M&A deals in Saudi Arabia rise in sign of foreign investor confidence: Marsh

As global M&A rebounds in 2025, Saudi Arabia is expected to remain a top destination for international capital. Shutterstock
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Updated 28 March 2025
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M&A deals in Saudi Arabia rise in sign of foreign investor confidence: Marsh

RIYADH: Mergers and acquisitions in Saudi Arabia recorded a 55 percent annual rise in 2024 as deal value hit $9.6 billion, fueled by foreign investors and key sector activity.

According to Marsh’s Transactional Risk Insurance report, 59 M&A transactions closed in the Kingdom, with 25 percent of deal activity concentrated in the industrial sector, 20 percent in technology, and 14 percent in consumer and retail — all areas aligned with the country’s Vision 2030 economic transformation strategy.

This helped to fuel an increase in transactional risk insurance across the Gulf Cooperation Council region, with demand climbing 78 percent, the analysis showed.

The robust M&A industry throughout the Middle East and North Africa in 2024 was in contrast to trends in other regions, with a report released by GlobalData in December showing such transactions — as well as those involving private equity and venture financing — recording an annual fall of  8.7 percent during the first 11 months of the year.

In an interview with Arab News, Luke Sutton, head of transactional risk for the Middle East and Africa at Marsh, said: “Foreign investors accounted for 32 percent of Saudi Arabia’s $9.6 billion in M&A activity, including several deals involving consortiums of local and international buyers.”

He added: “The most active non-Saudi acquirers were from the US, UAE, and UK, with 25 percent of inbound investment concentrated in tech, 15 percent business services, 15 percent industrials, 10 percent energy and natural resources, and 10 percent transportation.”

Across the wider GCC, inbound investment accounted for 25 percent of all insured M&A transactions, reflecting a growing presence of foreign buyers in regional dealmaking.

“Saudi Arabia is a market with very significant and well-hedged M&A potential; and government-sponsored capital expenditure is expected to bring opportunities to market as the country focuses on diversification,” Sutton said.

He also highlighted the effect of recent regulatory changes, noting that efforts to boost foreign direct investment have opened up Saudi Arabia to global buyers.

“Warranty and indemnity is a staple feature of M&A transactions in the US, Europe, and Asia. So it is natural that those buyers have imported this trend into the Saudi market,” he said.




CaptionLuke Sutton, head of transactional risk for the Middle East and Africa at Marsh. Supplied

According to the expert, the Saudi Insurance Authority’s approval of W&I insurance for the Kingdom’s incorporated buyers is also expected to significantly increase domestic adoption.

Sutton said that transactional risk insurance not only reduces risk, but also plays a key role in expediting deal execution. By covering potential post-sale liabilities, W&I insurance allows parties to avoid lengthy negotiations over indemnities.

When asked if insurance helps speed up closure, he replied: “Yes — very significantly. Buyers and sellers — and their legal advisers — can focus on other facets of the transaction, knowing that the insurance market can back-stop seller representations and indemnities.”

According to Sutton, as Saudi Arabia pursues diversification, warranty and indemnity insurance is increasingly used to manage deal risks — giving buyers protection from hidden issues and sellers a clean, liability-free exit.

As part of Vision 2030, Saudi Arabia has made attracting foreign investment a national priority.

Reforms such as 100 percent foreign ownership in select sectors, streamlined licensing procedures, and a new law that places local and foreign companies under a unified regulatory framework are aimed at boosting the Kingdom’s global competitiveness and reducing its dependence on oil revenue.

The launch of special economic zones, privatization of state assets, and incentives for international companies to establish regional headquarters in Riyadh have all contributed to rising foreign direct investment flows.

Saudi Arabia is targeting an increase in annual FDI from $26 billion in 2023 to $100 billion by 2030. This openness has coincided with the region’s rise as a global investment hub, largely driven by sovereign wealth funds.

The Public Investment Fund, alongside other major Gulf sovereign wealth funds, is no longer just a passive investor, but a key player in cross-border M&A, frequently taking controlling stakes and co-leading big-ticket international transactions.

M&A insurance activity in the GCC

Marsh reported that it had placed more than $550 million in insurance capacity for insured transactions in Saudi Arabia and the UAE, representing a total deal value of $2.25 billion, with a median deal size of $450 million.

SWFs were instrumental in driving deal activity, according to the firm, with 2024 marking the highest level of global deal making by these organizations in more than a decade.

While insured deals still leaned toward the domestic, Marsh noted a growing shift. The investment mix is evolving toward a 50/50 split between domestic and inbound capital, fueled by international partnerships and increased foreign participation in strategic sectors.

The rising presence of private equity funds has also influenced the demand for risk insurance. Their focus on clean exits and post-deal protection has made W&I insurance an increasingly standard part of deal structuring.

“While historically many deals were completed without insurance due to limited insurer appetite and perceived high costs; in the last two years, there has been a significant increase in requests for quotes on deals within GCC,” said Nirav Modi, private equity and mergers and acquisition services practice leader at Marsh.

Regionally, while the total number of M&A deals in the Middle East and Africa fell 13 percent in 2024, deal value jumped 42 percent to $33 billion, as investors prioritized larger, more strategic transactions, according to the report.

