Saudi Arabia’s debt capital market still has growth potential, investment minister says

Saudi Investment Minister Khalid Al-Falih speaks during a panel discussion on the first day of the Capital Markets Forum 2025. Screenshot
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Updated 18 February 2025
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Saudi Arabia’s debt capital market still has growth potential, investment minister says

  • Khalid Al-Falih said the Kingdom maintains a balanced and diverse set of global relationships at the macro level
  • He also highlighted the strong interest from Asian investors in capital flow into Saudi Arabia

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s debt capital market has growth potential, as it accounts for less than 4 percent of gross domestic product, compared to the G20 average of over 40 percent, the investment minister revealed.

During a panel discussion titled “Capital Crossroads: Connecting Global Investment Hubs” on the first day of the Capital Markets Forum 2025, held from Feb. 18-20 in Riyadh, Khalid Al-Falih explained that the Kingdom aims to expand its debt capital market significantly.

This falls in line with the fact that Saudi Arabia’s debt capital market is expected to hit $500 billion by the end of 2025, fueled by the Kingdom’s economic diversification efforts under Vision 2030, according to Fitch Ratings.

In February, Fitch’s latest report highlighted several factors driving this growth, including the government’s need for deficit funding, maturing obligations, and ongoing reforms.

“There is a call for action by our corporates, by our mid-markets to come forward and prepare for raising capital through bonds and sukuks and the debt capital market of Saudi Arabia. Many of them have been doing this in places like London and London has been accommodating and very open for Saudi entities,” Al-Falih said.

“We need to channel global capital into the opportunities not just in the Kingdom but in the region,” he added.

The minister said that King Abdullah Financial District Business Center has already attracted about 600 global companies and that many of them would require professional and financial services as well as raising capital for their regional growth.

“We don’t want them to go and raise that capital internationally. We want them to do it here in Riyadh, aided and enabled by the great Saudi enterprises but also by partnerships from around the world,” Al-Falih said.

He further said that capital markets are a reflection of the broader economy and that the Kingdom maintains a balanced and diverse set of global relationships at the macro level. As one of the world’s largest trading nations, Saudi Arabia has a varied trade balance, with India and China playing key roles in importing from and exporting to the country.

Al-Falih added: “But we continue to trade in a very strong way on goods and services with the Western nations as well as other developing countries in the South. If you look at the investment of the G20 investors in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, six of the top 10 are from the East, and the other four are Western countries.”

He also highlighted the strong interest from Asian investors in capital flow into Saudi Arabia.

“The Kingdom in many ways is a connector, as I mentioned, of owners of capital from investors from East and West, and hopefully, we play a significant role in terms of bringing investors, bringing companies together, creating a platform for global cooperation and collaboration which is very much central to how we want to lead going forward to minimize the fragmentation and tension that seems to have emerged the last few years,” the minister said.

During the panel discussion, Al-Falih also tackled how Vision 2030 created a massive shift in the basic economy, with significant growth in non-oil sectors being recorded.

He added that over the past seven to eight years, there have been typical fluctuations in the oil markets, including price changes and variations in Saudi production, which directly impact government revenues and the balance of payments. However, the other sectors, particularly the non-oil economy, have experienced steady and consistent growth of 4 to 6 percent throughout this period.

The minister added: “Sectors that hardly existed are growing at double-digit year on year for the period since Vision 2030, despite COVID and despite micro volatility globally, as I mentioned. You look at tourism, you look at tech, you look at logistics and transportation, all of these are sectors that are drawing a lot of investments and that is reflected in the capital markets, which is the subject of our gathering today.”

The minister also said that over the last two to three years, between 40 and 50 initial public offerings for equity listings have taken place.

“There is still a significant need for this forum and for the capital markets governed by CMA (Capital Market Authority), but really the motor for it and the driver is Tadawul because that is the platform of which everybody works to continue to reflect what is happening in the basic economy, which is diversification and rebalancing of our capital markets,” he said.

Baroness Gustafsson of Chesterton of the Order of the British Empire and the UK’s Minister for Investment, who was also on the same panel, said that bold strategies are needed to drive investment success.

“You have to be quite clear about what it is that you want to accomplish and make that available to investors, and we have done that with our modern industrial strategy, laying out those sort of key sectors that we think are going to be really contributing to the growth of the UK so the investors can align alongside that to make sure they are supporting that,” Gustafsson said.

