Pakistan to get $1 billion IMF tranche today, no large fiscal impact of India standoff — finmin

Pakistan Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb participates in a panel titled “Navigating an Uncertain World” during the 2025 annual IMF/World Bank Spring Meetings in Washington DC, US, on April 25, 2025. (REUTERS/File)
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Updated 13 May 2025
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Pakistan to get $1 billion IMF tranche today, no large fiscal impact of India standoff — finmin

  • IMF last week approved fresh $1.4 billion climate loan, $1 billion under bailout program 
  • Successful review approval brings disbursements to $2 billion within $7 billion loan program

KARACHI: Pakistan is expected to receive a $1 billion loan disbursement from the IMF today, Tuesday, as part of a larger $7 billion bailout agreement, Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb has said.

The IMF last Friday approved a fresh $1.4 billion loan to Pakistan under its climate resilience fund and approved the first review of its $7 billion program, freeing about $1 billion in cash. The review approval brings disbursements to $2 billion within the $7 billion program. 

In a statement released after a virtual meeting on Monday between Aurangzeb and Johana Chua, head of emerging markets economies for Citigroup Global Markets, the finance ministry confirmed that Pakistan would receive the latest IMF tranche on Tuesday.

“The Minister also apprised the participants of the successful conclusion of a Staff Level Agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) under the Extended Fund Facility (EFF), with the next tranche expected to be received tomorrow [Tuesday],” the statement said. 

“He further mentioned the approval of the Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF), calling it a milestone achievement for Pakistan.”

The loan disbursement comes amid a military standoff with arch-rival India, though Aurangzeb told Reuters in an interview on Monday the conflict would not have a large fiscal impact on Pakistan.

The finance minister described the conflict as a “short duration escalation” with minimal fiscal impact, stating it can be “accommodated within the fiscal space which is available to the government of Pakistan.”

When questioned about potential increased military spending in the upcoming budget, Aurangzeb deferred comment, saying it was premature to discuss specific plans. However, he said: “Whatever we need to do in terms of ensuring that our defense requirements are met will be met.”

Aurangzeb said he expects the Indus Water Treaty, which India unilaterally suspended, to be reinstated and rolled back to where it was.

He said there is not going to be any immediate impact from India’s suspension and Pakistan does not “even want to consider any scenario which does not take into account the reinstatement of this treaty.”

Tensions between India and Pakistan began mounting after the April 22 attack in Indian-administered Kashmir on Hindu tourists that killed 26 people, sparking the worst clashes between the nuclear-armed neighbors in more than two decades.

On Saturday, a ceasefire in the Himalayan region was announced by US President Donald Trump, following four days of fighting and diplomacy and pressure from Washington.

Pakistan’s federal budget for the next fiscal year, starting July, will be finalized within the next four weeks, with scheduled budget talks with the IMF to take place from May 14-23, according to the finance ministry. 


With inputs from Reuters
 


Pakistani companies likely to raise over $89 million in new stock listings this year

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Pakistani companies likely to raise over $89 million in new stock listings this year

  • Farrukh H. Sabzwari says approvals for two listings already granted while 10 more Initial Public Offerings are expected over next 12 months
  • Economists expect KSE-100 index to reach 208,000 points by Dec., reflecting pent-up demand, strategic expansions and broader investor appetite

KARACHI: The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) expects at least a dozen new listings this year, the PSX chief executive officer said on Monday, with the new entrants likely to raise as much as Rs25 billion ($89.3 million) in funding through the equity market.

Pakistan’s benchmark KSE-100 index has rallied to new highs and recorded returns of around 50 percent in Calendar Year (CY) 2025. The market closed at 182,384 points on Monday.

Around 135,000 new investors have also joined the PSX over the last 18 months, according to Pakistani state media.

“Continuing with the momentum, in CY2026, approvals for two Main Board listings have been granted,” PSX CEO Farrukh H. Sabzwari, who has previously served as a local partner of BoA Merrill Lynch and country head of CLSA Emerging Markets in Pakistan, told Arab News.

“PSX is expecting 10 more IPOs (Initial Public Offerings) over next 12 months across various sectors.”

Pakistan’s growing stocks mirror the country’s stabilizing economy which Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s government expects would expand 3.9 percent this fiscal year through June with the help of the International Monetary Fund’s reforms-oriented $7 billion loan program.

The new IPOs would cover food, pharmaceutical, real estate investment trust (REIT), engineering, technology, oil and gas marketing, insurance, auto parts, manufacturing and energy sectors of the economy, according to Sabzwari.

Last year, the PSX listed Zarea Limited, Barkat Frisian Agro Limited, Image REIT, Pak Qatar Family Takaful, Blue-Ex Limited, Nets International Communication Limited and the Pakistan Credit Rating Agency Limited. These listings helped companies raise Rs4.3 billion ($15.4 million) of funding.

In addition, the PSX debt market witnessed seven issuances, valuing Rs10.5 billion ($37.5 million). Pakistan’s finance ministry raises funds through PSX by selling borrowing instruments like Islamic sukuk.

The PSX recorded the highest eight IPOs in a single year in 2021, according to Shankar Talreja, head of research at Topline Securities Ltd. It would be a record if the market lists 12 new entrants this year.

Sana Tawfiq, an economist at Karachi-based brokerage research firm AHL, described the market performance last year as “exceptional.”

“With projected fundraising of up to Rs25 billion ($89.3 million), the upcoming pipeline reflects pent-up demand, strategic expansions, and a broader investor appetite,” she said.

Tawfiq expects the KSE-100 index to reach 208,000 points by Dec. this year.

“As we look toward 2026, Pakistan’s equity market is entering a phase defined by stability, depth, and sustainable growth,” the economist said.

“The market is now transitioning toward a more measured trajectory.”

Key drivers in 2026 would likely include sustained domestic liquidity in equities, strengthening foreign reserves and a contained current account deficit, successful completion of the Pakistan International Airlines (PIA) privatization alongside accelerating progress on privatization and restructuring of power distribution companies (DISCOs), continued efforts to resolve circular debt in both power and gas sectors, and supportive global commodity prices, according to Tawfiq.

In a recent note to its clients, Topline Securities said the current IPO momentum was driven by macroeconomic stability under the IMF program, improving investor confidence and a declining interest rate environment.

Pakistan’s central bank last month cut its interest rate by 50 basis points to 10.5 percent in a surprising move aimed at boosting economic growth in the inflation-hit country.

“Despite ongoing geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainties, investor sentiment continues to improve,” it said.