Strong fiscal frameworks position Saudi Arabia to weather oil price swings, says minister

Saudi Minister of Economy and Planning Faisal Alibrahim speaks at a panel during the Qatar Economic Forum in Doha. Screenshot/Qatar Economic Forum
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Updated 20 May 2025
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Strong fiscal frameworks position Saudi Arabia to weather oil price swings, says minister

  • Minister of economy and planning said Kingdom has built resilient economic structures to adapt to multiple oil price scenarios
  • Faisal Alibrahim said the Saudi budgets are no longer driven by oil

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia is well-prepared to handle fluctuations in global oil prices, thanks to its strong fiscal planning frameworks, according to the Kingdom’s Minister of Economy and Planning, Faisal Alibrahim.

Speaking at the Qatar Economic Forum during a panel discussion titled “The Geoeconomics of Growth: Finance & Economy Minister Outlook,” Alibrahim said Saudi Arabia has built resilient economic structures designed to adapt to multiple oil price scenarios.

The comments come as oil-producing nations continue to navigate price volatility amid shifting global demand and energy transition efforts.

“We’re always ready for scenarios, multiple scenarios, and we have the buffers. We have the long-term fiscal planning and medium-term frameworks that help us adjust depending on what scenario actually plays out,” the minister said. 

The world’s largest oil exporter is accelerating its economic diversification under the Vision 2030 reform agenda. Non-oil exports surged to a record $137 billion in 2024 — a 113 percent increase since the initiative was launched in 2016.

According to data from the Ministry of Finance, non-oil revenues accounted for 43.1 percent of total government income in the first quarter of 2025, representing a 2.06 percent increase compared to the same period last year.

Alibrahim noted that the Saudi budgets are no longer driven by oil. “Today, they’re driven by our priorities,” he added. “On the energy markets and oil, we’ve always been solving for long-term market stability that guarantees that investments will continue to flow to provide the right kind of supply that the global economy needs, and of course, as part of that is OPEC+ discipline.” 

The minister noted that Gulf Cooperation Council countries, including Saudi Arabia, are prioritizing long-term growth over short-term gains. “We’re always thinking about not the next 12 months, but a longer-term horizon, and that’s what most of the GCC countries are doing as well,” he added.   

Alibrahim also underscored Saudi Arabia’s commitment to Vision 2030 and beyond, stating that Gulf nations are undergoing similar transformations. “What we’re undertaking in Vision 2030 and beyond Vision 2030 is a long-term, big-picture plan that is all about restructuring the Saudi economy,” he said.   

Highlighting the region’s economic progress, the minister pointed out that non-oil economies in the GCC grew by 3.7 percent in 2024 — nearly double the global growth rate. “There’s an acknowledgement that we’ve been for a while operating below our potential,” he said, emphasizing the increasing opportunities from economic restructuring.   

On foreign investment, Alibrahim described it as a “long-term game,” with Saudi Arabia targeting FDI inflows worth 5.7 percent of the gross domestic product by 2030. The Kingdom has implemented over 900 reforms to improve its business environment, he noted. 

Alibrahim also referenced recent geopolitical developments, including US President Donald Trump’s recent visit to Riyadh — part of a broader push for regional dialogue.

“We saw President Trump in Riyadh last week. We saw the result of dialogue, what it led to, including lifting the sanctions on Syria,” he said, signaling growing momentum for economic reintegration. 

On May 13, Trump began his four-day trip to the Middle East, his first major international visit of his second term. His first stop was Saudi Arabia, where he secured a $600 billion investment commitment from the Kingdom. During his speech at the Saudi-US Investment Forum, Trump announced the lifting of US sanctions on Syria following talks with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. 

The discussion shifted to Syria’s role in regional stability, with Turkish Finance Minister Mehmet Simsek stating: “Having a stable, peaceful, and prospering Syria on its own is a huge gain for the region.” Qatar’s Finance Minister Ali bin Ahmed Al-Kuwari echoed this sentiment, emphasizing the importance of Syria’s economic recovery for regional prosperity.   

Aibrahim also addressed Saudi Arabia’s international engagements, including recent diplomatic efforts with the US and China, stressing the need for stronger global economic ties. “It’s in the interest of both (the US and China) that we remain strong partners,” he said. 


Closing Bell: Saudi main index rises to 10,894

Updated 13 January 2026
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Closing Bell: Saudi main index rises to 10,894

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul All Share Index extended its upward trend for a third consecutive day this week, gaining 148.18 points, or 1.38 percent, to close at 10,893.63 on Tuesday. 

The total trading turnover of the benchmark index stood at SR6.05 billion ($1.61 billion), with 144 listed stocks advancing and 107 declining. 

The Kingdom’s parallel market Nomu also rose by 81.35 points to close at 23,668.29. 

The MSCI Tadawul Index edged up 1.71 percent to 1,460.89. 

The best-performing stock on the main market was Zahrat Al Waha for Trading Co., with its share price advancing 10 percent to SR2.75. 

Shares of CHUBB Arabia Cooperative Insurance Co. increased 8.27 percent to SR23.04, while Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati for Bookstores Co. saw its stock climb 6.17 percent to SR50.60. 

Conversely, the share price of Naseej International Trading Co. declined 9.90 percent to SR31.48. 

On the announcements front, Arabian Drilling Co. said it secured three contract extensions for land rigs with energy giant Saudi Aramco, totaling SR1.4 billion and adding 25 active rig years to its backlog. 

In a Tadawul statement, the company said one rig is currently operational, the second will begin operations by the end of January, and the third — currently suspended — is expected to resume operations in 2026. 

Since November 2025, Arabian Drilling has secured seven contract extensions amounting to SR3.4 billion, representing 55 committed rig years. 

The three contracts have durations of 10 years, 10 years, and five years, respectively.

“Securing a total of SR1.4 billion in new contracts and expanding our backlog by 25 rig-years demonstrates both the trust our clients place in us and our ability to consistently deliver quality and reliability,” said Ghassan Mirdad, CEO of Arabian Drilling, in a statement. 

Shares of Arabian Drilling Co. rose 3.15 percent to SR104.70. 

Separately, Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co. said it signed a 36-month contract valued at SR43.35 million with National Water Co. to operate and maintain water networks, pumping stations, wells, reservoirs, and related facilities in Tabuk. 

In October, Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co. announced it had been awarded the contract by NWC. 

In a Tadawul statement, the company said the financial impact of the deal began in the fourth quarter of 2025. 

The share price of Alkhorayef Water and Power Technologies Co. declined 0.49 percent to SR120.70.