Oil Update — crude falls as traders weigh potential US-China trade talks

Brent crude futures were down 56 cents, or 0.9 percent, to $61.57 a barrel at 3:02 p.m. Saudi time. Shutterstock
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Updated 02 May 2025
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Oil Update — crude falls as traders weigh potential US-China trade talks

LONDON: Oil prices fell on Friday as traders squared positions ahead of an OPEC+ meeting and amid some caution about a potential de-escalation of the trade dispute between China and the US.

Brent crude futures were down 56 cents, or 0.9 percent, to $61.57 a barrel at 3:02 p.m. Saudi time, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell 61 cents, or 1 percent, to $58.63 a barrel.

For the week, Brent and WTI were on track for 7 percent drops, the biggest weekly declines in a month.

China’s Commerce Ministry said on Friday that Beijing was “evaluating” a proposal from Washington to hold talks aimed at addressing US President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs, signalling a possible easing of the trade tensions that have rattled global markets.

“There is some optimism when it comes to US-China relations but the signs are only very tentative,” said Harry Tchilinguirian, group head of research at Onyx Capital Group. “It’s still very fluid, a one step forward, two steps back situation when it comes to tariffs.”

Concerns that the broader trade war could push the global economy into a recession and crimp oil demand, just as the OPEC+ group is preparing to raise output, have weighed heavily on oil prices in recent weeks.

Complicating any talks was a threat from Trump to impose secondary sanctions on buyers of Iranian oil. China is the world’s largest importer of Iran’s crude.

Trump’s comments followed a postponement of US talks with Iran over its nuclear program. He had previously restored a “maximum pressure” campaign against Iran, which included efforts to drive the country’s oil exports to zero to help prevent Tehran from developing a nuclear weapon.

Oil prices gained late in Thursday’s session to settle nearly 2 percent higher on Trump’s remarks, erasing some of the losses recorded earlier in the week on expectations of more OPEC+ supply coming to the market.

“With non-OPEC+ supply rising robustly and global demand growth facing structural decline, we see no natural re-entry point for these barrels and, ultimately, the group will likely have to endure some price pain no matter when it unwinds its cuts,” Fitch’s BMI research unit said in a note. 


Kuwait to boost Islamic finance with sukuk regulation

Updated 05 February 2026
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Kuwait to boost Islamic finance with sukuk regulation

  • The move supports sustainable financing and is part of Kuwait’s efforts to diversify its oil-dependent economy

RIYADH: Kuwait is planning to introduce legislation to regulate the issuance of sukuk, or Islamic bonds, both domestically and internationally, as part of efforts to support more sustainable financing for the oil-rich Gulf nation, Prime Minister Sheikh Ahmad Abdullah Al-Ahmad Al-Sabah said on Wednesday.

Speaking at the World Governments Summit in Dubai, Al-Sabah highlighted that Kuwait is exploring a variety of debt instruments to diversify its economy. The country has been implementing fiscal reforms aimed at stimulating growth and controlling its budget deficit amid persistently low oil prices. Hydrocarbons continue to dominate Kuwait’s revenue stream, accounting for nearly 90 percent of government income in 2024.

The Gulf Cooperation Council’s debt capital market is projected to exceed $1.25 trillion by 2026, driven by project funding and government initiatives, representing a 13.6 percent expansion, according to Fitch Ratings.

The region is expected to remain one of the largest sources of US dollar-denominated debt and sukuk issuance among emerging markets. Fitch also noted that cross-sector economic diversification, refinancing needs, and deficit funding are key factors behind this growth.

“We are about to approve the first legislation regulating issuance of government sukuk locally and internationally, in accordance with Islamic laws,” Al-Sabah said.

“This enables us to deal with financial challenges flexibly and responsibly, and to plan for medium and long-term finances.”

Kuwait returned to global debt markets last year with strong results, raising $11.25 billion through a three-part bond sale — the country’s first US dollar issuance since 2017 — drawing substantial investor demand. In March, a new public debt law raised the borrowing ceiling to 30 billion dinars ($98 billion) from 10 billion dinars, enabling longer-term borrowing.

The Gulf’s debt capital markets, which totaled $1.1 trillion at the end of the third quarter of 2025, have evolved from primarily sovereign funding tools into increasingly sophisticated instruments serving governments, banks, and corporates alike. As diversification efforts accelerate and refinancing cycles intensify, regional issuers have become regular participants in global debt markets, reinforcing the GCC’s role in emerging-market capital flows.

In 2025, GCC countries accounted for 35 percent of all emerging-market US dollar debt issuance, excluding China, with growth in US dollar sukuk issuance notably outpacing conventional bonds. The region’s total outstanding debt capital markets grew more than 14 percent year on year, reaching $1.1 trillion.