“The other aspect that you need is that capability. So, that exists in both terms of the sort of innovation capability. So, we have got some of the best academic institutions in the world with world-class expertise that are going out solving these really complicated world problems,” she added.

Organized by the Saudi Tadawul Group and held under the patronage of the Minister of Finance and Chairman of the Financial Sector Development Program Committee, Mohammed Al-Jadaan, the forum will convene top policymakers, business leaders, and industry experts to discuss key trends and developments shaping the nation’s capital markets. 

With a strong focus on the evolving financial landscape, the event is held under the theme “Powering Connections,” and is set to unlock investment opportunities, foster strategic partnerships, and further position the Kingdom as a key player in the global capital markets ecosystem.


What MENA’s wild 2025 funding cycle really revealed  

Updated 26 December 2025
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What MENA’s wild 2025 funding cycle really revealed  

RIYADH: The Middle East and North Africa startup funding story in 2025 was less a smooth arc than a sequence of sharp gears: debt-led surges, equity-led recoveries, and periodic quiet spells that revealed what investors were really underwriting.   

By November, the region had logged repeated bursts of activity — culminating in September’s $3.5 billion spike across 74 deals — yet the year’s defining feature was not just the size of the peaks, but the way capital repeatedly clustered around a handful of markets, instruments, and business models.  

Across the year’s first eleven months, funding totals swung dramatically: January opened at $863 million across 63 rounds but was overwhelmingly debt-driven; June fell to just $52 million across 37 deals; and September reset expectations entirely with a record month powered by Saudi fintech mega facilities.   

The net result was a market that looked expansive in headline value while behaving conservatively in underlying risk posture — often choosing structured financing, revenue-linked models, and geographic familiarity over broad-based, late-stage equity appetite.  

Debt becomes the ecosystem’s shock absorber  

If 2024 was about proving demand, 2025 was about choosing capital structure. Debt financing repeatedly dictated monthly outcomes and, in practice, became the mechanism that let large platforms keep scaling while equity investors stayed selective.  

Founded in 2019 by Osama Alraee and Mohamed Jawabri, Lendo is a crowdlending marketplace that connects qualified businesses seeking financing with investors looking for short-term returns. Supplied

January’s apparent boom was the clearest example: $863 million raised, but $768 million came through debt financing, making the equity picture almost similar to January 2024.   

The same pattern returned at larger scale in September, when $3.5 billion was recorded, but $2.6 billion of that total was debt financing — dominated by Tamara’s $2.4 billion debt facility alongside Lendo’s $50 million debt and Erad’s $33 million debt financing.    

October then reinforced the playbook: four debt deals accounted for 72 percent of the month’s $784.9 million, led by Property Finder’s $525 million debt round.    

By November, more than half the month’s $227.8 million total again hinged on a single debt-backed transaction from Erad.   

Tamara was founded in 2020 by Abdulmajeed Alsukhan, Turki Bin Zarah, and Abdulmohsen Albabtain, and offers buy-now-pay-later services. Supplied

This isn’t simply ‘debt replacing equity.’ It is debt acting as a stabilizer in a valuation-reset environment: late-stage businesses with predictable cash flows or asset-heavy models can keep expanding without reopening price discovery through equity rounds.  

A two-speed geography consolidates around the Gulf  

The regional map of venture capital in 2025 narrowed, widened, then narrowed again — but the center of gravity stayed stubbornly Gulf-led.    

Saudi Arabia and the UAE alternated at the top depending on where mega deals landed, while Egypt’s position fluctuated between brief rebounds and extended softness.  

In the first half alone, total investment reached $2.1 billion across 334 deals, with Saudi Arabia accounting for roughly 64 percent of capital deployed.   

Saudi Arabia’s rise was described as ‘policy-driven,’ supported by sovereign wealth fund-backed VC activity and government incentives, with domestic firms such as STV, Wa’ed Ventures, and Raed Ventures repeatedly cited as drivers.   

Erad co-founders (left to right): Faris Yaghmour, Youssef Said, Salem Abu Hammour, and Abdulmalik Almeheini. Supplied

The UAE still posted steady growth in the first half — $541 million across 114 startups, up 18 percent year-on-year — but it increasingly competed in a market where the largest single cheques were landing elsewhere unless the Emirates hosted the region’s next debt mega round.  

The concentration became stark in late-year snapshots. In November, funding was ‘tightly concentrated in just five countries,’ with Saudi Arabia taking $176.3 million across 14 deals and the UAE $49 million across 14 deals, while Egypt and Morocco each sat near $1 million and Oman had one undisclosed deal.    

