Middle East airlines witness 3.3% passenger demand growth in February: IATA 

Carriers in the Middle East handled 9.4 percent of global passengers in February, a figure that remained unchanged from January. Shutterstock
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Updated 01 April 2025
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Middle East airlines witness 3.3% passenger demand growth in February: IATA 

RIYADH: Airlines operating in the Middle East recorded a 3.3 percent year-on-year increase in passenger demand in February, with total flight capacity rising 1.3 percent during the same period, an industry report showed. 

The latest data from the International Air Transport Association revealed global passenger demand, both domestic and international, increased by 2.6 percent over the second month of the year. 

This growth comes as many Middle Eastern countries focus on boosting the aviation sector to help diversify their economies away from oil dependency, with Saudi Arabia seeking to triple passenger numbers by 2030 compared to 2019 levels.

Commenting on the latest report, Willie Walsh, director general of IATA, said: “February traffic hit an all-time high, and the number of scheduled flights is set to continue increasing in March and April.”  

The association added that the total load factor among carriers in the Middle East region stood at 82 percent in February, representing a rise of 1.6 percentage points compared to the same month in 2024. 

The load factor is a metric used in the aviation sector that measures the percentage of available seating capacity that has been filled with passengers.

A high load factor signifies that an airline has sold most of its available seats. 

IATA also reported that carriers in the Middle East handled 9.4 percent of global passengers in February, a figure that remained unchanged from January. 

Earlier this month, a report by consulting management firm Oliver Wyman stated that the fleet of commercial airlines in the Middle East is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 5.1 percent from 2025 to 2035, reaching 2,557 aircraft. 

It added that this growth rate in the Middle East is nearly double the annual global growth rate, which is projected at 2.8 percent during the same period. 

Affirming the progress of the aviation sector in the Middle East, Saudi Arabia is set to see its newest airline – the Public Investment Fund-backed Riyadh Air – take to the skies later this year, with the aim of flying to 100 countries by 2030. 

In October, Riyadh Air signed an agreement to purchase 60 Airbus A321neo single-aisle aircraft. 

In the same month, the company announced plans to order wide-body aircraft capable of seating more than 300 passengers in 2025. 




Riyadh Air is set to begin passenger flights this year. Shutterstock

According to IATA, international passenger demand growth increased by 5.6 percent in February compared to the same period in the previous year. 

However, international passenger demand growth was down compared to January, which witnessed a 12.3 percent rise. 

The report added that global domestic demand declined by 1.9 percent year on year in February. 

Africa witnessed a 6.8 percent rise in overall passenger demand, including both domestic and international, followed by Latin America at 4.6 percent, Europe at 4.3 percent, and Asia-Pacific at 4.2 percent. 

Air carriers operating in North America experienced a 3.2 percent decline in passenger demand. 

International passenger demand 

Airlines operating in the Asia-Pacific region led international passenger demand globally, marking a 9.5 percent growth in February compared to the same month in 2024. 

The total capacity of airlines in the APAC region rose by 8.3 percent year on year, while the load factor stood at 85.7 percent. 

APAC airlines handled 33.5 percent of global passengers in February, followed by Europe at 26.7 percent and North America at 22.9 percent. 

The report further indicated that international passenger demand among Middle East airlines increased by 3.1 percent in February compared to the same month in the previous year. 

The association also noted that the capacity of airlines in the Middle East region increased by 1.3 percent, while the load factor stood at 81.9 percent in February, representing a rise of 1.4 percentage points compared to the same month in 2023. 

According to IATA, international passenger demand among European air carriers rose by 5.7 percent year on year in February, while capacity increased by 4.9 percent during the same period. 

North American air carriers saw a 1.5 percent decline in international passenger demand growth, with capacity also decreasing by 3.2 percent. 

International passenger demand growth among Latin American airlines grew by 6.7 percent year on year in February, while capacity climbed by 9.9 percent. 

African airlines saw demand growth of 6.7 percent among international travelers. 

The capacity of these carriers also rose by 4 percent in February compared to the same month in 2024. 

Air cargo demand growth 




International cargo capacity increased slightly in February. Shutterstock

In a separate report, IATA revealed that air cargo demand declined slightly by 0.1 percent in February compared to the same period in the previous year, marking the first decline since mid-2023. 

Overall, cargo capacity, measured in available cargo tonne-km, decreased marginally by 0.4 percent year on year in February. 

The report added that international cargo capacity edged up by 1.1 percent over the month.

“February saw a small contraction in air cargo demand, the first year-on-year decline since mid-2023. Much of this is explained by February 2024 being extraordinary — a leap year that was also boosted by Chinese New Year traffic, sea lane closures, and a boom in e-commerce,” said Walsh. 

He added: “Rising trade tensions are, of course, a concern for air cargo. With equity markets already showing their discomfort, we urge governments to focus on dialogue over tariffs.” 

