Met office forecasts 25% above-normal monsoon rain for Pakistan this year

People wade through flood waters after heavy monsoon rains in Multan, Pakistan, on August 30, 2024. (AFP/File)
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Updated 17 June 2025
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Met office forecasts 25% above-normal monsoon rain for Pakistan this year

  • Punjab’s disaster management agency says it has made arrangements to deal with the risk of flooding
  • Pakistan has witnessed extreme weather like heatwaves, droughts and devastating floods in recent years

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan is likely to experience 25 percent more rainfall than average during the upcoming monsoon season, officials said on Tuesday, with the country’s most populous province, Punjab, rolling out preparedness measures to address urban flooding and other climate-related emergencies.

The warning comes as Pakistan continues to suffer the effects of increasingly frequent and intense weather events, including heatwaves, droughts and devastating floods. Although the country contributes less than one percent to global carbon emissions, it remains among the most climate-vulnerable nations in the world.

Punjab’s Provincial Disaster Management Authority (PDMA) Director General Irfan Ali Kathia visited the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) headquarters in Lahore to assess forecasts and coordination efforts ahead of the seasonal rains.

“This year’s monsoon rainfall is expected to be 25 percent above normal levels,” officials said during a briefing. “The heaviest rains are forecast for the month of August.”

During the visit, Chief Meteorologist Zahir Babar provided a detailed overview of the seasonal outlook and flood forecasting mechanisms, while emphasizing the importance of early warnings in major cities like Lahore, Multan, Faisalabad and Gujranwala to minimize urban flood impacts.

Kathia said all necessary arrangements have been completed to manage the risk of flooding during the monsoon.

He stressed that a joint response plan must be implemented by all concerned departments to deal with cloudburst events and urban flooding.

Pakistan experienced catastrophic monsoon rains in 2022 that submerged large parts of the country, killing nearly 1,700 people and causing damage to homes, farmland and infrastructure exceeding $35 billion, according to government and UN estimates.

Officials also reviewed the flood early warning system for hill torrents and the control room operations for real-time monitoring of river flows under the Flood Forecasting Division.

Kathia praised the Meteorological Department’s coordination and technical preparedness, calling the working relationship between the PMD and PDMA Punjab “excellent.”


Pakistan says 41 suspected militants killed in operations in restive Balochistan province

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Pakistan says 41 suspected militants killed in operations in restive Balochistan province

  • Military says intelligence-based raids carried out in Harnai and Panjgur districts
  • Islamabad repeats claim militants backed by New Delhi, an allegation India denies

ISLAMABAD: Pakistani security forces killed 41 suspected militants in two separate intelligence-based operations in the southwestern province of Balochistan, the military said on Thursday, alleging the fighters were linked to India. 

The operations were carried out in the districts of Harnai and Panjgur in Balochistan, Pakistan’s largest but least developed province and home to a long running separatist insurgency that frequently targets security personnel, government infrastructure and non-local residents.

“On 29 January 2026, 41 terrorists belonging to Indian proxy, Fitna al Khwarij and Fitna al Hindustan, were killed in two separate operations in Balochistan,” the military’s media wing, Inter-Services Public Relations (ISPR), said in a statement.

According to the ISPR, 30 militants were killed in Harnai district following a “heavy exchange of fire,” during which security forces also destroyed a cache of recovered weapons and explosives.

In a separate intelligence-based operation in Panjgur district, the military said 11 additional suspected militants were killed after security forces raided a hideout.

“Besides weapons and ammunition, looted money from bank robbery in Panjgur on 15 December 2025 were also recovered from the killed terrorists,” the statement said.
“The terrorists were involved in numerous terrorist activities in the past.”

Pakistan’s military and government frequently use the terms “Fitna al Khwarij” and “Fitna al Hindustan” to describe militant groups it associates with the Pakistani Taliban and alleged Indian support.

The ISPR said follow-up “sanitization operations” were underway to eliminate any remaining militants in the area, describing them as “Indian-sponsored terrorists.”

Islamabad has repeatedly accused India of backing separatist groups in Balochistan to destabilize Pakistan, an allegation New Delhi denies.

Earlier this month, Pakistan’s counterterrorism police said they killed five militants planning attacks on security forces and an attempt to block the Quetta–Sibi highway, a key transport route. On Jan. 25, the military also reported killing three militants, including a local commander, in an intelligence-based operation in Panjgur.

Balochistan is strategically important due to its vast mineral resources and its role as a transit corridor for the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), a multibillion-dollar infrastructure initiative linking Pakistan with China.

Separatist groups such as the Balochistan Liberation Army (BLA) accuse Islamabad of exploiting the province’s natural resources without fair local benefit, a claim the government rejects.