Even in September’s record month, the top two markets — Saudi with $2.7 billion across 25 startups and the UAE with $704.3 million across 26 startups — absorbed the overwhelming majority of capital.  

A smaller but notable subplot was the emergence of ‘surprise’ markets when a single deal was large enough to change rank order.   

Iraq briefly climbed to third place in July on InstaBank’s $15 million deal, while Tunisia entered the top three in June entirely via Kumulus’ $3.5 million seed round.   

These moments mattered less for the totals than for what they suggested: capital can travel, but it still needs an anchor deal to justify attention.  

Events, narrative cycles, and the ‘conference effect’  

2025 also showed how regional deal flow can bunch around events that create permission structures for announcements.   

February’s surge — $494 million across 58 deals — was explicitly linked to LEAP 2025, where ‘many startups announced their closed deals,’ helping push Saudi Arabia to $250.3 million across 25 deals.  

September’s leap similarly leaned on Money20/20, where 15 deals were announced and Saudi fintechs dominated the headlines.  

This ‘conference effect’ does not mean deals are created at conferences, but it does change the timing and visibility of closes.   

Sector leadership rotates, but utility wins  

Fintech retained structural dominance even when it temporarily lost the top spot by value.   

It led January on the back of Saudi debt deals; dominated February with $274 million across 15 deals; remained first in March with $82.5 million across 10 deals; topped the second quarter by capital raised; and reclaimed leadership in November with $142.9 million across nine deals — again driven by a debt-heavy transaction.   

Even when fintech fell to ninth place by value in October with $12.5 million across seven rounds, it still remained ‘the most active sector by deal count,’ a sign of persistent baseline demand.  

Proptech was the year’s other headline sector, but its peaks were deal-specific. Nawy’s $75 million round in May helped propel Egypt to the top that month and pushed proptech up the rankings.   

Property Finder’s debt round in October made proptech the month’s top-funded sector at $526 million. In August, proptech led with $96 million across four deals, suggesting sustained investor appetite for real-estate innovation even beyond the megadeal.   

Outside fintech and proptech, the year offered signals rather than dominance. July saw deeptech top the sector charts with $250.3 million across four deals, reflecting a moment of investor appetite for IP-heavy ventures.   

AI repeatedly appeared as a strategic narrative — especially after a high-profile visit by US President Donald Trump alongside Silicon Valley investors and subsequent GCC AI initiatives — yet funding didn’t fully match the rhetoric in May, when AI secured just $25 million across two deals.   

By late year, however, expectations were already shifting toward mega rounds in AI and the industries built around it, positioning 2025 as a runway-building year rather than a breakout year for AI funding in the region.  

Stage discipline returns as valuations reset  

In 2025, MENA’s funding landscape tried to balance two priorities: sustaining early-stage momentum while selectively backing proven scale. Early-stage rounds dominated deal flow. October saw 32 early-stage deals worth $95.2 million, with just one series B at $50 million. November recorded no later-stage rounds at all, while even September’s record month relied on 55 early-stage startups raising $129.4 million.  

When investors did commit to later stages, the cheques were decisive. February featured Tabby’s $160 million series E alongside two $28 million series B rounds, while August leaned toward scale with $112 million across three series B deals. Late-stage equity was not absent — it was episodic, appearing only when scale economics were defensible. 

Hosam Arab, CEO of Tabby. File

B2B models remained the default. In the first half, B2B startups raised $1.5 billion, or 70 percent of total funding, driven by clearer monetisation and revenue visibility.  

The gender gap remained structural. Despite isolated spikes, capital allocation continued to overwhelmingly favour male-led startups.  

What 2025 actually said about 2026  

Taken together, 2025 looked like a year of capital market pragmatism. The region demonstrated capacity for outsized rounds, but much of that capacity ran through debt, a handful of megadeals, and a narrow set of markets — primarily Saudi Arabia and the UAE.   

Early-stage deal flow stayed active enough to keep the pipeline moving, even as growth-stage equity became intermittent and increasingly selective.   

By year-end, the slowdown seen in November read less like a breakdown than a deliberate pause: a market in consolidation mode preserving firepower, waiting for clearer valuation anchors and the next wave of platform-scale opportunities.   

If 2025 was about proving the region can absorb large cheques, 2026 is shaping up to test where those cheques will go — especially as expectations build around AI-led mega rounds and the industries that will form around them.