Oil Updates — prices decline amid rising US crude inventories, Sino-US tariff war

Brent crude futures were down 39 cents, or 0.51 percent, at $75.81 a barrel by 7:27 a.m. Saudi time.
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Updated 05 February 2025
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Oil Updates — prices decline amid rising US crude inventories, Sino-US tariff war

SINGAPORE: Oil prices slid on Wednesday as rising stockpiles in the US and market worries about a new Sino-US trade war offset President Donald Trump’s renewed push to eliminate Iranian crude exports.

Brent crude futures were down 39 cents, or 0.51 percent, at $75.81 a barrel by 7:27 a.m. Saudi time. US West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) lost 26 cents, or 0.36 percent, to $72.44.

Oil on Tuesday traded in a wide range, with WTI falling at one point by 3 percent, its lowest since Dec. 31, after China announced tariffs on US imports of oil, liquefied natural gas and coal in retaliation to US levies on Chinese exports.

Prices rebounded, however, after Trump restored the “maximum pressure” campaign on Iran to curtail its nuclear program he enacted in his first term that cut Iranian crude exports to zero.

Weighing down the market on Wednesday was the higher-than-expected US crude inventories data overnight, said Jun Rong Yeap, a market strategist at IG.

Crude stocks rose by 5.03 million barrels in the week ended Jan. 31, according to market sources, citing American Petroleum Institute figures.

Gasoline inventories rose by 5.43 million barrels, and distillate stocks fell by 6.98 million barrels, the API reported, according to the sources.

Official US government oil inventory data is due to be released at 6:30 p.m. Saudi time on Wednesday.

Rising crude and fuel stockpiles in the world’s biggest oil consumer signal consumption weakness, adding to investor worries about the impact of tarrifs on the global economic and energy demand outlooks.

The impact of China’s retaliatory tariffs on US energy imports will be limited “given that neither global supply nor demand of these commodities are changed by China’s tariffs,” analysts at Goldman Sachs said in a note on Tuesday.

Both countries will be able to find alternative markets, the note said.

As for Iran, Trump on Tuesday restored his “maximum pressure” campaign on Iran that includes efforts to drive its oil exports down to zero in order to stop Tehran from obtaining a nuclear weapon.

While Trump said he was open to a deal with Iran, he signed a presidential memorandum re-imposing Washington’s tough policy on Iran. The plan could impact about 1.5 million barrels per day of oil that the country exports, analysts at ANZ said on Wednesday, citing shiptracking data.

“The clampdown on Iran may be what is needed to stabilize bearish sentiments for oil prices for now and there may room for further recovery, at least in the near term,” said IG’s Yeap. 


India and US release a framework for an interim trade agreement to reduce Trump tariffs

Updated 58 min 25 sec ago
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India and US release a framework for an interim trade agreement to reduce Trump tariffs

  • Under the deal, tariffs on goods from India would be lowered to 18 percent, from 25 percent, after Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi agreed to stop buying Russian oil, Trump had said.

NEW DELHI: India and the United States released a framework for an interim trade agreement to lower tariffs on Indian goods, which Indian opposition accused of favoring Washington.
The joint statement, released Friday, came after US President Donald Trump announced his plan last week to reduce import tariffs on the South Asian country, six months after imposing steep taxes to press New Delhi to cut its reliance on cheap Russian crude.
Under the deal, tariffs on goods from India would be lowered to 18 percent, from 25 percent, after Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi agreed to stop buying Russian oil, Trump had said.
The two countries called the agreement “reciprocal and mutually beneficial” and expressed commitment to work toward a broader trade deal that “will include additional market access commitments and support more resilient supply chains.” The framework said that more negotiations will be needed to formalize the agreement.
India would also “eliminate or reduce tariffs” on all US industrial goods and a wide range of food and agricultural products, Friday’s statement said.
The US president had said that India would start to reduce its import taxes on US goods to zero and buy $500 billion worth of American products over five years, part of the Trump administration’s bid to seek greater market access and zero tariffs on almost all American exports.
Trump also signed an executive order on Friday to revoke a separate 25 percent tariff on Indian goods he imposed last year.
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi thanked Trump “for his personal commitment to robust ties.”
“This framework reflects the growing depth, trust and dynamism of our partnership,” Modi said on social media, adding it will “further deepen investment and technology partnerships between us.”
India’s opposition political parties have largely criticized the deal, saying it heavily favors the US and negatively impacts sensitive sectors such as agriculture. In the past, New Delhi had opposed tariffs on sectors such as agriculture and dairy, which employ the bulk of the country’s population.
Meanwhile, Piyush Goyal, Indian Trade Minister, said the deal protects “sensitive agricultural and dairy products” including maize, wheat, rice, ethanol, tobacco, and some vegetables.
“This (agreement) will open a $30 trillion market for Indian exporters,” Goyal said in a social media post, referring to the US annual GDP. He said the increase in exports was likely to create hundreds of thousands of new job opportunities.
Goyal also said tariffs will go down to zero on a wide range of Indian goods exported to the US, including generic pharmaceuticals, gems and diamonds, and aircraft parts, further enhancing the country’s export competitiveness.
India and the European Union recently reached a free trade agreement that could affect as many as 2 billion people after nearly two decades of negotiations. That deal would enable free trade on almost all goods between the EU’s 27 members and India, covering everything from textiles to medicines, and bringing down high import taxes for European wine and cars.
India also signed a comprehensive economic partnership agreement with Oman in December and concluded talks for a free trade deal with New Zealand.