Airlines operating in the APAC region drove cargo demand growth in February. 

According to IATA, cargo demand growth among APAC airlines increased by 5.1 percent year-on-year, while capacity rose by 2.7 percent during the same period. 

Air carriers in the Middle East region witnessed an 11.9 percent year-on-year decrease in air cargo demand in February, the slowest among the regions. 

The capacity of air carriers in the Middle East also decreased by 4 percent in February. 

“North American carriers saw a 0.4 percent year-on-year decrease in demand growth for air cargo in February. Capacity decreased by 3.5 percent year-on-year,” said IATA. 

The air cargo demand growth among European airlines dropped marginally by 0.1 percent in February compared to the same month in 2024, while capacity slightly edged down by 0.2 percent. 

Air carriers operating in the Latin American region witnessed a 6 percent year on year cargo demand growth in February, the strongest rise among all regions. The capacity of these airlines also rose by 7.6 percent during the same period. 

“African airlines saw a 5.7 percent year-on-year decrease in demand for air cargo in February. Capacity decreased by 0.6 percent year-on-year,” added IATA. 

Looking at trade indicators, IATA said that the industrial production index rose 3.2 percent year-on-year in February, the highest growth in two years, while world trade expanded by 5 percent. 

In February, the Purchasing Managers’ Index for global manufacturing output stood at 51.5, indicating growth. 

The PMI for new export orders rose slightly to 49.6 from the previous month, remaining just shy of the 50-mark, which is the growth threshold. 

The report added that jet fuel prices averaged $94.6 per barrel in February, representing a 2.1 percent decline compared to January.


Middle East CEOs among the most confident globally, driven by investment momentum

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Middle East CEOs among the most confident globally, driven by investment momentum

RIYADH: CEOs in the Middle East remain among the most confident globally, with 88 percent expecting economic growth in their territories to strengthen, compared with a global average of 55 percent, according to a survey by PwC.

In its latest report, the professional services firm underlined that business chiefs in the Middle East continue to deploy capital, scale artificial intelligence and expand selectively into new sectors, supported by a strong investment momentum and long-term national transformation agendas.

Confidence in economic growth is even higher among CEOs in the Gulf Cooperation Council, with 93 percent of business leaders expressing an optimistic outlook for the future. 

The findings by PwC align with a report released by KPMG in November, which said that CEOs in the Middle East are entering 2026 with stronger confidence levels and a higher readiness to deploy AI responsibly than many of their international peers. 

Commenting on the latest analysis, Hani Ashkar, territory senior partner at PwC Middle East, said: “These findings reflect the strong underlying confidence we are seeing across the Middle East. CEOs in the region are resilient and are ready to deploy capital for long-term growth.”

He added: “Supported by national transformation agendas and sustained investment in artificial intelligence, the Middle East is well positioned to compete, adapt and grow.” 

Speaking to Arab News, Thomas Kuruvilla, managing partner at Arthur D. Little Middle East and India, said that Gulf CEOs’ optimism is driven by a combination that is genuinely hard to replicate elsewhere, driven by large-scale fiscal capacity, political decisiveness, and national vision programs that are actually being executed, not just announced. 

Kuruvilla also highlighted the growing prominence of Saudi Arabia in the GCC business landscape and added that “the Kingdom’s giga-projects, including Neom, Diriyah and Red Sea, are not just construction plays but are demand engines pulling entire ecosystems forward.” 

Sarah El-Tarzi, co-founder and managing partner at Konnexions Communications, shared similar views, highlighting that CEOs in the region are clearer about what they stand for and more willing to engage openly with markets, employees, and the public.

“From my perspective, the optimism going into 2026 is coming from a shift in how the Gulf operates, not just how fast it grows. What has changed is execution. Strategies are no longer abstract. They are visible, measurable, and moving,” added El-Tarzi. 

Sarah El-Tarzi, co-founder and managing partner at Konnexions Communications. Supplied

Capital strengthening in Middle East

According to PwC, GCC continues to consolidate its position as a global investment hub, with Saudi Arabia and the UAE named among the top 10 global investment destinations, reinforcing their role as anchor markets for international and intra-regional capital.

Commenting on the survey results, Munir Al-Daraawi, founder and CEO of Orla Properties, told Arab News that the overwhelming optimism among 93 percent of Gulf CEOs is a testament to the region’s successful economic diversification.

“Beyond oil, we are seeing massive capital inflows driven by regulatory reforms and the rapid maturation of the real estate and tourism sectors. This confidence is underpinned by a stable macroeconomic environment that encourages long-term infrastructure investment,” said Al-Daraawi. 

The PwC report added that Middle East businesses are also the most active globally when it comes to investing beyond their home markets, with 88 percent of CEOs planning to invest outside their domestic territories. 

Almost three-quarters of these investments will stay within the Middle East, signalling deeper regional integration and growing confidence in local value creation. 