Saudi Arabia played a major role in this growth, particularly through infrastructure and public-private partnership initiatives under Vision 2030.

These trends have been matched by a notable evolution in the region’s insurance landscape, as market capacity and competition have grown in response.

According to the report, the number of insurers underwriting deals rose from five in 2021 to nearly 15 in 2024, resulting in broader coverage options and a sharp decline in premiums. Marsh reported a mean premium rate of just over 1.3 percent, down more than 60 percent from three years ago.

Strategic sponsors, including SWF-backed corporates, made up 66 percent of insured buyers, highlighting the role of institutional investors in driving deal flow and relying on insurance to manage complex transactional risks.

As global M&A rebounds in 2025, Saudi Arabia is expected to remain a top destination for international capital, particularly in clean energy, logistics, digital infrastructure, and advanced manufacturing.

With continued regulatory support and a strong push for diversification, M&A insurance is poised to play a pivotal role in facilitating secure, high-value transactions across the Kingdom.


GCC growth set to accelerate to 4.4% in 2026 on non-oil strength: World Bank 

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GCC growth set to accelerate to 4.4% in 2026 on non-oil strength: World Bank 

RIYADH: Economies across the Gulf Cooperation Council are forecast to grow 4.4 percent in 2026, accelerating to 4.6 percent in 2027, driven by rising non-oil activity in countries including Saudi Arabia, according to an analysis. 

In its Global Economic Prospects report, the World Bank said the Kingdom’s real gross domestic product is projected to grow 4.3 percent in 2026 and 4.4 percent in 2027, up from an expected 3.8 percent in 2025. 

Earlier this month, a separate analysis by Standard Chartered echoed similar expectations, forecasting the Kingdom’s GDP to expand by 4.5 percent in 2026, outperforming the projected global growth average of 3.4 percent, supported by momentum in both hydrocarbon and non-oil sectors. 

The World Bank’s latest forecast broadly aligns with the International Monetary Fund’s October outlook, which projects Saudi Arabia’s GDP to grow by about 4 percent in both 2025 and 2026. 

In its latest report, the World Bank said: “Growth in GCC countries is forecast to increase to 4.4 percent in 2026 and 4.6 percent in 2027, mainly reflecting a steady expansion of non-hydrocarbon activity, in addition to a further rise in hydrocarbon production.” 

It added: “The strengthening of non-hydrocarbon activity — accounting for more than 60 percent of GCC countries’ total GDP — is projected to be supported by expected large-scale investments, including in Kuwait and Saudi Arabia.” 

Expanding the non-oil sector remains a core objective of Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 agenda, as the Kingdom continues efforts to reduce its long-standing reliance on crude revenues. 

Highlighting the strength of Saudi Arabia’s non-oil momentum, S&P Global said the Kingdom recorded the highest purchasing managers’ index reading in the region in December, at 57.4, supported by rising new orders, continued growth in non-energy business activity, and expanding employment.

At the country level, the UAE’s economy is projected to grow by 5 percent in 2026, before accelerating to 5.1 percent in 2027. 

Oman’s GDP is forecast to expand by 3.6 percent in 2026 and 4 percent in 2027, while Qatar is expected to record growth of 5.3 percent next year, rising sharply to 6.8 percent in 2027. 

In Kuwait and Bahrain, GDP growth is projected at 2.6 percent and 3.5 percent, respectively, in 2026. 

Across the broader Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan and Pakistan region, growth is estimated to have reached 3.1 percent in 2025 and is projected to strengthen further to 3.6 percent in 2026 and 3.9 percent in 2027, largely driven by improving performance among oil-exporting economies. 

Potential growth challenges 

The World Bank also outlined several downside risks that could weigh on economic growth across the region. 

These include a re-escalation of armed conflicts, heightened violence or social unrest, which could disrupt economic activity and weaken confidence. 

Other risks include tighter global financial conditions, further increases in trade restrictions and tensions, greater uncertainty over global trade policies, and more frequent or severe natural disasters. 

For oil exporters, lower-than-expected oil prices or heightened price volatility could also dampen growth. 

“A re-escalation of armed conflicts in the region could cause a significant deterioration in consumer and business sentiment, not only in the economies directly affected but also in neighboring economies,” the World Bank said.  

It added: “It could spill over into a broader increase in policy uncertainty and a tightening of financial conditions, dampening investment and economic activity.” 

Global outlook 

The World Bank said the global economy has proved more resilient than expected despite last year’s escalation in trade tensions and policy uncertainty. 

Global economic growth is projected at 2.6 percent in 2026, easing from an estimated 2.7 percent in 2025. 

“The modest slowdown comes on the heels of a post-pandemic rebound over 2021–25 that represented the strongest recovery from a global recession in more than six decades,” the World Bank said, adding that the rebound was uneven and came at the cost of higher inflation and rising debt. 

Among advanced economies, US GDP is projected to grow by 1.6 percent in both 2026 and 2027. 

China’s economy is expected to expand by 4.4 percent in 2026 before slowing to 4.2 percent in 2027, while India’s GDP is forecast to grow by 6.5 percent and 6.6 percent over the same period.