat economic data on cement sales for Jul-May’25, bull run in global equities and receding fears over high inflation, impact on exports for supply disruptions over Middle East conflict played a catalyst role in the record bullish close.”

Raza Jafri, head of research at Intermarket Securities Ltd., attributed the momentum to reduction in international oil prices along with settling regional tensions.

In volatile trading on Tuesday, crude futures slumped more than five percent after Trump’s declaration of the Iran-Israel ceasefire.

“With valuations still shy of a long-term mean and Pakistan having recently unveiled a market-friendly budget, bullish momentum is expected to continue,” Jafri added.

On Monday, Pakistan’s stocks and currency markets had tumbled as investors reacted to the US foray into the Israel-Iran conflict a day earlier.

Monday’s 3.2 percent fall to 116,167 points was the worst since May 8, when the index had plunged 5.9 percent day-on-day during the India-Pakistan military standoff.


Pakistan to open today televised bidding for privatization of loss-making flag carrier PIA

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Pakistan to open today televised bidding for privatization of loss-making flag carrier PIA

  • Pakistan plans to privatize 75 percent of the carrier, while retaining its name and branding
  • Three contenders remain in race to buy the airline after Fauji Fertilizer Company’s withdrawal

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan is set to hold a live broadcast bidding process today, Tuesday, for the privatization of the Pakistan International Airlines (PIA), officials said, with three consortiums contending to buy the loss-making national flag carrier.

The government prequalified four investor groups in July, but Fauji Fertilizer Company, part of a military-backed conglomerate, withdrew from the process recently.

The remaining contenders include two consortiums led by Lucky Cement and Arif Habib Corporation, and a private airline Airblue.

Pakistan aims to privatize 75 percent of the carrier, while retaining its name and branding, according to PM Shehbaz Sharif’s office. The decision marks Islamabad’s most aggressive push in decades to reform the debt-ridden airline, which has accumulated more than $2.8 billion in losses.

Speaking to Arab News, Muhammad Ali, adviser to the prime minister on privatization, said the exit of Fauji Fertilizer Company from the bidding process does not preclude future collaboration.

“We don’t know if Fauji [Fertilizer Company] will partner or not with the winning bidder. However, they have withdrawn from the race,” he said.

The sealed bids will be submitted by the bidders at 10:30am on Tuesday.

“Reference price for PIACL’s (Pakistan International Airlines Corporation Limited) bidding will only be approved by the Privatization Commission Board and the Cabinet Committee on Privatization after bids have been received,” the government said in a statement on Monday.

“The bids will be opened in a ceremony starting at 3:30pm [on Tuesday] in the presence of the bidders. The bids and the reference prices will be announced and the bidding will be concluded as per agreed terms.”

PIA’s sale is a central to Islamabad’s economic reform agenda under a $7 billion bailout agreed last year with the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Officials say the airline’s privatization is essential to halt recurring losses, revive international routes and ease pressure on the budget.

This is Pakistan’s third attempt at PIA privatization, following a failed 2024 auction that received only one bid of $35 million that was far below the government’s nearly $300 million asking price, according to Privatization Commission records. Islamabad is targeting $302 million in privatization proceeds this year.

“Privatization of PIA will avoid burden on exchequer, expand airline’s fleet, improve service quality, create employment opportunities, and help Pakistan’s aviation, tourism and GDP (gross domestic product) to grow,” Ali said.

Once considered among Asia’s leading airlines, PIA has accumulated more than $2.8 billion in losses. The airline has struggled with chronic mismanagement, political interference, overstaffing, mounting debt and operational issues that led to a 2020 ban on flights to the European Union, United Kingdom and the United States (US) after a pilot licensing scandal, further shrinking PIA revenues.

Pakistan’s Finance Adviser Khurram Schehzad said PIA used to be the region’s “best airline” in the 70s and 80s, adding that Pakistani diaspora in various countries wants their own airline to flourish again.

“Airlines help turnaround the economy, promote growth, investment and economic activity through multiple ways,” he said, noting, “We are a country of 250 million people, with a huge diaspora.”

Former finance minister Miftah Ismail believed the airline’s privatization would benefit consumers and taxpayers even if it did not materially move the macroeconomic needle.

“PIA’s privatization will have a positive impact on the aviation industry,” he told Arab News. “There will be greater competition and hopefully better service for consumers. It will also save the money people of Pakistan have to pay every year for PIA to keep going.”

Ismail noted the government had already transferred around Rs800 billion ($2.85 billion) of PIA’s liabilities onto the public balance sheet ahead of the sale.

“So, PIA has lost 800 billion rupees of people’s money. That money is gone forever and the consumers will have to pay, but at least further losses will be cut,” he said.

To a question, he said the process of privatization was “transparent” this time around but cautioned that broader privatization momentum remains limited only to state assets like power companies, oil exploration groups and gas distribution companies.

Islamabad has launched a five-year privatization plan covering 24 state entities between 2024 and 2029, including the Roosevelt Hotel in New York, three banks, power distribution companies, and the Postal Life Insurance Company, according to the Privatization Commission.

Aviation industry veterans say structural constraints under state ownership doomed repeated turnaround plans for PIA.

Speaking to Arab News, former PIA chief executive officer Musharraf Rasool Cyan pointed to “pervasive interference” and “rigid” public-sector rules for the failure of PIA.

“Due to interference by institutions like the judiciary and even parliament, the management cannot take market-aligned decisions,” he said, citing non-performance-based contracts, slow procurement rules, union pressures and corruption.

Cyan said PIA failed to adapt as competition intensified from the 1990s, lagged in network optimization and technology, and suffered from weak accountability.

“The work culture became more political than professional,” he said, adding the airline now needs equity injections and a fleet renewal.