“The Gulf has proven it can mobilize capital quickly; the real competitive advantage now is speed of execution at scale,” said Kurivilla. 

Thomas Kuruvilla, managing partner at Arthur D. Little Middle East and India. Supplied

Riad Gohar, CEO of BlackOak Real Estate, told Arab News that population growth, real end-user absorption, and a predictable policy environment are increasing confidence among business leaders in the region, resulting in the mobilization of capital. 

“Capital in 2026 is also different. It is not speculative. It is coming from residents, repeat investors, and institutions reinvesting locally because they understand the fundamentals and are building for the long term,” said Gohar. 

AI adoption 

According to the report, CEOs in the Middle East region, particularly in the GCC, report significantly higher application of AI than the global average. 

More than a third of Middle East and GCC leaders report integrating the technology directly into their offerings, compared with fewer than one in five globally. 

Adoption is strongest in demand generation functions such as sales, marketing, and customer service, where 39 percent of Middle East CEOs and 43 percent of GCC CEOs report extensive AI use. 

Uptake is also strong across support services, with nearly 40 percent of Middle East CEOs deploying AI, well above global averages.

Mona Abou Hana, chief corporate and network officer at PwC Middle East, said: “Leaders across the region are investing with intention in AI, cybersecurity and new capabilities because they understand that resilience today is built through action.” 

Some 80 percent of business leaders in the Middle East revealed that their culture enables AI adoption, while 70 percent have a clearly defined AI roadmap, well ahead of global benchmarks. 

“For CEOs, AI serves as a powerful lever for scalability; it allows us to process vast market data in real-time, enabling faster, more accurate decision-making that is essential for cross-border expansion. By automating routine complexities, leadership can focus on high-level strategy and innovation,” Al-Daraawi told Arab News.

Kuruvilla said that AI is becoming a strategic differentiator in the Middle East, while the real opportunity is not in adopting this advanced technology faster, but the way in which it can be used more boldly. 

“In sectors such as financial services, energy, and logistics, companies in Saudi Arabia and the UAE are already deploying AI for predictive analytics, fraud detection, and operational optimization. Saudi Aramco’s use of AI in upstream operations is a clear example of how scale and data density can create global leadership,” added the Arthur D. Little official. 

Managing Director at A.A. Al Moosa Enterprises, Mobility Division, Rahul Singh, told Arab News that AI is helping leaders take smarter, faster decisions, while accelerating growth without sacrificing quality or reliability. 

“By using AI to forecast demand and improve customer experiences, companies can confidently expand services into new markets,” added Singh. 

Dealmaking shifts toward capability-led growth

PwC said that mergers and acquisitions demand remains strong in the GCC region, with 72 percent of Middle East CEOs planning a major acquisition over the next three years.

The report added that deal activity reflects a growing emphasis on capability-building, as CEOs look to strengthen skills, talent and data to support long-term growth.

“M&A activity in the Gulf is set to remain strong, but the nature of deals is changing. CEOs are increasingly using acquisitions to buy time rather than just scale, acquiring digital, AI, and sustainability capabilities that would take years to build internally,” said Kuruvilla. 

Chief Investment Officer at Century Financial, Vijay Valecha, told Arab News that the PwC survey findings point to the region’s growing attractiveness for dealmakers as ambitious national visions and robust economic growth underpin this momentum. 

“Companies are already expanding into new regions, competing more aggressively for skilled talent, and acquiring advanced technologies to stay ahead. Sovereign wealth funds are playing a central role in this shift, actively supporting diversification into renewables, digital infrastructure, and advanced manufacturing,” added Valecha. 

Amit Dua, president of SunTec Business Solutions, shared similar insights, highlighting that Saudi Arabia and the wider GCC region are likely to see continued deal activity, especially in technology-driven sectors, consumer markets, and industrial services, aligned to national diversification agendas. 

“In many cases, M&A is becoming the tool leaders use to enter adjacencies, build strategic depth, and future-proof business models in a more complex global environment,” said Dua. 

Amit Dua, president of SunTec Business Solutions. Supplied

Near-term caution

According to the PwC report, geopolitical conflict remains the region’s most significant concern, directly shaping boardroom decision-making, with near-term caution weighing on CEO sentiment across the Middle East. 

Despite heightened geopolitical, cyber and climate risks, CEOs are choosing to invest through uncertainty rather than wait for stability, with 60 percent saying they can lead effectively through disruption and 42 percent indicating they can create new business opportunities that arise from such disruptions.

As a strategic response to geopolitical risk, nearly 30 percent of Middle East CEOs and 32 percent of GCC CEOs expect to reconfigure supply chains.

Nearly one in five indicated they would restructure tax obligations to manage geopolitical exposure, while 17 percent were prepared to exit markets that become too risky.

“Middle East CEOs are not deterred by global risk; they are planning through it. What stands out is the discipline behind their confidence,” added Hana.